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OPTIMA INCO-MPC Second Management Board Meeting , November 11/12 2005 Casablanca

OPTIMA INCO-MPC Second Management Board Meeting , November 11/12 2005 Casablanca. DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen Austria kurt@ess.co.at http://www.ess.co.at. Friday, November 11. 09:00-09:15 Welcome & logistics UH2M

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OPTIMA INCO-MPC Second Management Board Meeting , November 11/12 2005 Casablanca

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  1. OPTIMA INCO-MPCSecond Management Board Meeting,November 11/12 2005Casablanca DDr. Kurt Fedra Environmental Software & Services GmbH A-2352 Gumpoldskirchen Austria kurt@ess.co.at http://www.ess.co.at

  2. Friday, November 11 09:00-09:15 Welcome & logistics UH2M 09:15-09:45 Project Status Overview ESS 09:45-10:45 D02, issues questionnaire IRMCo, FEEM 10:45-11:45 stakeholders, Lebanon ws C.z ELARD 11:45-12:15 modelling, optimization ESS 12:15-14:15 Lunch break

  3. Friday, November 11 12:15-14:15 Lunch break 14:15-15:00 techno-economic data INTERGEO, ESS 15:00-15:45 GIS, RS, land use data NCRS 15:45-16:15 socio-economic LU issues IRMCo 16:15-16:45 dissemination plan updates IRMCo 16:45-17:45 case study report: GedizSUMER

  4. Saturday, November 12 09:00-10:0 case study:DhiarizosATLANTIS 10:00-11:00 case study: Litani ELARD 11:00-12:00 case study: Zarqa UJO 12:00-14:00lunch break 14:00-15:00 case study: Alexander/Wadi Z.IPCRI 15:00-16:00case study: MelianCNTD 15:00-16:00case study:MartilUH2M 16:00-17:00next steps, any other business

  5. MEETING OBJECTIVES • Review of Project Status and progress, active work packages • Discussion of delays/problems and a common strategy for solutions • Agree on next steps of technical work and communication for the second part of year 2

  6. OPTIMA OBJECTIVE Develop a common structured approach to water resources management in several parallel case studies: Common approach and method for • Identifying issues • Involve end users • Describe the systems • Model/optimize them • Analyze/compare

  7. OPTIMA OBJECTIVE • Meet Contractual Obligations with Deliverables, Reports, Cost StatementsON TIME and ON BUDGET: THIS IS ESSENTIAL !!! • Meet individual objectives (??) for methodological development and the case studies ( end users ?); • Produce results together: comparative analysis, dissemination, exploitation going beyond the individual pieces.

  8. OPTIMA OBJECTIVE • Meet Contractual Obligations with Deliverables, Reports, Cost Statements ON TIME and ON BUDGET: THIS IS ESSENTIAL !!! Consortium has a collective technical and financial responsibility for project performance and results.

  9. OPTIMA: Project Overview • 3 year duration to JUNE 2007 • Started: July 2004 • Current PM: 17 of 36 or close to 50% already over !!!!!

  10. OPTIMA: time table

  11. OPTIMA: Work Plan Phases • Requirements and constraints, DSS processes (end users) • Data compilation, tool development • Parallel case studies, shared tools, methods, approach • Comparative evaluation, dissemination (end users).

  12. OPTIMA: Milestones

  13. Work Plan (simple version) WP 01: done WP 02: done WP 03: done for basic tools WP 04:NO FEEDBACK from INTERGEO WP 05:missing data from SOME ? WP 06: ongoing

  14. Work Plan (simple version) WP 07 Cyprus WP 08 Turkey WP 09 Lebanon WP 10 Jordan WP 11 Palestine/Israel WP 12 Tunisia WP 13 Morocco

  15. HOW to progress: • Just start to work • Ask questions, use the PROBLEM REPORTING tool • React to suggestions • Plan visits or another model workshop • Provide financial incentives

  16. HOW to progress: Use available tools: • PROBLEM REPORTING • Scenario Checker with all models ! Lists and explains all problems found: please read !!! • On-line manuals – if you can not find something you need explained, please report the problem !

  17. Weird things: STREAM scenario Alexander: Water quality standard: DO : 1000g/m3 absolute saturation << 15 g/m3 BOD: 350 g/m3 dilute wastewater

  18. Data compilation: • GIS coverages WP 05 • list and describe NODE and network related objects (RBO): • Monitoring stations, time series • Subcatchments (RRM) • Aquifer(s), wells • Reservoirs • Settlements, industries, agriculture • Irrigation areas (IWD)

  19. Baseline targets: • RRM: optional • IWD: optional • WRM performance targets: • Complete and reasonable scenario • Total outflow +/- 25% observations • Daily flow at least for ONE station close to end node */ 2 • Basic economics (at least TRY !) • STREAM performance targets: • DO/BOD within reasonable ranges – any WQ observation data ?

