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The Impact of Housing on Life Chances: A Longitudinal Analysis.
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The Impact of Housing on Life Chances:A Longitudinal Analysis Leon Feinstein, Ruth Lupton, Cathie Hammond, Tamjid Mujtaba, Emma Salter and Annik Sorhaindo,Institute of Education, University of LondonWith Rebecca Tunstall (LSE), Marcus Richards and Diana Kuh (MRC NSHD) and Jon Johnson (CLS, IoE).
Birth Cohort Studies National Survey of Health and Development (NSHD) Those living in GB born in one week in 1946 National Child Development Study (NCDS) All those living in GB born in one week in 1958 1970 British Cohort Study (BCS70) All those living in GB born in one week in 1970 Millennium Cohort Study (MCS) All those born in selected areas of UK over 12 months beginning September 2000 in England and Wales, and December 2000 in Scotland and Northern Ireland
Questions • Who is in social housing at each period? • What is the relationship between being in social housing as a child and adult outcomes? • What is the relationship between being in social housing in early adulthood with outcomes in later adulthood? • Is there an area affect?
Proportion in Social Housing by quintile of SAR index of advantage
Proportion of families in owner occupation by quintile of SAR Index of Advantage
Odds ratios for multiple deprivation in adulthood by housing tenure in childhood (0-16): Males
Odds ratios for multiple deprivation in adulthood by housing tenure in childhood (0-16): Females
Increase in probability of multiple deprivation in adulthood by number of sweeps in social housing in childhood, males
Increase in probability of multiple deprivation in adulthood by number of sweeps in social housing in childhood, females
Odds ratios for multiple deprivation in adulthood by housing tenure earlier in adulthood, males
Odds ratios for multiple deprivation in adulthood by housing tenure earlier in adulthood, females
Main Messages • Social housing not inherently negative. But… • … for later cohorts, there seems to be no evidence that it is having a beneficial influence on other life outcomes
Further research We need to know much more about how housing facilitates and constrains: • For whom • (e.g. age, gender, ethnicity)? • By housing trajectory and need • Where? • In what respects (e.g. learning, work, health)? • How?