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Daily Operations Briefing Sunday, June 1, 2014 8:30 a.m. EDT. Significant Activity : May 31 – June 1. Significant Events: T ropical Activity – Eastern Pacific – Invest 93E (High 70%) Significant Weather:
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Daily Operations Briefing Sunday, June 1, 20148:30 a.m. EDT
Significant Activity: May 31 – June 1 • Significant Events: • Tropical Activity –Eastern Pacific – Invest 93E (High 70%) • Significant Weather: • Flash flooding possible across much of the Upper/Middle Mississippi Valley & Central Plains • Severe weather possible for the Central Plains • Shower and thunderstorms activity will continue over the Gulf Coast states • Elevated Fire Weather areas – AZ, NM, CO & NM • Red Flag Warnings – UT & NM • Space Weather: Past 24 hours – none observed; next 24 hours – none predicted • FEMA Readiness: No significant changes • Declaration Activity: None
Eastern Pacific –Invest 93E • As of 8:00 a.m. EDT • A low pressure area located a few hundred miles SSW of Puerto Angel, Mexico, has become better defined • Environmental conditions are expected to become conducive for development • Tropical Cyclone formation next couple of days • Locally heavy rains across portions of W Central America and SE Mexico • Rain could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides in areas of mountainous terrain • Chance of development into a tropical cyclone: • Next 48 hours: High (70%) • Next 5 days: High (90%)
National Weather Forecast Day 1 Day 1 Day 2 Day 1 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/national_forecast/natfcst.php Day 3
Active Watches/Warnings http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php
Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day Day 1 Day 2 Day 3
Convective Outlook, Day 1 – 3 Day 2 Day 1 Day 3
Critical Fire Weather Areas – Days 1 – 8 Day 1 Day 2 Days 3-8
Space Weather Sunspot Activity HF Communication Impact http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html http://spaceweather.com/