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Non trade concerns Japan’ key concept for agricultural negotiations. May 2002 at Ottawa IPC Seminar JIRO SHIWAKU.
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Non trade concernsJapan’ key concept foragricultural negotiations May 2002 at Ottawa IPC Seminar JIRO SHIWAKU
Launching of Comprehensive WTO Trade Roundby Doha Declaration • Agriculture is a part ofQuasi-comprehensiveagenda • But,Investment and Competion deferred to the 5th Ministeral
Ag part of Doha Declaration Confirmation of Art 20 of UR Ag. Agreement • Substantial improvement of market access • Reduction of all forms of export subsidies, with a view to phasing out ・
Substantial reductions in distorting domestic support • Take into account • Non-trade concerns • Special & Differential treatmentfor developing countries
Ag negotiations undertaken in advance of Doha Declaration • 45 Proposalspresented by 121 members since March 2000 • Modalitiesof commitmentsto be • finalized by 31 March 2003
Planned Schedule of establishment of modalities 1) June to November 2002 Formal and informal discussion 2) 18 December 2002 Overview draft paper by chairperson
January to March 2003 • Discussion on the basis of draft paper • 31 March 2003 • Completion of modalities • Completion of negotiations (single undertaking) • by January 2005
Japan presented negotiating proposal December 2000 • Basic features of Japanese proposal; 1) Coexistence of various types of agriculture, 1. multi-functionality of agriculture 2. food security
2) Adjustment of such elements of the rules & disciplines as are regarded to be imbalanced in terms of interests between exporting and importing countries
Background of importance of multi-functionalty and food security Arable land:4.6million hectars Paddy field: 1.8 million hectars Upland dry field : 2.8million hectars (vegetables , fruits, forage crops and others) Mountain & semi- mountain areas: 2/3 of national land
Self sufficiency ratio: Within 40% of total S.S.R. in terms of calorie jntake,there is a two tier structure • Extremely low S.S.R.products such as wheat(9%), Barley(7%),Soya beans(6%), Corns(nearly 0%) • Nearly self sufficient Rice(92%)
Medium & long term instability of World Food Demand & Supply Demand • Population growth in developing countries • Increasing demand for meat, dairy products, oil&fat • Increasing supply requirement for feed grain, oil seed
Supply Various constraints on increases in production • Stagnated growth of productivity • constrains on expansion of agricultural land • Degradation of the environment (desertification, global warming etc.)
Short-term Instability of Supply and Demand • Low percentage export/production • Dominant Supply by a few major exporting countries • Diminishing stockholding by major exporting countries • Dominance of grain majors and single desk sellers
Perceptions of Food Security among Japanese Public Future food supply feel very uneasy 27% feel uneasy 51% not feel uneasy 17% not feel uneasy at all 2%
Domestic Production Better produce domestically even if the price is higher 43% Better produce domestically at least for staple food 40% Better import if the price is cheaper 11%
Multi-functionalty of Agriculture Conservation of national land Preservation of sound environment Maintenance of good landscape
Multi-functional character of paddy farming 1) Flood prevention The flat paddy field surrounded by bunds(small dyke)has the ability to hold pondingwater,which prevent quick outflow of heavy rainfall
A large amount of rainwater can be stored in a paddy field during a storm, at least for afew days. Accordingly,the peak flow rate of rivers will decrease and residential lots in downstream will be protected from flooding.
2) Soil erosion prevention Surface water flow during a rainfall within a paddy field is moderate due to the flatness and the existence of bunks (dyke). Consequently soil erosion is usually less than that in a upland field Also soil erosion by wind is rare in the case of paddy whereas it is one of the serious environmental problem for upland dry field.
3) Purification of water quality The pollution of groundwaters with nitrate is.very rare in paddy farming , not only because excess nitrogen is not usually applied to rice to avoid their lodging , but also because nitrate is denitrified to nitrogen gas in anaerobic paddy soil. 4) Higher Utilization of Water Resources through a repeated use of irrigated water in the paddy field
5) Conservation of biodiversity • Paddy field can serve as the habitat for aquatic wildlife, such as flogs, dragonflies, medakas, fireflies, giant water bugs. • Paddy field is also to offer habitat for migratory birds,such as sandpiper, plover, cranes from Siberia through Japan to Southeast Asia & Oceania.
