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1. Critical Ignorance in Water, Sanitation and HygieneSteve Luby, MD, ICDDRB
2. Global child deaths by cause
3. Annual Child Deaths Diarrhea 1,800,000
Typhoid fever 400,000
6000 child deaths per day
4. Diarrhea Other health consequences Stunted growth (malnutrition)
Lost productivity
Decreased cognitive function? Stunted growth – In a study from Brazil, there was a direct correlation with the number of days a child had diarrhea, and their with diarrhea
Decreased cognitive function Niehaus Am J Trop Med Hyg 66(5), 2002 pp. 590-593.
Stunted growth – In a study from Brazil, there was a direct correlation with the number of days a child had diarrhea, and their with diarrhea
Decreased cognitive function Niehaus Am J Trop Med Hyg 66(5), 2002 pp. 590-593.
5. Why do children die of enteric diseases in low income countries? Youngest children
Immature immune system
Less physiologic reserve
Multiple physiologic insults
Malnutrition
Protein & calorie deficient
Micronutrient deficient
Frequent infections
Contaminated environment
Limited access to effective clinical care
6. How do we improve the situation?
7. Outline What we know and don’t know
Water
Sanitation
Hygiene
Barriers to overcoming our ignorance
Ways forward
8. WaterWe know We don’t know Historically introducing clean water reduced death from typhoid fever
Improving water quality reduces disease
Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease
The greatest benefit is derived from improving the worst water How to develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city
The health impact of halfway measures
Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water
The contribution of point of use treatment
Mortality effects
9. Typhoid Death Rates immediately before and after improved water supplies Lawrence, MA was the first city in the United States built the first slow sand filter to treat municipal water in 1893. The number of deaths from typhoid fever in the city dropped by over 80%Lawrence, MA was the first city in the United States built the first slow sand filter to treat municipal water in 1893. The number of deaths from typhoid fever in the city dropped by over 80%
10. Typhoid Death Rates immediately before and after improved water supplies In 1892 Newark NJ switched its major water supply from the heavily sewage polluted Passaic River to the substantially cleaner Pequannock River, and deaths from typhoid fever dropped by 60%.In 1892 Newark NJ switched its major water supply from the heavily sewage polluted Passaic River to the substantially cleaner Pequannock River, and deaths from typhoid fever dropped by 60%.
11. Typhoid Death Rates immediately before and after improved water supplies Throughout the 1800s Chicago drained its sewage into Lake Michigan and withdrew its drinking water from the same lake. In the late 1890s Chicago built a number of sewage canals that diverted sewage away from Lake Michigan. Typhoid fever deaths fell by 80%. When Chicago began chlorinating their water supply in 1919, typhoid mortality fell to 1 case per 100,0000Throughout the 1800s Chicago drained its sewage into Lake Michigan and withdrew its drinking water from the same lake. In the late 1890s Chicago built a number of sewage canals that diverted sewage away from Lake Michigan. Typhoid fever deaths fell by 80%. When Chicago began chlorinating their water supply in 1919, typhoid mortality fell to 1 case per 100,0000
12. Typhoid Death Rates immediately before and after improved water supplies In 1908 40% of the population of Atlanta did not have water mains or sewers. From 1911 to 1915, Atlanta made a massive investment in waterworks and sewerage, markedly increasing the coverage, and markedly decreasing the death rate from typhoid fever. In 1908 40% of the population of Atlanta did not have water mains or sewers. From 1911 to 1915, Atlanta made a massive investment in waterworks and sewerage, markedly increasing the coverage, and markedly decreasing the death rate from typhoid fever.
13. WaterWe know We don’t know Historically introducing clean water reduced death from typhoid fever
Improving water quality reduces disease
Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease
The greatest benefit is derived from improving the worst water How to develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city
The health impact of halfway measures
Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water
The contribution of point of use treatment
Mortality effects
14. WaterWe know We don’t know Historically introducing clean water reduced death from typhoid fever
Improving water quality reduces disease
Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease
The greatest benefit is derived from improving the worst water How to develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city
The health impact of halfway measures
Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water
The contribution of point of use treatment
Mortality effects
15. If you hear people say “water quality does not matter” Only water quantity matters, you can safely conclude that you are talking with someone who is either uninformed or has a vested interest in a particular intervention.
