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NATIONAL SECURITY IN THE AGE OF GLOBALISATION. Conditions in the 21st Century National Security Today Risks and Dangers - Violence and War Search for a New World Order. WORLD in CHANGE - the new trends -. globalisation and interdependence increasing
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NATIONAL SECURITYIN THE AGE OF GLOBALISATION Conditions in the 21st Century National Security Today Risks and Dangers - Violence and War Search for a New World Order
WORLD in CHANGE- the new trends - • globalisation and interdependence increasing • information and communication systems create a new public consciousness & worldwide reactions • scarceness of natural resources lead to intense competition, increase importance of science & technology - education, research & adaption of • environmental concerns and impacts gain weight • global interaction and growing entanglement of cultures create change in societies and structures • instead of existential threats - instability & risks
ASPECTS OF GLOBALISATION Worldwide Net of Communication & Info - worldwide availability of knowledge & info -new chances to influence world society Economy:world trade = “inland market” new mobility of capital, goods, services Society: the world as “global village” - migration + the importance of cultures and identities Security threatened by new dangers - increase of private violence - “new wars” - grey zone: security internal/ external - terrorism Political: reduced importance of the nation states - deficiencies of the world order - open insight into governance and markets
Globalisation- uncertainties and open questions - • Demographic development and migration • Management of information, communication and transport nets - access & protection • Economic boundlessness & entanglement • environmental risks: their global & local impact • Request & Availability of natural ressources ( raw materials, energy, water, etc. ) - Lack of consistent understanding & solutions - Lack of vision for necessary structures - role of the state - How to link markets and societies ? - How to secure this world against risks & dangers ?
Globalisation 2008 • economic globalization rated as chance to draw up in East - and South Asia, skepticism in many other areas: fear of cultural erosion and political tutelage • information, communication & transport are key areas for the dynamics of further globalisation • pressure towards more efficiency (good governance), democratic structures, observance of human rights • trends towards a one - world society & world market • New constellation of powers becomes apparent • Transnational cooperation and global governance -survival conditions for the future
National Security in Our Times • state of controlling risks and dangers • national security closely linked with social, internal and economic security/stability • cultural influence on stability and security • new non governmental actors in regional and global activities produce new opportunities and conflicts • spreading violence by worldwide linking - up • world order inadequate for the new challenges and the complicated relations and possibilities of new and old “players” on the world stage
RISKS & DANGERS • Political instability - failed states - bad governance • ethnic/cultural/religious controversies over values, norms and order, power and influence • Risks & dangers of private (non-state) nature - terror - organized crime - weak authorities • high poor/rich gradient - social tensions authoritarian regimes - rigid suppression • traditional conflicts about territorial questions and interests controversies, resources • proliferation of weapons of mass destruction
NEW WARS • increasing asymmetries between conflict parties • unique capabilities of the USA for intervention • “show of force” by new regional powers • failed states - growing autonomy of organizations capable of using force - increase in violence • decrease of traditional wars between states - increase of civil wars between groups (ethnic/religious) • “privatization of force” - rules and limitations not respected - warlord system & piracy • terrorism and the use of the media
Violent Controversies • Societies in change: weakness of values, norms, traditions-missing ties & orientation • Decline of traditional authorities - upcoming of new actors & elites • Failure of the European model of nation state in parts of theThird World • Increase of private and economically inspired violence enhanced by ideologies • Clandestine & open interventions
CONFLICT - SCHEME Prevention Conflict- management Peace- enforcement War - organized violence Crisis open violence Armistice deescalation Conflict hidden-open Reform Peace New peaceful order
Operational: to prevent escalation early warning mediation: in-time; dialogue; solution economic measures: sanctions+incentives military measures: security+deterrence Structural:work at causes justice and rights between & in states well-being: poverty, social justice, political participation etc security: for states, groups & individuals PREVENTION
21st Century and the Military • Increasing probability of violent conflicts • appearance of wars is changing (span from high-tech-wars to archaic eruption of violence) • Basic nature of military forces will not change. Political instrumentation and the spectrum of engagements will vary and find new forms • Overlapping tasks between military, police, public, humanitarian and reconstruction services • Europe`s ability to influence the new world order dependant on capabilities for crisis management
Intervention - Nation Building Political Stability structures - institutions Civil Infrastructure social coherence Military & Police Security Nation Building Overcoming Poverty functioning economy - prohibit violence/disarm adversaries/control border crossing - Built - up of indigeneous state security forces - fight rebellion, group forces, - war on terror - protect minorities, fight criminal elements
Conclusions • World in change leads to new basic and structural challenges, vulnerabilities, risks and dangers • Growing interdependence of states, societies and economies - increase of non-state violence • Existing system of political, economic, social & environmental world order inadequate to cope with the problems - solutions by transnational cooperation • Security to achieve by a combination of political, economic, social and military measures • New rules for intervention necessary