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Portugal Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

Portugal Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. October, 2003. The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment is: . An international scientific assessment to be completed in 2004 Designed to meet a portion of the assessment needs of Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD),

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Portugal Millennium Ecosystem Assessment

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  1. Portugal Millennium Ecosystem Assessment October, 2003

  2. The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment is: • An international scientific assessment to be completed in 2004 • Designed to meet a portion of the assessment needs of • Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD), • Convention to Combat Desertification (CCD), • Ramsar Wetlands Convention, • other partners including the private sector and civil society • Focused on the consequences of changes in ecosystems for human well-being • Undertaken at multiple scales (local to global) • Designed to both provide information and build capacity to provide information • Expected to be repeated at 5-10 year intervals if it successfully meets needs

  3. Stakeholders: • Governments • Private Sector • Civil Society Assessment Monitoring Research Science Assessment: • A social process to bring the findings of science to bear on the needs of decision-makers

  4. The MA focuses on: • Ecosystem services • The consequences of changes in ecosystems for human well being • The consequences of changes in ecosystems for other life on earth

  5. Ecosystem Services are the benefits people obtain from ecosystems Provisioning Goods produced or provided by ecosystems • food • fresh water • fuel wood • fiber • biochemicals • genetic resources Cultural Non-material benefits obtained from ecosystems • spiritual • recreational • aesthetic • inspirational • educational • communal • symbolic Regulating Benefits obtained from regulation of ecosystem processes • climate regulation • disease regulation • flood regulation • detoxification Supporting Services necessary for production of other ecosystem services • Soil formation • Nutrient cycling • Primary production

  6. Climate Change Climate Change Land Cover Change Biodiversity Loss Nutrient Loading Etc. Energy Sector Biodiversity Food Supply Water Health Health Economics Economics Social Social IPCC The MA is an Integrated Assessment IPCC looks at impacts of one driver (climate) on different systems; MA will integrate the effects of multiple drivers on all ecosystems Driver Ecosystems Response Human Impact Millennium Assessment

  7. Conceptual framework

  8. Sub-Global Assessment Working Group All of the above… at sub-global scales Using the Conceptual Framework as a guide, MA Working Groups will try to answer core questions Conditions and Trends Working Group • What is the current condition and historical trends of ecosystems and their services? • What have been the consequences of changes in ecosystems for human well-being? Scenarios Working Group • Given plausible changes in primary drivers, what will be the consequences for ecosystems, their services, and human well-being? Responses Working Group • What can we do about it?

  9. Portugal Trinidade,Vietnam

  10. The Portuguese Assessment • Multi-scale • Created to answer to the information needs of local and global MA users • Condition and trends of ecosystem services • Scenarios for the next 50 years and possible answers Sistelo Mondego Quinta da França Herdade da Ribeira Abaixo Mira

  11. The Portuguese Assessment users represent different society sectors National Government Local Government NGO • CELPA, Paper Industry Association • CONFAGRI, National Confederation of Portuguese Agricultural Cooperatives and Credit • National park of Peneda-Gerês • League for the Protection of Nature • Ministry of Agriculture, Rural Development and Fisheries • Ministry of Public Works, Transportation and Housing • Institute for the Conservation of Nature • Water Institute Private Sector Others • ExtEnSity Project

  12. Organization Advisory Board Isabel Guerra, MOPTH Helena Freitas, UC Teresa Ribeiro, AEA Humberto Rosa, UL Steering Committee Henrique Pereira Tiago Domingos Luis Vicente Research Team Inst. Politécnico Bragança Univ. Católica Univ. Coimbra Univ. Évora Univ. Lisboa Univ. Técnica Lisboa Users CONFAGRI CELPA INAG ICN LPN MADRP MOPTH ExtEnSity

  13. Program IV Meeting V Meeting II Meeting III Meeting I Meeting 2003 2003 2004 2004 2005 State of the Assessment Report Final Assessment Publication Final Assessment Review Users Needs Report Pilot Assessment

  14. Users Needs of Information Report • General Needs

  15. Users Needs of Information Report(2) • Priority Ecosystems

  16. Users Needs of Information Report(3) • Priority drivers

  17. Users Needs of Information Report(4) • Priority Ecosystem services

  18. Condition and Trend Analysis • Identification of the principal drivers • Biodiversity atlas • Water production atlas • Qualitative analysis of the stock condition and flux of each service • Economical analysis of the ecosystem services value • Human well-being • Responses

  19. Units of Analysis • IFN / MA Classification • Forest • Agriculture • Montado • Unsuitable for agriculture • Mountain • Oceans and Coast • Inland Waters Agriculture Inland Waters Forest Unsuit. Agricult. Non-cultivated

  20. Scenarios for the next 50 years • The scenarios • To consider the possible futures for the unpredictable and ambiguous drivers (as well as for the predictable ones) • Emphasize the surprises, not the central trends • In accordance with the state of the art of ecological sciences • Quantitative and Qualitative • Until the year 2030

  21. Considered drivers

  22. Technogarden Local Learning  ecotourism  biologic agriculture products  recycling  renewable energies  environmental responsibility  fire Global Orchestration Fortress World Environmental Friendly Society  Biodiversity  Food production  Water  Soil protection  Recreation  Biodiversity  Food production  Water  Soil protection  Recreation Agriculture answer to the markets Land cultures geography changes Abandonment / Intensification of foreign immigration Agricultural enterprises Fields abandonment Rural ageing Bucolic Portugal Celestial Portugal PAC Status Quo Portugal in its worst Evolution on the continuity  Biodiversity  Food production  Water  Soil protection  Recreation  Biodiversity  Food production  Water  Soil protection  Recreation Doesn’t Care Society  tourism – Houses on the coast  fire Environmental irresponsibility End of tolls  mini-hydrics Not controlled free hunting Scenarios scratch

  23. The Millennium Ecosystem Assessment (MA) First MA Product, published September 2003

  24. www.millenniumassessment.org Visit the MA Website

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