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Fact finding mission or Facts, Findings, Missions as it looks from a viewpoint of a Hungarian Bank er from Bucharest

Fact finding mission or Facts, Findings, Missions as it looks from a viewpoint of a Hungarian Bank er from Bucharest. Budapest International Business Center Conference 2013 Panel discussion - Financial Services Budapest March 22, 2013.

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Fact finding mission or Facts, Findings, Missions as it looks from a viewpoint of a Hungarian Bank er from Bucharest

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  1. Fact finding missionorFacts, Findings, Missionsas it looks from a viewpoint of a Hungarian Banker from Bucharest Budapest International Business Center Conference 2013 Panel discussion - Financial Services Budapest March 22, 2013 György Gáldi - Deputy CEO, Member of Management Board OTP Bank Romania S.A.

  2. Content of this unusual SLIDESHOW Showing up Facts and Findings with respect to main figures/features of the new (i.e. joined during the last decade) EU member-states from Central and South Eastern Europe about: • Banking sector • FDI flow & stock developments • Foreign trading developments in order to determine the potential Missions to be fulfilled by banks acting as financial intermediaries. WARNING! FASTEN YOUR SEATBELTS! EXPECTED SPEED: 20-30 Sec/slides

  3. Introduction

  4. Introduction Real GDP (2008 average = 100, seasonally adjusted and adjusted data by working days) Source: Eurostat, OTP research

  5. Introduction Real GDP (2008 average = 100, seasonally adjusted and adjusted data by working days) Source: Eurostat, OTP research

  6. Introduction GDP at current prices (bln EUR, 2012) Source: Eurostat, OTP research 6

  7. Introduction Weight of countries in the region by GDP (% of region, based on current prices, 2012) Source: Eurostat, OTP research 7

  8. Banking sector 8

  9. Banking sector - Assets Aggregated assets of the banking sectors (bln EUR, December 2012) Source: ECB, OTP research 9

  10. Banking sector - Assets Weight of countries in the region by aggregated assets (% of region, December 2012) Source: ECB, OTP research 10

  11. Banking sector – Assets and Loans Aggregated assets and loans to GDP (%, 2012) Note: only private loans are included Source: ECB, Eurostat,OTP research

  12. Banking sector – Loans Loans to GDP ratio compared to the Eurozone (Eurozone = 100) Note: only private loans are included Source: ECB,Eurostat, OTP research

  13. Banking sector – Loans Evolution of loans (2008 average = 100, 3M moving average) Note: only private loans are included, EUR based index Source: ECB,OTP research

  14. Banking sector – Loans Evolution of loans (2008 average = 100, 3M moving average) Note: only private loans are included, EUR based index Source: ECB,OTP research

  15. Banking sector – Deposits Deposits to GDP ratio compared to the Eurozone (Eurozone = 100) Note: only private deposits are included Source: ECB,Eurostat, OTP research

  16. Banking sector – Deposits Evolution of deposits (2008 average = 100, 3M moving average) Note: only private deposits are included Source: ECB, OTP research

  17. Banking sector – Deposits Evolution of deposits (2008 average = 100, 3M moving average) Note: only private deposits are included Source: ECB, OTP research

  18. Banking sector – Loans to deposits Loans to deposits ratio (%, 3M moving average) Note: only private loans and deposits are included Source: ECB, OTP research

  19. Banking sector – Loans to deposits Loans to deposits ratio (%, 3M moving average) Note: only private loans and deposits are included Source: ECB, OTP research

  20. FDI stock and flow developments 20

  21. FDI stock and flow developments Inward FDI flows (bln EUR) Shares of the inward FDI flows in the region (%) Note: intra FDI flows are included Source: Eurostat, OTP research

  22. FDI stock and flow developments FDI stocks (bln EUR) Shares of the FDI stocks in the region (%) Note: intra FDI stocks are included Source: Eurostat, OTP research

  23. FDI stock and flow developments Inward FDI stock to GDP (%, 2011) Note: intra FDI stocks are included. For example in case of the Eurozone the FDI stock / GDP ratio would be only about 46% if the intra FDI stocks are excluded. Source: Eurostat, OTP research

