1 / 11

TREMOVE baseline Consistency check with PRIMES-RAINS baseline UNECE TFIAM, Amiens 11 May 2004

TREMOVE baseline Consistency check with PRIMES-RAINS baseline UNECE TFIAM, Amiens 11 May 2004 Matti Vainio Jacques Delsalle European Commission DG Environment, Clean Air and Transport Unit. TREMOVE Development: Project status. Lot 1 (2003)

leila-oliver
Download Presentation

TREMOVE baseline Consistency check with PRIMES-RAINS baseline UNECE TFIAM, Amiens 11 May 2004

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. TREMOVE baseline Consistency check with PRIMES-RAINS baseline UNECE TFIAM, Amiens 11 May 2004 Matti Vainio Jacques Delsalle European Commission DG Environment, Clean Air and Transport Unit

  2. TREMOVE Development: Project status • Lot 1 (2003) • Model design and preliminary baseline (2.0) completed March 2004 (available on www.tremove.org) • Lot 2 (2004) • Baseline consistency checks with RAINS • Stakeholder Consultation on model and baseline • Identification of emission reduction options • Model ready: Oct. 2004 (revised baseline 2.3, all modules) • Lot 3 (2005-2006) : Policy Simulations

  3. TREMOVE/SCENES vs. RAINS/PRIMES Make 2 modelling frameworks singing from the same hymn sheet… Pax.km Ton.km PRIMES RAINS Fuel Consumption Pollutants Emissions Macro-economic Assumptions Fuel Consumption Pax.km Ton.km SCENES TREMOVE Pollutants Emissions (COPERT II in v. 2.0) Vehicle.km

  4. Projection Passenger Transport Volumes 2020 close (-4.3%) for road

  5. Projection Freight Transport Volumes 2020 close (+1.5%) for road.

  6. Fuel consumption underestimated in TREMOVE (-23% in 2000). Gap increases by 2020

  7. TREMOVE has stronger diesel penetration (80% vs. 60% in 2020) and impact on PM emissions.

  8. TREMOVE baseline has lower NOx emissions

  9. Off-Road: Demand and vehicle cate- gories not same in TREMOVE and RAINS

  10. Next steps • Further co-ordination between TREMOVE, PRIMES AND RAINS modellers • Action on fuel consumption in TREMOVE: • Revised fuel consumption factors for passenger cars • Improvement truck modelling (load factors) • Assumption constant diesel share in RAINS to be modified • Further consistency check on RAINS emissions (different vehicle categories, non-road modes) • Revised Transport baseline ready for 31/8/2004

  11. Stakeholders consultationon the TREMOVE Baseline • 3 Contact Group meetings in Leuven (Belgium) • 27th May: Transport Demand (SCENES) • 28th May: Vehicle Stock (incl. Diesel share) • 21st June: Emissions (COPERT III) • Agenda: • Baseline consistency check • Focus on new Member States • If interested, please contact: griet.deceuster@tmleuven.be or jacques.delsalle@cec.eu.int

More Related