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Gensuo Jia Key Lab of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS)

Towards a Sustainable Asia: Green Transition and Innovation ---- Key Findings of the AASA SDA Report. Gensuo Jia Key Lab of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) jiong@tea.ac.cn. 2012-04-24 Cape Town. Contents. Background

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Gensuo Jia Key Lab of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS)

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  1. Towards a Sustainable Asia: Green Transition and Innovation---- Key Findings of the AASA SDA Report Gensuo Jia Key Lab of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS) jiong@tea.ac.cn 2012-04-24 Cape Town green.tea.ac.cn

  2. Contents Background Project objectives, methodology, and Progress Key findings and recommendations green.tea.ac.cn

  3. Challenges for Asia’s Sustainability Population increase, 4 bn, the biggest population in the world Poverty alleviation Declining natural resources and Degrading environment as global factories and warehouse Energy supply/demand and security Increase of GHG emissions Cultural diversity shocked by globalization, and rapid industrialization and urbanization Crossroad: from labor/energy intensity to efficiency? green.tea.ac.cn

  4. Asia will suffer most by the Triple Crisis Economic Crisis: Fast growth led by export Resource Crisis: Rising Oil price Ecological Crisis: Most vulnerable to climate change impacts Source: UNESCAP green.tea.ac.cn

  5. Opportunities in new Context Financial crisis, restoration and innovation in East Asia, green recovery? Addressing climate change, Asia’s common actions? Under the context of globalization, how to make win-win economic growth sustainable? How to Improve communication and cooperationis the foundation to push Green growthand Sustainable Development in Asian countries “Sustainable Development in Asia” (SDA)project was initiated by the AASA in 2007 green.tea.ac.cn

  6. Contents Background Project objectives, methodology, and Progress Key findings and recommendations green.tea.ac.cn

  7. Objectives Objectives of the SDA project launched by AASA: Strengthening mutual understandingamong countries / regions and realizing a sustainable future in Asia Improving cooperationamong academies in Asia and providing policy recommendations on SD through joint research on common concerns Taking common actionsand policy recommendations Four science groups were established: Natural resource; environment and climate change; energy; and culture and heritage green.tea.ac.cn

  8. Methodology • International workshops & coordinative meetings (26 member academies) • Literature review and Empirical analysis • Case Study: best practices • Comprehensive assessment green.tea.ac.cn

  9. Outputs: Book series Title of Book series: Towards a Sustainable Asia Synthesis report: • Green Transition and Innovation Thematic reports: • Energy • Natural Resources • Environment and Climate Change • The Cultural Perspectives green.tea.ac.cn

  10. Contents Background Project objectives, methodology, and Progress Key findings and recommendations green.tea.ac.cn

  11. Key Finding 1: Asian Development Model (ADM) is facing challenges • Global economic context changed due to global issues like financial crisis and climate change • Some Asian countries are losing their transitional comparative advantages • Shortage of resources and energy, and limitation of environmental carrying-capacity • A new Asian Development Model should be shaped as green, low-carbon, smart, innovative, cooperative, and inclusive green.tea.ac.cn

  12. Conventionalvs.greengrowth model Quantity of Growth,focusing on Maximizing GDP, Production &Consumption “Grow First, Clean Up Later” Market Cost Efficiency Quality of Growth: quality of life, well-being and ecological sustainability Green Growth Eco-efficiency Source: UNESCAP green.tea.ac.cn

  13. Key Finding 2: Green transition will be crucial to a new ADM • Green transition: • New ways of manufacturing and services • Green/eco-efficient technologies • From fossil-fuel dependent to renewable • Green jobs to meet MDGs • Green consumption and lifestyle • New development model/governance • Green Asia: traditional knowledge + high tech green.tea.ac.cn

  14. BUSINESS AS USUAL (Grow first, clean-up later)  GREEN GROWTH ≠ Market price Ecological price < Ecological efficiency Economic efficiency  Quantity of growth Quality of growth Source: UNESCAP green.tea.ac.cn

  15. Key Finding 3: Green innovation is key/bridge to green transition • S & T Innovation should be basis for green transition • Innovation priority should be differential based on local socio-economic conditions • Innovation includes both technology and non-tech aspects, in particular, policy, regulation, and institutional arrangements; policy-driving innovation green.tea.ac.cn

  16. Strategic framework for green transition in Asia green.tea.ac.cn

  17. Key Finding 4: Models/experiences are available for green transition in Asia • Advantages as later comers of modernization and transition • Government commitment and political will • Cultural tradition with respect for and living in harmony with nature • The largest potential green market • Increasingly innovative practice and market-based instrument application • Best practice for sustainable development in Asian and other countries green.tea.ac.cn

  18. Asia initiatives towards greener economies Guiding principles green.tea.ac.cn

  19. Renewable energy: Wind power • China:Annual growth rate over 100% during 2004-2009 • 25.8 GW in 2009, over 5 times of projection of the Plan in 2007 • National Target: wind provides 15% power by 2020 green.tea.ac.cn

  20. Grid integration for renewable • 25% Renewable Electricity by 2025: • $500 billion new investment • >1 million new jobs • ~750 million-tons-CO2/yr green.tea.ac.cn

  21. Fuel Consumption Limits in Selected Economies China EU Source： CATARC green.tea.ac.cn

  22. Efficient appliances: Maker-user Can save 12% of residential electricity use in China in 2020. Role of major manufacturers? green.tea.ac.cn

  23. Recommendation: Build regional partnership for green transition • A new regional cooperation model with multi-track collaboration, bi-lateral and multi-lateral, in terms of different advantage and responsibility • Establish an Asia Green Transition Fund for technology transfer, best practice sharing, etc. • Prioritized fields for cooperation: • Low cost renewable and low-carbon technology • Regional resource and environmental security • Improvement of regional environmental quality • Smart growth and green transition • country pathway to green future green.tea.ac.cn

  24. Take Home Messages - SD Cooperation mechanisms: International treaties (e.g. Agenda 21, UNFCCC) vs. market? - High-tech  localized green solutions (combine with local knowledge and skills) - Lead or follow? …… green.tea.ac.cn

  25. Thank You Gensuo JIA Chinese Academy of Sciences Key Lab of Regional Climate-Environment for East Asia jiong@tea.ac.cn green.tea.ac.cn

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