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HAZARD AND RISK ASSESSMENT. Today’s Session. Taking a look at hazard and risk assessment. Definitions . What hazard and risk management does for us. Risk treatment . Round off with some practice. Information is Standards and Advisory Circular based.
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Today’s Session • Taking a look at hazard and risk assessment. • Definitions. • What hazard and risk management does for us. • Risk treatment. • Round off with some practice. • Informationis Standards and Advisory Circular based.
Is there a Purpose – or Just More Buzz Words? UNPLANNED COST RECRIMINATIONS TO REDUCE UNCERTAINTY and AVOID CRISIS ACCOUNTABILITY in LAW ADVERSE PUBLICITY TRIAL BY MEDIA
What is Driving Hazard and Risk Assessment? Piper Alpha oil rig disaster 167 people lost their lives Systemic failure (planning) Human factors/fallibility
Why Bring Hazard and Risk Assessment To Aviation? • Aircraft accident rate has plateaued • Many more aircraft flying = more accidents • Technology is extremely reliable • Focus on systems and human performance • Good for triple bottom line • Business becomes predictable • Society is driving accountability
What is a Hazard? Hazard Definition (CAANZ) An object or condition with the potential to: • Cause injuries to personnel • Cause damage to equipment or structures • Cause loss of material • Reduce ability to perform a prescribed function Charles de Gaulle Design Failure Santiago Airport One Month After March 2010 Earthquake Nairobi Airport Terminal Fire
What is Risk? Risk Definition (CAANZ) The effect of uncertainty on objectives, resulting in a deviation from the expected. Effect! Deviation Objective: We want more sun on the deck…….!!! Outcome: Great sun…. No House!! Uncertainty Tree lies here Expected
HazardAssessment 101 What does hazard assessment enable PNAL to do? Increase the likelihood of achieving objectives Considerand planto identify and treat risk Improve the identification of opportunities and threats Improveon existing controls, beconfidentin their effectiveness Enhance your health and safety performance and environmental protection Improve organisational resilience (recover quickly)
What is Risk Management? Coordinatedactivities to direct and control an organisation, with regard to risk. Set of standard principles and guidelines Createsand protects value Integral to the organisation ‘whole of operation’ Part of decision making Clearly and in detail addresses uncertainty Systematic, structured and timely
What is Risk Management? Based on best available information Tailored to suit each organisation Takes account of human and cultural factors Is transparent and inclusive Is dynamic, iterative (applied repeatedly) and responsive to change Facilitates continualimprovement
Risk Management Simplified • Put simply, an event, or series of events that: • Generate an outcome • Have consequences (positive or negative) • Have a value of likelihood of occurring • Something needs to be done • Are managed through development and implementation of controlmeasures • A ‘Cycle of Managing’
Threat Management Criteria Low hazard threat or simple process High hazard threat or complex process Increasing Expertise Required Operations people – observe, assess risk, make changes, hazard report. Expert Team – define objectives, budget, analysis, procedures, reporting, implementation, monitoring
What is Risk Treatment? The process of modifying identified risks Risk treatment can involve: Not starting an activity Taking risk to pursue opportunity Remove risk source Changing likelihood Changing the consequences Share risk with another party Retain risk by informed decision BUT REMEMBER – risk treatment can create new risks or modify existing risks = awareness!!
What Risk Management Isn’t… It is not a scatter gun attempt to cover all eventualities…… to the point where no one takes any notice of anything!
Risk Summary • The aim is to be able to generate a comprehensive list of risks. • Including risks associated with not pursuing opportunities. • Important words: • Significant – extensive or important enough to merit attention • Consequences – result or effect (good and bad) • Likelihood – the chance of something happening • Severity – the level to which something happens • Identify origin, probability, magnitude of risks and action to take.
Let’s Try to Identify the Risks Congestion Delays and Cancellations Traffic Chaos Frustration/Anger Unplanned R and M Adverse Publicity Scenario: Normal business at Palmerston North Airport, as the result of an earthquake doing long term damage to Wellington Airport’s runway.