Consider digression on strength of evidence.
If you hear people say “water quality does not matter” Only water quantity matters, you can safely conclude that you are talking with someone who is either uninformed or has a vested interest in a particular intervention.
Consider digression on strength of evidence.
16. WaterWe know We don’t know Historically introducing clean water reduced death from typhoid fever
Improving water quality reduces disease
Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease
The greatest benefit is derived from improving the worst water How to develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city
The health impact of halfway measures
Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water
The contribution of point of use treatment
Mortality effects
17. Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease 7 studies that looked at the impact of water quantity independent of water quality
Median reduction in diarrhea 27%
Esrey et. Al, Bull of WHO, 69(5):609-621 (1991)
Methodologically weak
Several studies have noted improved child health with increased access to water
Per capita water consumption increased with proximity to water
More time for child care
More water for handwashing? Urban Health Newsl. 1997 Mar;(32):34-47. Links
Reviewing the health impacts of improvements in water supply.
* Lewin S,
* Stephens C,
* Cairncross S.
Level of evidence is not as strong, based on description and cross sectional studies, but it remains fairly convincing to me.
Urban Health Newsl. 1997 Mar;(32):34-47. Links
Reviewing the health impacts of improvements in water supply.
* Lewin S,
* Stephens C,
* Cairncross S.
Level of evidence is not as strong, based on description and cross sectional studies, but it remains fairly convincing to me.
18. WaterWe know We don’t know Historically introducing clean water reduced death from typhoid fever
Improving water quality reduces disease
Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease
The greatest health benefit is derived from improving the worst water How to develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city
The health impact of halfway measures
Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water
The contribution of point of use treatment
Mortality effects
19. The greatest benefit is derived from improving the worst water Insert the Bob Black where do children die graphicInsert the Bob Black where do children die graphic
20. WaterWe know We don’t know Historically introducing clean water reduced death from typhoid fever
Improving water quality reduces disease
Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease
The greatest health benefit is derived from improving the worst water The historical effect of clean central water supplies on child mortality
How to develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city
The health impact of halfway measures
Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water
The contribution of point of use treatment
Mortality effects
21. Number of surviving children during the first 5 years of life, Tilburg, Netherlands, 1904 - 1906
22. WaterWe know We don’t know Historically introducing clean water reduced death from typhoid fever
Improving water quality reduces disease
Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease
The greatest health benefit is derived from improving the worst water The historical effect of clean central water supplies on child mortality
How to develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city
The health impact of halfway measures
Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water
The contribution of point of use treatment
Mortality effects
23. How do we develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city? Successes
Countries that have paid for their own infrastructure
Challenges
The population being served is living on less than $2 per day
There is not an effective functioning system for collecting money from the population in need
Water distribution systems are severely compromised
Demand far outstrips supplies
24. Sustainable urban water supply key research questions Careful analysis of interventions
Effect on
Household water quantity
Household water quality
Health impact
Financing
Maintenance
Long term effectiveness
Critical assessment of failures
Might one of the failure of the large infrastructure projects have been failure of research, failure to identify the questions, and address them systematically?
25. WaterWe know We don’t know Historically introducing clean water reduced death from typhoid fever
Improving water quality reduces disease
Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease
The greatest health benefit is derived from improving the worst water The historical effect of clean central water supplies on child mortality
How to develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city
The health impact of halfway measures
Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water
The contribution of point of use treatment
Mortality effects
26. The health impact of halfway measures Improving a water treatment plant, but not the distribution system.
Increasing the quantity of water from 4 hours per week to an hour per day.
The health impact of improved water supplies in rural areas
27. WaterWe know We don’t know Historically introducing clean water reduced death from typhoid fever
Improving water quality reduces disease
Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease
The greatest health benefit is derived from improving the worst water The historical effect of clean central water supplies on child mortality
How to develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city
The health impact of halfway measures
Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water
The contribution of point of use treatment
Mortality effects
28. Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water We cannot tell policy makers how investments in improved water compare to investments in nutrition, vaccination, or improved roads.
