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Evaluating cohesion by a MCA framework : application at a TEN-T case study

Institute for Transport Studies FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT. Evaluating cohesion by a MCA framework : application at a TEN-T case study. EU Cohesion Policy: Research Opportunities and Policy Challenges European Policies Research Centre University of Strathclyde Glasgow, 5 December 2008.

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Evaluating cohesion by a MCA framework : application at a TEN-T case study

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  1. Institute for Transport Studies FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Evaluating cohesion by a MCA framework : application at a TEN-T case study EU Cohesion Policy: Research Opportunities and Policy Challenges European Policies Research Centre University of Strathclyde Glasgow, 5 December 2008 N. Thomopoulos, Dr S.M. Grant-Muller, Dr M.R. Tight

  2. Introduction Photo: P. Mens - Oresundsbron Photos: Egnatia Odos S.A. Photos: Egnatia Odos S.A. Operating TEN-Ts Photo: S. Madsen - Oresundsbron

  3. Introduction This is a complex issue with various parameters EVALUATION Transport The focus here will be on transport cohesion

  4. Transport projects assessment Methodology used for transport project assessment in EU-25 by mode CBA: Cost-Benefit Analysis, MCA: Multi-Criteria Analysis, QM: Quantitative Method, Other: Other qualitative (combination of) method. If (for example) both CBA and MCA are used, the figure reflects CBA. Source: Odgard et al (2005)

  5. Cohesion in transport assessment • Although included in EU & national policy documents, cohesion and equity are not included in all national appraisal methods Source: Odgaard et al (2005)

  6. Cohesion/Equity measure Features Statistical Examine the distribution of a variable in a given sample population Welfare Use a welfare function to incorporate cohesion considerations. Based on welfare economics Axiomatic Define the properties that a desired measure should fulfill Cohesion in transport evaluation • How are cohesion and equity measured in transport evaluation? • There are various measures: Source: Ramjerdi (2006)

  7. 2. Stakeholders’ identification 1. Project objective(s) identification 3. Project objective(s) re-evaluation by stakeholders AHP 5.Viewpoint on priorities about equity formsidentification 4.Viewpoint on equity theory identification 6.Impact distribution evaluation by Gini/Theil indices to derive a quantified value for each equity form 5.Quantification of impacts using relevant indicators 7.Linear sum of all equity impacts and contrast with pre-defined viewpoints AHP methodology “One has to prepare the ground by correctly specifying the problems, selecting priorities and quantifying policy targets” (Molle, 2006)

  8. AHP survey Example question of the AHP questionnaire

  9. Indicators results GDP/capita annual rate of change by NUTS-3 between 1996-2004 (Source: Observatory - Egnatia Odos)

  10. Indicators results Average daily traffic p.a. (Source: Observatory - Egnatia Odos)

  11. Indicators results Cohesion impacts of Egnatia Odos based on indicators statistical analysis Need for an axiomatic approach to complement statistical analysis

  12. Conclusion • Cohesion can be included in the appraisal and evaluation of large transport infrastructure projects • MCA methods are a useful tool for cohesion and equity assessment of large transport infrastructure projects • Ex-post evaluation needs to be integrated in project evaluation  make use of strategic evaluations • The current needs to achieve this and incorporate an MCA approach are: • use of common terminology • consistent target setting and monitoring • ex-post evaluation of large transport infrastructure projects • an overall assessment framework evaluating both direct and indirect impacts

  13. Institute for Transport Studies FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Thank you for your attention Questions and comments are welcome!

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