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Communicating Risk with PLT. Naoko Kakuta , ERIC Keiichi Sato, TUAT. Our Study for FoR. Interviewed 11 experts on risk communication. Tried out activities on risks: Crossroads; Negotiate Killer. Translated Focus on Risk.
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Communicating Risk with PLT Naoko Kakuta, ERIC Keiichi Sato, TUAT
Our Study for FoR • Interviewed 11 experts on risk communication. • Tried out activities on risks: Crossroads; Negotiate Killer. • Translated Focus on Risk. • Developed guidelines: scientific literacy, citizenship, thinking skills and concerns on social issues such as risk.
Opinion Spectrum • 1mSv/y Ordinary people’s annual limit(Japan by law*) • 5mSv/y ChernobylEvacuation Area • 5.2mSv/y Specialists entering to a controlled area* • 1-20mSv/y After the accident being controlled(ICRP) • 20-100mSv/yEmergency after the accident(ICRP) • 50mSv/y Radiation wokers*+zone of no return • 100mSv Dr. Yamashita and MEXT
Key Stages for Communication • Risk Perception • Accidents Information • Risk Assessment • Risk Reduction • Risk Management
Principles for Communication • Open, transparency • Multidirectional • Process of participation • Public perception • Societal values and ethics • Scientific judgment • Political and economic factors
Calculation: Everybody learned • X μSv/h ×24hours× 365days = Y μSv/y • YμSv/y=1/1000 Y mSv/y • 1mSv/y=0.1μSv/h • 1mSv/yis a limit set for ordinary people for ordinary time. • Japanese Government extended the limit to 20mSv/y for children at school in Fukushima. • Schools with 2.28μSv/h and over are limited for outside activities down to three hours a day.
Barriers • Risk perception control before the accidents. • “Science” was used to accept 100mSv. • “No epidemic proof exist” was the reason for “Safe” level of exposure. Japanese Merchants of Doubt • “No more nukes” decision at the end of August, but “No Nukes Here and Now”went on. no celebration, no change of strategies, just “No Nukes” forever
Risk perception controls • “Nukes are safe” PRs on medias. • Nukes poster design contests, essay contests at schools. • Subsidies and budgets for municipal governments of nuclear plants. • Employments for the plants. • Total money put into these?
$98 billion ! • Since 1974, promotion ofpower resourcesdevelopmenttaxwas used to cover all these subsidies for nukes. The tax was paid by the power companies. • Power companies also donate money for contests, festivals and “risk communications”, besides for this tax. Which adds up to $31 billion over 40 years of nukes history.
Is 20mSv/y really safe? • Zoning started for the refugees: • Unlivable for many years, zone of no return, over 50 mSv/y, compensation of $60,000 for 5 years. • Permitted for visits only, between 20-50mSv/y. • After decontamination of this 20mSv and under zone, people are allowed to come back. • Back or not, more than 40,000 people will be kept on the edge.
25000 cannot return to their home. Zone of over 50msv/y
So, who cares for these refugees? • Actually the refugees are the one who’s been gasping down all these nukes money. These municipalities are still poor? Rubbish! • Another barriers for dialogue….
Why is this? • Doubt?Fear?Distrust? Envy? • Lack of self confidence • Lack of experience of cooperation • Too big for dialogue • So, just this “anti” type of movements continue.
Where are we? • Fatigue • Flight • Focusless • Frail • Forgetful • Futureless • Lack of experience of risk communication.
Teaching Materials Guidelines • Understanding the nature of science, including scientific uncertainty, controversial etc. • “Society and Risk” --Learning from the past, focusing on our common future • Action Orientation* • Emphasis on skills building* • *NAAEE
Shared Vision for the Future • We have only one Earth. • We all want to survive, us human, as well as other living things. • We have to learn to live together. • We have to learn to cooperate. • http://www.globalcommunity.org/flash/wombat.shtml