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Briefing for Member Schools May/June 2011. Topics. Enrolment Trends and Issues Federal Budget 2011/12 Funding Australian Government Funding Review My School Australian Curriculum Queensland Government Green Paper. February 2011 Census – 109,494 students 1.8% increase over 2010.
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Topics • Enrolment Trends and Issues • Federal Budget 2011/12 • Funding • Australian Government Funding Review • My School • Australian Curriculum • Queensland Government Green Paper
February 2011 Census – 109,494 students 1.8% increase over 2010
Other Sectors • State sector – less than 1% increase • Secondary stable; some growth in primary • Catholic sector – 3% increase in secondary; 2.8% increase in primary
Share of FT primary enrolments by sector and state 2010 Source: ABS Schools Australia data
Share of FT secondary enrolments by sector and state 2010 Source: ABS Schools Australia data
Share of all FT enrolments by sector and state 2010 Source: ABS Schools Australia data
Enrolment growth by sector 1995 - 2010 Source: ABS Schools Australia data
Enrolment change by sector 1985 - 2010 Source: ABS Schools Australia data
Projected enrolment change in all schools 2010 - 2020 Source: DEEWR Projections and ABS SchoolsAustralia *Based on average school size by sector for 2010 derivedfrom ABS data.
The Prep Half Cohort The Prep half cohort goes into Year 7 in 2014
Prep Half Cohort State Wide Figures – 2010
Enrolment Issues • Intake into Year 8 is down • Prep intake up by 6% • Primary enrolments up 2.7% • Secondary growth is low (< 1%) • Prep Half Cohort • International market struggling
Queensland Economy • Significant change in demographic growth in Queensland in just a few years • Reduction in interstate migration (partly replaced by overseas migration) • Significant change in State finances • Commsec report – Queensland economy is at the bottom of the list in economic performance
Implications for schools • 20 plus years of growth • Independent schools often slow to react to changed economic conditions • Fee increases – parents are hurting • Affordability and sustainability
Affordability Fee increases have consistently been higher than CPI Yearly Change in Education Component of CPI by Category (Australia)
Fee Increases • Salaries and employment costs • Smaller class sizes (for some schools) • Expanded curriculum choices (VET) • Significant increase in non-teaching staff • ICT • Student welfare/pastoral care • Regulation and compliance
Student teacher ratios 1973 - 2010 Source: ABS Schools Australia data
Implications for schools • Salary increases – productivity gains • Delivery methods • Curriculum/programs provision • Providing value for money • Focus on What Parents Want
Sustainability • Political support (excepting for the Greens) • Independent schools educate nearly 1 in 5 secondary students • High levels of community support • 4 in 10 state school parents would send their children to an independent school if fees weren’t an issue • High parental expectations • National Education System – Australian Curriculum, NAPLAN – more uniformity
Possible Threats • Autonomous state schools eg WA Independent Public Schools • Gillard Government to give 1,000 schools more autonomy by 2014 • Slow reforms at Queensland level (eg State school Principals now have power to expel students) • Standardisation of curriculum, assessment and reporting
Implications for schools • Focus on What Parents Want • Values, standards, good discipline • Preparation for students to fulfil their potential in life • Encourage of responsible attitude to work • High quality teachers • Focus on being independent • Focus on innovation, creativity
Federal Budget • New commitments of over $800 million for school education • Changes to Trade Training Centres and Digital Education Revolution • National Asian Languages in Schools to end after 2011/12
Reward Payments for Great Teachers • $425 million over the next four years - $1.25 billion for the initiative • New Australian Teacher Performance Management Principles and Procedures • Top 10% of teachers (approx 25,000 each year) • Bonus of up to 10% of salary • First bonus payments in 2014 based on 2013 performance
Empowering Local Schools • $480 million by 2018 for self-governing schools • 1,000 schools to be self-governing over 2012 and 2013 • Initial focus is government schools; non-government schools able to participate from 2013 • Grants of up to $50,000 for participating schools
Rewards for School Improvement • $250 million over four years • National School Improvement Framework and Office of National School Evaluation (within ACARA) • Reward payments to schools showing the most improvement under the framework • Expected that 4,500 schools will receive rewards between 2012/13 and 2016/17
Items of Interest • $222 million for the expansion of the National Schools Chaplaincy Program • Teach Next – 450 new teachers • National Trade Cadetships • Enhancing Support for Students with Disabilities - $200 million • Changes to Trade Training Centres and Digital Education Revolution
Items of Interest • Australian Baccalaureate • National Asian Languages in Schools Program will end • Budget provides for the extension of recurrent funding for non-government schools until the end of 2013, and capital funding to 2014
Federal Budget • $54 million allocated to establish a new independent statutory agency, the Australian Charities and Not-for-profits Commission, by 1 July 2012 • The agency will be headed by a Commissioner who will have sole responsibility for determining charitable, public benevolent institution and other not-for-profit status for all Commonwealth purposes
Schools recurrent funding by sector 2008-09 Source: Productivity Commission & Financial Questionnaire
Sliding scale of funding entitlement per student according to SES score (2010 final amounts)
Independent schools by SES score 2009 75% of schools have an SES ≤107 Note: SES 85 includesspecialschools
Number of Funding Maintained schools by sector and SES score 2009
Funding Review panel members • David Gonski AC • Dr Peter Tannock AM • Dr Ken Boston AO • Kathryn Greiner AO • Hon. Dr Carmen Lawrence • Bill Scales AO
Funding Review • Commenced April 2010 • Listening tour 2010 • Emerging Issues Paper December 2010 • 1,200 submissions • 7,000 AEU campaign submissions
Funding Review Timeline • Listening Tour – July/August 2010 • Emerging Issues Paper – December 2010 –Submissions called for 31 March 2011 • Second Issues Paper – August 2011 –Submissions August/September 2011 • Final Report – December 2011 • Government Decisions ???
Funding Review Research Projects Definition of equity (DEEWR) Current arrangements to fund disadvantaged students including students with disability (ACER) Developing a Schooling Resource Standard (Allen Consulting) An evaluation of existing funding models and methodologies used by the states and territories(Access Economics) Improving education outcomes (Nous Group Consortium) Different funding models (DEEWR and Review Panel)
Independent sector key messages No loss of funding in real terms Continuing direct relationship between the Commonwealth and the non-government sector Funding to continue to be allocated in legislated quadrennium or longer cycles An accurate measure of the changes in the cost of educating a child in a government school Increased and continuing capital and targeted funding Importance of projected enrolment growth and independent sector partnership with governments Funding must be based on robust data Consistent application of funding model
AEU Submission • The key principle of government funding for private schools should be that there is no pre-existing, pre-determined entitlement to public funding
AEU Submission Where governments choose to provide funding to private schools, the level of funding should be determined by rating each private school through criteria including: • Enrolment practices • Student profile • Compliance with mandated curriculum • Public accountability • Level of fees • The total income, assets and resources at the disposal of the school
NCEC Submission • Catholic sector wants at least the current level of total government funding in real terms into the future, irrespective of individual family financial circumstances • Catholic school systems to be funded at a percentage of a national resource standard, based on a resource-availability and a socio-economic indicator • Non-systemic schools funding based on national resource standard modified by a resource-availability and a socio-economic indicator
Non-systemic school funding sources and non-systemic enrolments by school SES score 2006 Source: ANAO analysis of Non-government Schools Financial Questionnaire data & DEEWR Census