  24. FDI stock and flow developments Per capita inward FDI stock (1.000 EUR/capita, 2011) Note: intra FDI stocks are included. In case of Romania the population took into consideration was 19,0 mln as of the last (2011) census and not the official number of approx. 21 mln. Source: Eurostat, Romanian National Institute of Statistics, OTP research

  25. FDI stock and flow developments Top investors in Romania by inward FDI stock (% of total in brackets,mln EUR, 2011) Structure of inward FDI stock in Romania from Hungary (mln EUR, 2011) Inward FDI stock in Romania from Hungary (mln EUR) Source: Eurostat, National Bank of Romania, OTP research 25

  26. FDI stock and flow developments Top investors in Romania by no. of companies (% of total in brackets, no., 2012) Companies in Romania with Hungarian capital (no.) Note: at the calculation of rankings was took into consideration only the top 50 foreign investors by volume of share capital Source: ONRC, OTP research

  27. FDI stock and flow developments The structure of the FDI stock by development regions in bln EUR and percentage (2011) NORTH - WEST   2,5 (4,5%) NORTH - EAST   1,6 (2,9%) CENTER 4,2 (7,6%) WEST   4,0 (7,2%) SOUTH-EAST  3,0 (5,4%) SOUTH-MUNTENIA   4,1 (7,4%) SOUTH - WEST - OLTENIA  1,8 (3,3%) BUCHAREST-ILFOV 34,0 (61,7%) Source: National Bank of Romania, OTP research 27

  28. FDI stock and flow developments The structure of the GDP by development regions in bln RON and in percentage (2012) NORTH - WEST   62,3 (10,6%) NORTH - EAST   64,0 (10,9%) CENTER 67,9 (11,6%) WEST   59,6 (10,2%) SOUTH-EAST  62,3 (10,6%) SOUTH-MUNTENIA   73,9 (12,6%) SOUTH - WEST - OLTENIA  47,3 (8,1%) BUCHAREST-ILFOV 147,1 (25,1%) Note: NCP estimations, Extra-Regions GDP - RON 0,7 bln (0,1%) Source: Romanian National Commission of Prognosis (NCP), OTP research 28

  29. Foreign trade developments 29

  30. Foreign trade developments Export of goods (bln EUR) Shares in the export of goods in the region (%) Note: intra trades are included Source: Eurostat, OTP research

  31. Foreign trade developments Volume of export of goods to GDP (%, 2012) Note: intra trades are included Source: Eurostat, OTP research

  32. Foreign trade developments Per capita export of goods (1.000 EUR/capita, 2012) Note: intra trades are included. In case of Romania the population took into consideration was 19,0 mln as of the last (2011) census and not the official number of approx. 21 mln. Source: Eurostat, Romanian National Institute of Statistics, OTP research

  33. Foreign trade developments Industrial production (series adjusted by number of working days and seasonality) Industrial production (2008 average=100, 3M moving average) Source: Romanian National Institute of Statistics, Eurostat, OTP research

  34. Foreign trade developments Import of goods (bln EUR) Shares in the import of goods in the region (%) Note: intra trades are included Source: Eurostat, OTP research

  35. Foreign trade developments Volume of import of goods to GDP (%, 2012) Note: intra trades are included Source: Eurostat, OTP research

  36. Foreign trade developments Per capita import of goods (1.000 EUR/capita, 2012) Note: intra trades are included. In case of Romania the population took into consideration was 19,0 mln as of the last (2011) census and not the official number of approx. 21 mln. Source: Eurostat, Romanian National Institute of Statistics, OTP research

  37. Foreign trade developments - Hungary Export of goods (FOB, % of total in brackets, mln EUR) Import of goods (CIF, % of total in brackets, mln EUR) Source: Eurostat, OTP research 37

  38. Foreign trade developments - Romania Export of goods (FOB, % of total in brackets, mln EUR) Import of goods (CIF, % of total in brackets, mln EUR) Source: Eurostat, OTP research 38

  39. Foreign trade developments Romanian-Hungarian commercial relationships (mlnEUR, 2012) Romanian-Hungarian commercial relationships (mln EUR, 2003-2012) Source: Eurostat, OTP research 39

  40. Megbízunkegymásban Avemîncredere Доверяйте друг другу Vjeruju jedni drugima Verujemo jedni drugima довіряти один одному Dôverujemesinavzájom Доверuemo еBзɊUMHO We trust each other 40

  41. Thank You!

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