Consider the discussion. Do you want clean water? Yes, should we have clean water yes? How can you supply clean water that is available 24 hours a day and is not contaminated by major biological or chemical contaminants? I don’t know. How much will it cost? I don’t know. Compare this to my health colleague who is meeting with the minister of finance directly afterward promoting rotavirus vaccine.Consider the discussion. Do you want clean water? Yes, should we have clean water yes? How can you supply clean water that is available 24 hours a day and is not contaminated by major biological or chemical contaminants? I don’t know. How much will it cost? I don’t know. Compare this to my health colleague who is meeting with the minister of finance directly afterward promoting rotavirus vaccine.
29. WaterWe know We don’t know Historically introducing clean water reduced death from typhoid fever
Improving water quality reduces disease
Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease
The greatest health benefit is derived from improving the worst water The historical effect of clean central water supplies on child mortality
How to develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city
The health impact of halfway measures
Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water
The contribution of point of use treatment
Mortality effects
31. Research agenda for point of use water treatment Can this be deployed at scale
Sustainably
With an impact on health?
32. WaterWe know We don’t know Historically introducing clean water reduced death from typhoid fever
Improving water quality reduces disease
Increasing water quantity probably reduces disease
The greatest benefit is derived from improving the worst water The historical effect of clean central water supplies on child mortality
How to develop a sustainable central water supply in a low income country mega-city
The health impact of halfway measures
Cost effectiveness of bringing clean water
The contribution of point of use treatment
Mortality effects
33. SanitationWe know We don’t know Human enteric pathogen move from the feces of infected persons to un-infected persons
There is an important difference between having a sanitary latrine and using it
A number of community based behavior change strategies have been developed that have improved the prevalence and use of latrines The health impact of improved sanitation
on its own.
in combination with other interventions
Which approaches are optimum
Immediate
Mid-range
Long-term
How to develop sustainable interventions.
34. SanitationWe know We don’t know Human enteric pathogen move from the feces of infected persons to un-infected persons
There is an important difference between having a sanitary latrine and using it
A number of community based behavior change strategies have been developed that have improved the prevalence and use of latrines The health impact of improved sanitation
on its own.
in combination with other interventions
Which approaches are optimum
Immediate
Mid-range
Long-term
How to develop sustainable interventions.
35. SanitationWe know We don’t know Human enteric pathogen move from the feces of infected persons to un-infected persons
There is an important difference between having a sanitary latrine and using it
A number of community based behavior change strategies have been developed that have improved the prevalence and use of latrines The health impact of improved sanitation
on its own.
in combination with other interventions
Which approaches are optimum
Immediate
Mid-range
Long-term
How to develop sustainable interventions.
36. SanitationWe know We don’t know Human enteric pathogen move from the feces of infected persons to un-infected persons
There is an important difference between having a sanitary latrine and using it
A number of community based behavior change strategies have been developed that have improved the prevalence and use of latrines The health impact of improved sanitation
on its own.
in combination with other interventions
Which approaches are optimum
Immediate
Mid-range
Long-term
How to develop sustainable interventions.
37. How to Prevent DiarrheaCross National Comparison Based on work by Steve Esrey and others, comparing the incidence of diarrhea in settings with different levels of each of these interventions. Conclusions included it was more important to work on sanitation than on water, and water quantity was more important than water quality. This is the conceptualization that has underlied water and sanitation interventions for the last 3 decades.Based on work by Steve Esrey and others, comparing the incidence of diarrhea in settings with different levels of each of these interventions. Conclusions included it was more important to work on sanitation than on water, and water quantity was more important than water quality. This is the conceptualization that has underlied water and sanitation interventions for the last 3 decades.
38. Problems with cross national comparisons With settings that were so different it is hard to know if the differences were a result of the infrastructure or program.
