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program framework. Articulate program goals Develop system level model for goal attainment Assess current management efforts – identify gaps Develop management strategy Develop monitoring program Assess performance Manage adaptively. program framework. Articulate program goals explicit
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program framework • Articulate program goals • Develop system level model for goal attainment • Assess current management efforts – identify gaps • Develop management strategy • Develop monitoring program • Assess performance • Manage adaptively
program framework • Articulate program goals • explicit • unambiguous • measurable • realistic • attainable
program framework • Articulate program goals • Describe factors influencing goal attainment • Assess current management efforts – identify gaps • Develop management strategy • Develop monitoring program • Assess performance • Manage adaptively
program framework • Describe factors influencing goal attainment • what has to be managed to attain goal • simple model of system • can be improved as knowledge/time permit
Success implementing EBM requires atheory of change What must be done to produce the necessary and desired outcomes? • Adequately articulated, the theory of change: • organizes action • enables monitoring • facilitates adaptive management
monitoring to reduce uncertainty Validating assumptions about system behavior
Goal modelingidentification of factors potentially affecting attainment biological factors • fauna • flora • microorganisms physical factors • structure • hydrology • temperature chemical factors • salinity • pH • nutrients • toxics human factors • use objectives • modification of system • knowledge
program framework • Articulate program goals • Develop system level model for goal attainment • Assess current management efforts – identify gaps • Develop management strategy • Develop monitoring program • Assess performance • Manage adaptively
program framework • Assess current management efforts – identify gaps • simple initial assessment • critical factors not currently managed • opportunities for coordination • Develop management strategy • explicit, measurable intervention • clear, observable outcome
program framework • Articulate program goals • Develop system level model for goal attainment • Assess current management efforts – identify gaps • Develop management strategy • Develop monitoring program • Assess performance • Manage adaptively
program framework • Develop monitoring program • monitoring reflects management priorities • monitoring designed to reduce uncertainty in system model • indicators link condition and management efforts • monitoring data is appropriate to decision thresholds for adaptive management
Adaptive management uncertainties Monitoring must • Document conditions • Status and trends • Document interventions • Track implementation of management strategies • Reduce uncertainty • Validate assumptions about system behavior model BMP performance stressor trajectories system behavior
program framework • Articulate program goals • Develop system level model for goal attainment • Assess current management efforts – identify gaps • Develop management strategy • Develop monitoring program • Assess performance • Manage adaptively
Establishing performance expectations response response response time time time
Establishing performance expectations response response response time time Identifying uncertainty time
program framework • Articulate program goals • Develop system level model for goal attainment • Assess current management efforts – identify gaps • Develop management strategy • Develop monitoring program • Assess performance • Manage adaptively
program framework • articulate program goals • refine system level model for goal attainment • re-assess current management efforts – identify gaps • revise management strategy • adjust monitoring program • assess performance • manage adaptively