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The Impact of Training Programme Type and Duration on the Employment Chances of the Unemployed in Ireland Group 5: Niall Cassidy, David Murphy Friday, 2 December 2011. About the Study. ESRI Working Paper, Sept. 2011, Seamus McGuinness et al.
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The Impact of Training Programme Type and Duration on the Employment Chances of the Unemployed in Ireland Group 5: Niall Cassidy, David Murphy Friday, 2 December 2011
About the Study • ESRI Working Paper, Sept. 2011, Seamus McGuinness et al. • Purpose of paper: an attempt to evaluate the impact of a range of government sponsored courses on unemployment levels in Ireland. • Challenging context for policy-makers now: • Huge demand for retraining (Irl UE: <5% 2007 to 14% 2011; plus long term UE: 53.9% of total). • Lack of financing to support . • Therefore, need to ensure effective use of available finances
Examples of Types of Training • Job search training: how to submit applications & do interviews. • General training: e.g. European Computer Driver License. • Specific training: • Low level: Introduction to Warehousing • Medium level: Computerised Accounts & Payroll • High level: Computer-Aided Draughting & Design
Dataset • Researchers used a unique dataset (Live Register database, FÁS files, two separate Dept Social Protection datasets). • Control group allowed effective isolation of the impact of training. • Tracks cohort over two years to evaluate impact. • Key treatment sample of 764 individuals.
Overall Findings of the Study (1) Strong Positive effects for: • Job-search skills training • Medium-to-high level skills courses More modest effects for: • General vocational skills (skills not demanded in market) Less consistent effects for: • Low skills training Shorter training courses had more positive effect (with the exception of high-skill courses) due to the “lock-in effect”.
Overall Findings of the Study (2) After training the likelihood of exiting unemployment by 21 months positively related to: 3rd level qualification; own transport; willingness to move; high earning spouse, history of employment. Lowered by: dependent children, history of long-term unemployment, numeracy/literacy problems. Overall: training increased participants' likelihood of no longer being UE in June 2008 by 11% (3% for every ten weeks training undertaken)
Analysis • But only 8 per cent of trainees participated in the highly effective jobs search training. • And only 4 per cent did high level specific skills training. • Over two-thirds of all training days were spent in much less effective low skills or general training which had only modest effects. • BIG PICTURE: Scare Resources are being wasted on the wrong types of training!