Quite far from a randomized controlled trial
39. The health impact of improved sanitation
40. The health impact of sanitationResearch Agenda We lack convincing data on the impact of sanitation
No randomized control trials
No rigorous assessments of the relative importance of sanitation, water supply and hygiene
Absence of convincing data have limited investment
For 35 years commentators have noted we do not have this information.
Sanitation believers advocate, but in the absence of data their advocacy has been insufficient
41. SanitationWe know We don’t know Human enteric pathogen move from the feces of infected persons to un-infected persons
There is an important difference between having a sanitary latrine and using it
A number of community based behavior change strategies have been developed that have improved the prevalence and use of latrines The health impact of improved sanitation
on its own.
in combination with other interventions
Which approaches are optimum
Immediate
Mid-range
Long-term
How to develop sustainable interventions.
42. SanitationWe know We don’t know Human enteric pathogen move from the feces of infected persons to un-infected persons
There is an important difference between having a sanitary latrine and using it
A number of community based behavior change strategies have been developed that have improved the prevalence and use of latrines The health impact of improved sanitation
on its own.
in combination with other interventions
Which approaches are optimum
Immediate
Mid-range
Long-term
How to develop sustainable interventions.
43. Hygiene : Handwashing
44. HandwashingWe know We don’t know Handwashing has health benefits
Diarrhea
Respiratory disease
Effective in sub-optimal situations
Where water and sanitation are not improved
Where drying is imperfect
There are important community benefits
Soap requires water How to effectively improve handwashing behavior at scale
How effective handwashing is in preventing severe pneumonia
What effect handwashing has on child mortality
45. In highly contaminated settings :What role for soap and personal hygiene?
46. ObjectiveSoap Health Study, Karachi, Pakistan, 2002 Measure effect of handwashing with soap on
diarrhea
acute respiratory illness
Measure effect of skin washing with soap on
impetigo
Measure the marginal benefit of including an antibacterial compound in soap on preventing impetigo
47. Environmental SettingKarachi Soap Health Study, 2002 Squatter settlements
Sewage contaminated drinking water
10,900 colony forming units of fecal coliforms per 100 ml
Feces contaminated environment
48. Disease SettingKarachi Soap Health Study, 2002 10% of children die before their 5th birthday
40% from diarrhea
13% from acute respiratory disease
30-40% of children are malnourished
49. Cluster Randomized Study
50. Cluster Randomized Study
51. Cluster Randomized Study
52. Cluster Randomized Study
53. Interventions Antibacterial soap
Chemically identical to commercially available Safeguard® soap
Generic package & bar
Contains 1.2% triclocarban
Inhibits the growth of gram positive bacteria
Plain soap
Identical to antibacterial soap except no triclocarban added
Generic package & bar
School supplies
54. Handwashing Promotion Households visits, at least weekly, by HOPE, a trusted, local NGO
Discussions in households native language
Pictures used to promote discussions about handwashing
Questions answered
Diarrhea data collected
Soap re-supplied
55. Soap group instructions Wash skin once a day
56. Soap group instructions Wash hands thoroughly lathering with soap
After
Defecation
Cleaning an infant
Before
Preparing food
Eating
Feeding an infant
60. Baseline I rounded 3000Rs to $60I rounded 3000Rs to $60
61. Diarrhea longitudinal prevalence by week and handwashing intervention
62. Percent of days with diarrhea by age and intervention Karachi, Pakistan 2001/02
63. Percent of days with diarrhea by age and intervention Karachi, Pakistan 2001/02
64. Pneumonia Definition Followed WHO clinical case definition
Cough or difficulty breathing with
respiratory rate >60 among children < 60 days
respiratory rate >50 among children 60–365 days
respiratory rate >40 among children 1 – 5 years
Respiratory rate counted for 1 minute, timed with a watch
65. Pneumonia incidence by week and intervention group among children < 5 years of age
66. Impetigo prevalence by week and intervention Include bullous impetigoInclude bullous impetigo
67. Karachi Soap Health Summary Children who washed their hands and skin with plain soap had
52% less diarrhea
50% less pneumonia
45% less impetigo
Children receiving antibacterial soap had a similar disease experience as those who received plain soap
