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OVERVIEW of WORLD & U.S. BEEF CATTLE INDUSTRIES. By David R. Hawkins Michigan State University. India 313 Brazil 146 China 127 U.S.A. 98 Argentina 50 Russian Fed. 27 Australia 26. Mexico 24 Columbia 22 France 20 Germany 15 South Africa 14
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OVERVIEW of WORLD & U.S. BEEF CATTLE INDUSTRIES By David R. Hawkins Michigan State University
India 313 Brazil 146 China 127 U.S.A. 98 Argentina 50 Russian Fed. 27 Australia 26 Mexico 24 Columbia 22 France 20 Germany 15 South Africa 14 Canada 13 Venezuela 12 World Total 1,011 2000 WORLD CATTLE and BUFFALO (million head)
U.S.A. 12.1 Brazil 6.2 China 5.1 Argentina 2.8 Australia 2.0 Russian Fed. 1.9 Mexico 1.9 India 1.7 France 1.6 Germany 1.4 Canada 1.2 Italy 1.2 Ukraine 0.8 United Kingdom 0.7 Columbia 0.7 Total World 49.3 1999 WORLD BEEF and VEAL PRODUCTION (mil.metric ton)
EXPORTS U.S.A. 1,677 Australia 1,300 Canada 1,139 Brazil 631 Denmark 594 New Zealand 420 World Total 9,083 IMPORTS Japan 1,824 U.S.A. 1,679 Russian Fed. 1,200 Mexico 440 Korea 365 Hong Kong 329 World Total 7,353 1999 INTERNATIONAL MEAT TRADE (Thousand Metric Ton)
IMPACT of U.S. CATTLE INDUSTRY • U.S. has about 5% of world population • U.S. has about 10% of world cattle • U.S. produces 25% of world beef and veal • U.S. consumes 17% of world beef and veal
SIZE & INVESTMENT of U.S. BEEF INDUSTRY SEGMENTS • Seedstock – 120,000 breeders $ 15 bil. • Cow-calf – 830,880 operations $ 180 bil. • Dairy – 105,250 operations • Feedlot – 44,000 feedlots $ 7.5 bil. • Packers – 1,250 operations $ 3.8 bil. • Retailers – 250 food chains $ 50 bil. • Consumers – 270 mil. +
IMPORTANCE of U.S. CATTLE INDUSTRY • When one considers the value of the cattle and the land utilized to produce the feed, the U.S. cattle industry is the largest single component of American agriculture. • Other multibillion dollar industries – feed, finance, equipment, marketing, publications, etc. are highly dependent on cattle. Income generated by the beef industry yields a $3 to $5 economic multiplier effect to the communities in which it exists.
LOCATION of U.S. BEEF INDUSTRY • The “beef belt” is located eastward from the Rocky Mountains to Wisconsin and Illinois. • 70% of the cash receipts • 60% of the beef cows • 80% of the cattle on feed • 75% of the cattle harvested
Beef Cows TX 5,465,000 MO 2,070,000 NE 1,950,000 OK 1,910,000 SD 1,809,000 MT 1,531,000 KS 1,524,000 MI (38th) 85,000 Total 33,400,000 Cattle on Feed TX 2,940,000 NE 2,550,000 KS 2,450,000 CO 1,230,000 IA 1,050,000 CA 450,000 OK 415,000 MI (14th) 190,000 Total 14,199,000 STATE CATTLE INVENTORYJanuary 1, 2001
All Cattle & Calves TX 13,700,000 KS 6,700,000 NE 6,600,000 CA 5,150,000 OK 5,050,000 MO 4,250,000 SD 4,050,000 MI (31st) 980,000 Total 97,309,000 Dairy Cows CA 1,560,000 WI 1,330,000 NY 670,000 PA 610,000 MN 520,000 ID 354,000 TX 345,000 MI (8th) 300,000 Total 9,203,000 STATE CATTLE INVENTORYJanuary 1, 2001
1992 97.6 23.0 1993 99.2 22.9 1994 101.0 24.3 1995 102.8 25.1 1996 103.5 25.4 1997 101.7 25.4 1998 99.7 25.7 1999 98.5 26.4 2000 98.2 26.8 2001 97.3 26.0 2002* 96.7 25.5 2003* 97.9 25.3 2004* 99.3 25.4 2005* 100.8 25.6 Source: Cattle-Fax 12/10/01 U.S. Cattle Inventory (mil.hd.)Beef Production (bil.lb.)
MEAT CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA • There are several ways to calculate meat consumption per person per year. • Carcass Wt./# of people – The carcass contains fat & bone that we do not consume • Retail Wt./# of people – This contains bone and some fat that we do not consume • Boneless Wt./# of people – This may be most accurate, but is hard to get
MEAT CONSUMPTION PER CAPITA • Retail weight is most often presented. To adjust annual per capita retail weight to a boneless basis, one must subtract the bone weight from the retail weight using the following: • Beef = - 4 lb. • Pork = - 3 lb. • Turkey = - 4 lb. • Chicken = - 22 lb. to –24 lb.
2000 PER CAPITA MEAT CONSUMPTION • Beef 69.5 lb. retail (65.5 boneless) • Pork 53.8 lb. retail (50.8 boneless) • Chicken 82.1 lb. retail (60.1 boneless) • Turkey 17.9 lb. retail (13.9 boneless) • Lamb 1.0 lb. retail • Veal 0.8 lb. retail • Total Red Meat & Poultry = 225.1 lb. retail
2000 PER CAPITA SPENDING BEEF, PORK & CHICKEN • BEEF $ 212.22 44.5% • PORK $ 139.02 29.1% • BROILER $ 126.31 26.4% TOTAL $ SPENT = $ 478.28
PRODUCTION & CONSUMPTION • Small differences in consumption translates into large differences in production. • If 90% of our population ate one more 4 oz. serving of beef in a 2 week period, it would take would take the carcass wt. equivalent of 2.2 million more cattle per year to supply the increased consumption. (NCBA)
IMPACT OF EXPORTS ON U.S. BEEF INDUSTRY • If exports to Japan decline in 2002, and no new markets develop, a 10% reduction would add 2.1 million lbs.per week to the U.S. domestic supply. • If this 10% reduction lasted all year, live prices would reduced by $ 0.50/cwt. Source: Cattle-Fax