Consequence Management Planning

1. Consequence Management Planning John T. Hoffman Director, Threat & Mitigation john.hoffman@ncmail.net Meg Scott Phipps, Commissioner

2. How To Reduce Exposure to Terrorism • Assess threat and vulnerabilities • Implement Threat Reduction steps • Develop Crisis Management Plan • Develop Consequence Management Plan • Train your team & Exercise the plans

3. Sustainment Consequence Management Event Continuum Emergency Response Consequence Management Crisis Response • Support to local/State agencies • Troops on street • Immediate Response • Rescue • Immediate sustainment • Recovery • Long Term • Sustainment • Follow-up • Identify • Prevent • Apprehend • Follow-up Preparations Crisis Response • Plan • Equip • Train • Coordinate • Test • Respond • Rescue • Secure • Support

4. Response Capability Infrastructure & Resources Available Plans & Training Posture Information & Communications Organization’s Staff Available

5. Crisis & Consequence Management Planning • Your plan must address how you will operate without key external support? • You must understand the threat and its potential effect on your activity: • threat scenarios provide focus • Assess capabilities to respond and recover • analysis uncovers gaps and shortfalls • Your plan must identify how you will return to normalcy • The goal is to minimize loss of life, capability, and property

6. Analysis Approach Objective • Start with Threat Scenarios • Enlist domain experts • Use simulation tools to assess impact on target • physical models • GIS databases (demo- graphics, emergency assets, street maps, …) • Process/production schematics Analyze appropriate threat scenarios; overlay on conventional response capabilities Scenario Evolution Predict Impact Scenario Analysis Scenario Outcome Casualties Property Damage Process/production Impact Economic Impact

7. Organizational Response Assessment Scenario Information Technology Equipment Command Resources Overall Comm Plans Radiological Threat Overall Capabilities (Strontium) Summary: Terrorists place a beta emitter in tank of raw product. Biological Agent Threat (Foot & Mouth) Summary: Dairy cattle discovered to have FMD. Biological Agent Threat (Anthrax) Summary: 100 grams of anthrax released into the production process. Product Adulteration Threat (Ricin) Summary: Ricin put into raw product Chemical Agent Threat (Nerve Agent – from Pesticide) Summary: Organo-phosphate put into raw product Federal Government Response Assessment

8. Emergency Infrastructure • What facility can serve as your EOC? • Where is your off-site/alternate management or operations office? • What team within your organization provides ongoing planning and coordination? • Who can provide contracting, procurement, equipment loan/lease support to restore or sustain critical operations? • Is there a COOP plan to sustain production or preserve capability at some level? • Do you maintain pre-packaged response or continuity of operations emergency supplies?

9. Developing Consequence Management Plans: • Establish inter-agency Planning Team • Assess Threat and Vulnerabilities • Coordinate with local Emergency Response • Determine Required Tasks to Restore Normalcy • Determine Required Resources to Restore Normalcy • Determine tasks required to restore critical functions • Develop Command Structure and Staff functions • Assess current capabilities to execute the plan • Identify shortfalls and needs, then remedy them • Train your staff and then Exercise the plan!

10. 1 Jun Complete Consequence Management Plan Initial Assessment Report to CEO 15 Feb Complete Staffing Plan & Resource Allocations 1 DecComplete needs identification & Prioritize planning tasks to be accomplished Use Planning Milestones 20 Oct Conduct Detailed Assessments 4 Oct Complete Planning Task Objectives

11. Local EM Suppliers Police EMS Resourced Coordinated Integrated Effective Plan Industry Org. Sheriff NCDA&CS Media Endstate Objective

12. Consequence Management Planning QUESTIONS? John T. Hoffman Director, Threat & Mitigation john.hoffman@ncmail.net