68. Other evidence of handwashing effectiveness Diarrhea Meta analysis
Val Curtis, 2003, 47% reduction in diarrhea with handwashing
Loma Fewtrell, 2005, 33% reduction in diarrhea with handwashing
Additional studies on handwashing and ARI
Child care centers
Canada 14% reduction in URI
Australia 12% reduction in URI
U.S. 32% reduction in URI
School intervention 21% reduction in colds
US Navy : 45% reduction in outpatient visits for pneumonia
69. HandwashingWe know We don’t know Handwashing has health benefits
Diarrhea
Respiratory disease
Effective in sub-optimal situations
Where water and sanitation are not improved
Where drying is imperfect
There are important community benefits
Soap requires water How to effectively improve handwashing behavior at scale
How effective handwashing is in preventing severe pneumonia
What effect handwashing has on child mortality
70. HandwashingWe know We don’t know Handwashing has health benefits
Diarrhea
Respiratory disease
Effective in sub-optimal situations
Where water and sanitation are not improved
Where drying is imperfect
There are important community benefits
Soap requires water How to effectively improve handwashing behavior at scale
The importance of addressing handwashing barriers
How effective handwashing is in preventing severe pneumonia
What effect handwashing has on child mortality
71. Improving Handwashing Behavior at Scale Intensive interpersonal communication
Effective
Prohibitively expensive
Without analogy in public health
Mass media
Has been tried, but not rigorously evaluated
Research difficulties
Expensive
Difficult design to randomize
Outcomes difficult to assess
72. HandwashingWe know We don’t know Handwashing has health benefits
Diarrhea
Respiratory disease
Effective in sub-optimal situations
Where water and sanitation are not improved
Where drying is imperfect
There are important community benefits
Soap requires water How to effectively improve handwashing behavior at scale
The importance of addressing handwashing barriers
How effective handwashing is in preventing severe pneumonia
What effect handwashing has on child mortality
73. Barriers to Handwashing How important?
The accessibility of water?
The volume of water?
The cost of water?
The cost of soap?
The proximity of handwash stations to latrines and kitchens?
74. HandwashingWe know We don’t know Handwashing has health benefits
Diarrhea
Respiratory disease
Effective in sub-optimal situations
Where water and sanitation are not improved
Where drying is imperfect
There are important community benefits
Soap requires water How to effectively improve handwashing behavior at scale
The importance of addressing handwashing barriers
How effective handwashing is in preventing severe pneumonia
What effect handwashing has on child mortality
75. HandwashingWe know We don’t know Handwashing has health benefits
Diarrhea
Respiratory disease
Effective in sub-optimal situations
Where water and sanitation are not improved
Where drying is imperfect
There are important community benefits
Soap requires water How to effectively improve handwashing behavior at scale
The importance of addressing handwashing barriers
How effective handwashing is in preventing severe pneumonia
What effect handwashing has on child mortality
76. Why are we so ignorant? Separation of Environment and Health
Institutional
Professional
Fundamentally difficult technical issues
Diarrhea is hyper-variable
Microbiological quality does not correlate neatly with health
Large interventions are difficult to randomize and assess
77. 1975 Expert Panel Convened by the World Bank Large-scale longitudinal studies are probably the only means of assessing the health benefits of water and sanitation projects
Such studies should NOT be undertaken
High cost
Limited possibility of success
Restricted applications of results After 30 years with so little progress in this sector, should we re-think this conclusions?After 30 years with so little progress in this sector, should we re-think this conclusions?
78. Summary We know
Global importance of the target diseases
Routes of disease transmission
Effectiveness of small scale interventions
What we don’t know
Effectiveness at scale
Optimal intervention mix
Sustainability
79. Our options Plodding ignorance
Hope that the advocates will be persuasive
Hope that what we know is good enough
Strategic research on key issues
Identify key issues, and a strategic plan for addressing them
Work together as a research community
To identify opportunities for collaborative investigation
Garner the support to advance the agenda
Remain practical
80. Disclaimer