  20. Baseline targets: • WP 04: minimum of 25 basic technology description in the data base • WP 05: basic GIS data including • Basin boundaries, river network • Land use (CORINE 3+) • DEM

  21. Gender issues: • Activities ? • Update report ? • Future plans ?

  22. Friday, November 11 09:00-09:15 Welcome & logisticsUH2M 09:15-09:45 Project Status OverviewESS 10:00-11:00 D02, issues questionnaireIRMCo, FEEM 11:00-12:00stakeholders, Lebanon wsC.z ELARD 12:00-12:30 modelling, optimization ESS 12:30-14:15 Lunch break

  23. Case studies: how to proceed By PM 18 (December 2005): • Baselines ready for each case • Basic economy agreed, tested • Basic water technologies ready to link, on-line data base • Optimization framework agreed: • Criteria, objectives, constraints

  24. Case studies: how to proceed Criteria, objectives, constraints: • Must be derived from model output (flow, DO/BOD) • Flow or quality in space and time (time-series at the NODES) • Ratios (e.g., S/D, cost/benefit), normalized data (per capita, km2)

  25. Case studies: how to proceed Criteria, objectives, constraints: Start with a simple narrative description, enumerate conditions, relate to stakeholder views/issues Strategy: identify applicable technologies, propose extensions to technology DB

  26. Case studies: how to proceed WP 07 Cyprus WP 08 Turkey WP 09 Lebanon WP 10 Jordan WP 11 Palestine/Israel WP 12 Tunisia WP 13 Morocco

  27. HOW to progress: • Just start to work (Lebanon example suggest a basic scenario can be built in less than a week) • Ask questions, use the PROBLEM REPORTING tool • React to suggestions • Plan visits or another model workshop (at next meeting in Amman ?)

  28. Case studies: how to proceed Individual plans/programs for each case study: • WP 07 Cyprus • WP 08 Turkey • WP 09 Lebanon • WP 10 Jordan • WP 11 Palestine/Israel • WP 12 Tunisia • WP 13 Morocco HOW to proceed ?

  29. Model use targets: • RRM: At LEAST one calibrated catchment for each case – to extend to all catchment start nodes. • RRM: absolutely needs representative DAILY PRECIPITATION DATA You can use monthly temperature, BUT NOT PRECIPITATION !!! • Provide observation data for at least ONE representative sub-catchment for calibration (can be monthly)

  30. Model use targets: • IWD: optional (only Gediz example to date !! Zarqa ???) • We need (calibration) data for crop data base, more crops – submit suggestions and data, please. • Test cases to calibrate irrigation technologies (WP 04 ???)

  31. Model use targets: WRM performance targets: • Complete and reasonable scenarios includes groundwater links, realistic reservoir data • Provide observation data for CONTROL NODES, add more control nodes for all monitoring stations ! • Introduction of calibration subtype for control nodes • Basic economics (at least TRY !)

  32. Model use targets: STREAM performance targets: • DO/BOD within reasonable ranges • Estimate BOD from activity ? • Introduce operational treatment nodes (currently passive)

  33. OPTIMISATION: For each node, a set of alternatives water technologies can be specified in a separate, new editor • REQUIRES WATER TECHNOLOGIES from WP 04 !!! • Methodology: MC with genetic programming (adapted from RRMCAL)

  34. OPTIMISATION: • Technologies are applied to NODES. • Each technology affects some model parameters (e.g., supply, allocation, demand, efficiency/losses, quality) for the different node types at a cost. • Benefits accrue from water supplied. • Optimization approach: Satisficing • First round: Model selects the combinations of technologies that meets all constraints

  35. TECHNOLOGIES: Are NOT restricted to technology in a narrow sense, can include policies and institutional change that do affect supply, allocation, demand, efficiency, quality FOR example: • Pricing/subsidies affects demand • Market (privatization) affects allocation • Enforcement (regulatory change) affects quality and efficiency

  36. Water Technologies • Name, META DATA • Description (unstructured, hypertext HTML) • Application domain • allocation, supply, structures, quality • Investment (annualized): • unit cost, reference unit • Operation (annual): • OMR unit cost, reference unit • Effects multiplier and reference unit • parameter affected http://www.ess.co.at/MANUALS/WATERWARE/ watertechnologies.html

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