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8/30/2011. Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510. 2. Deal-making is Cyclic. 8/30/2011. Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510. 3. M
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1. 8/30/2011 1 Strategic Alliances & Acquisitions PSU MGMT 510 Dave Garten
daveoutside@alum.mit.edu
2. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 2
3. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 3 M&A - Tough Game to Win Research: M&A on average destroys value
70% of deals did not create value and 50% actually destroyed value; Bain Study 1986 2001
64% of M&A destroyed value short term (+/- 5 days); 56% destroyed value long term (to 2 yrs); BCG Study 1985 2000
Acquiring firms experience a wealth loss of 10% over five years following merger completion; Journal of Finance
61% of deals destroyed value; Business Week Study (1995 2001)
4. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 4 M&A - Increasing the Odds
5. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 5 Deal-making Risk Mitigation Strategy & clear value drivers
Maintain alternatives
Detailed due diligence of target
Negotiation strategies
Deal structure
Integration strategy
6. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 6 Control Premiums
7. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 7 Control Premiums
8. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 8 Control Premiums Why does the seller require it?
Seller requires purchase price in excess of current valuation to forego future opportunities.
How does the acquirer justify it?
Value reflects that target is better managed
Better financing
Higher returns on projects (and divesting)
Return of unused cash
9. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 9 M&A Finance 101
10. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 10 M&A Finance 101
11. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 11 Valuation Methodologies
12. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 12 Discounted Cash Flow Company
Operating Income
Net Income
Free Cash Flow Available
13. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 13 DCF Applied
14. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 14 Terminal (Continuing) Value
15. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 15 Synergies
16. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 16 Synergies
17. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 17 Valuation Commentary Simplify
Assume base business = market cap
Premium ~ synergy value
If premium paid < synergy value => + ROI
If premium paid > synergy value => - ROI
Not so simple
Inefficiencies exist
Information, management (agency problems)
Synergies hard to value
Uncertainty, risk, integration, soft vs. hard
18. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 18 M&A Finance 101 - Examples PeopleSoft --- Premium Paid ~ $4B
Largest synergy (value driver)=cost redundancy ($660M/yr)
Terminal value method: DCF = $660M/(.1) = $6.6B
Assumptions: Terminal value, K = 10%, g =0%,
10 year declining method.
What are the other value drivers?
19. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 19 M&A Finance 101 - Examples ARM buys Artisoft
Price = 494
Goodwill ~ 60%
20. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 20 Accounting for Transaction Cash $50M
A/R $15
Inventory $20
PP&E $40
Total Assets $125M
A/P $15
LT Debt $30
Stk Holder Equity $80
Liabilities & SE $125M Cash $0
A/R $20
Inventory $25
PP&E $55
Goodwill $25
Total Assets $125M
A/P $20
LT Debt $30
Stk Holder Equity $75
Liabilities & SE $125M
21. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 21 M&A Finance 101
22. 8/30/2011 Dave Garten PSU MGMT 510 22 Value Creation Goal of a Deal? ? Value Creation
Value of Strategy or Initiative
Less Cost to Implement & Sustain
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Value Creation
General methods to create value with a deal:
Hidden gem
Good negotiator
Create unique value drivers (synergy) via strategy
Value drivers (synergy) must be identified
Top line and/or bottom line
Unique for the companies involved