Perception of Multifunctionalty of Agriculture among Juapanese Public Necessity of maximaizing the multifunctional role of agriculture
Role of Agriculture other thanFood production
Japan Commitment in URAA 1. Export subsidies :continuation of non- utilization Domestic support: 20% reduction of AMS from 4966.1billion yen (base period) to 3972.9 billion yen (2000) Market access: tarrification of such products as starch, wheat, barley, dairy products, etc. Average 36% reduction as well as minimum 15% reduction of tariff
Japan URAA commitment (continued) Special treatment of Rice Trade Regime • Deferred introduction of tarrified scheme with minimum access commitment higher than the standard case as a compensation.(48% in place of 3 5%) • Shift to the tarrified scheme of rice.April 1999(2 years in advance of last year of implementation period) • As a result, minimum access quantity has been slightly lessened from 8% to 7.2% in 2000
1) Importation of minimum access rice, at the present level of 7.2% of domestic consumption exerts unbearable burden to paddy farmers who are struggling to curtail nearly 40% of production capacity (one million hectares) to adjust to the decreasing trend of consumption (per capita consumption of rice: 138 kg in 1965, 60kg in 2000)
2) Rice is a life line staple food for the country of 120 million population, because ; 1) their production by the waterlogged paddy is a very sustainable way in humid conditions of Asian monsoon climate zone 2) it is only one major item of Japanese agriculture to be able to meet the entire national consumption requirements.
There are strong sentiments that it is unfair for Japan to continue to be obliged with this higher than standard minimum access even after the shift to tariffication Any pressure to furtheropening Japanese rice market would be strongly resisted not only by farm groups but also by most consumers whose concern for food security is very high.
Drastic change in policy formulation structure Key players: • Government bureaucrats __MAFF __Four other Agencies(MOFA, MITI,MOF, EPA) • LDP Ag. Trade committee • Zenchyu (Farm organization)
Until URAA • The leading role of MAFF Bureaucrats in formulating policy directions. ___-Policy adjustment within the MAFF itself as well as among five government agencies. • The constructive consultation of the MAFF with LDP Agr. Trade committee which was guided by a small number of well desciplined leaders
Political Reaction against Japan’s acceptance of the URAA • In 1993, 8 coalition ofnon-LDP government had accepted the URAA. • Strong resentment of LDP-farm related politicians against the Japan's acceptance of the URAA as being unfavourable to Japan's agricultural and food security interests.
After UR • Weakened leadership role of the bureaucrats of MAFF and other agencies, due to : poor management of economic policy during the so-called lost 90's : a series of scandals by high ranking government officials • Shift of policy decision initiatives from the bureaucrats and changes in political coordination style in LDP Ag. trade committee
Frequent and close Tripartite consultations among Zenchyu, LDP and MAFF • The incumbent leadership of this powerful committee is determined to rectify the outcomes of URAA which they perceive as not taking fully into account the multifunctionality of agriculture nor well balanced in terms of the interests between the exporting and importing countries
Japan's negotiating position on specific factors; 1) Market access As for level of tariff and access quantity, they must be set at appropriate levels with reasonable flexibility, considering such various elements : securing the benefits of multifunctionalty; ensuring food security; the current situation of production and consumption for each product; international supply and demand;
; and the progress of domestic agricultural policy reform. In particular, due consideration should be given to the tarrified products, in order to secure the benefits of multifunctionalty and to ensure food security in each country . Special safeguard measures should be maintained.
2 Domestic support In order to enable each country to promote agricultural policy reform , while giving consideration to securing the benefits of the multifunctionalty of agriculture and ensuring food security , the following improvements should be made:
__requirements for Green Box policies should be improved, based on the • experience of URAA implementation; • the Blue Box policies should be • maintained • __domestic support level should be determined in a realistic manner
3 Rules and disciplines on exports Export rules and disciplines should be strengthened, since it is necessary to ensure the stability and predicability of exports in order to ensure food security in importing countries.
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