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APPA GRASSROOTS

Policy Makers Council 2010 Summer Meeting Grassroots and Political Briefing Meghan McLaughlin July 19, 2010. APPA GRASSROOTS. Grassroots Program …it’s all about... Building Relationships! With a Purpose … INFLUENCE. APPA GRASSROOTS. DEFINITION:

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APPA GRASSROOTS

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  1. Policy Makers Council 2010 Summer MeetingGrassroots and Political BriefingMeghan McLaughlinJuly 19, 2010

  2. APPA GRASSROOTS Grassroots Program …it’s all about... Building Relationships! With a Purpose … INFLUENCE

  3. APPA GRASSROOTS DEFINITION: • An on-going, organized system of recruiting, educating, and motivating members to use their political power to influence legislation at the local level.

  4. Why Is Grassroots Important? • Lobbyists • Position Papers • PowerPAC • Media Campaigns These are all important … however …

  5. Member of Congress Are Motivated By: • The people who vote for them • The people who give them money to run campaigns

  6. Types of Grassroots Programs • Quantitative – get an many voters as you can to be involved • Qualitative – target a few members who have special relationships with the elected officials • Third-party Programs – coalitions with other organizations; CFER • Can do all at once

  7. Other Components of Grassroots • Attend town hall meetings • Invite elected officials to a local event • Host a fund-raiser (individuals – not the association) • Participate in PowerPAC

  8. Tips for Meeting with Members of Congress • Be flexible – you may not get to see the elected official, but staff are very important • Do multiple visits in multiple settings – don’t talk about the same issue every time (don’t be a pest) • Offer to serve as a resource person on related issues • Be prepared • Establish a common denominator (begin with something you agree on) • Be concise, specific, and clear • Be reasonable

  9. Tips for Meeting with Members of Congress (continued) • Localize the issue-show the importance on a local level (how it effects your community) • Acknowledge, but don’t denigrate, the opposition • Provide written materials (briefings, not dissertations)-one pagers are very effective • Close the sale-ask how they stand on the issue or how they plan to vote • Say “thank you” • Follow up promptly-send letter to follow up on what you discussed • Report immediately

  10. APPA Grassroots Priorities For the remainder of 2010, APPA’s priorities will be: • Climate Change • Clean Renewable Energy Bond (CREB) program • Pole Attachments

  11. Momentum is Building • “A key to winning elections for the Democratic • and Republican Parties is to appeal to • Independent voters. Thus far in the 2010 • election campaign, Republicans have attracted • greater support from independents than have • Democrats.”(Jeffrey Jones, “Independent Voters Favor GOP in 2010 Election Tracking” 7/1/2010) • “The results show "a really ugly mood and anunhappy electorate," said Democratic pollster Peter Hart, who conducts the Journal/NBC poll with GOP pollster Bill McInturff. "The voters, I think, are just looking for change, and that meansbad news for incumbents and in particular for theDemocrats.”( Peter Wallsten and Eliza Gray, “Confidence Waning in Obama, U.S. Outlook” 6/23/2010)

  12. The Republican candidate has a strong lead with Inds in both GOP and Dem districts. Congressional Ballot by Party Republican Districts Democratic Districts +89% +17% -61% +82% +21% -82%

  13. GOP Open Seats

  14. Florida Martinez Seat (Open) Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: August 24, 2010 Cook & RothenbergTOSS-UP “He (Rubio) is a charismatic candidate who has proven his ability to effectively articulate the Republican message. National Republicans also remain confident that Rubio is a strong candidate with unique appeal in the state.” (“Chris Cillizza in "The Fix" in The Washington Post , 7/1/10)

  15. Kentucky Bunning Seat (Open) Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: CLOSED Cook & Rothenberg TOSS-UP “Republican U.S. Senate nominee Rand Paul received $1.1 million in contributions during the last three months” (“Campaign says Rand Paul raised $1.1 million in 2nd Quarter,” Lexington Herald-Leader, 7/2/10 )

  16. Missouri Bond Seat (Open) Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: August 3, 2010 Cook & Rothenberg TOSS-UP “In a race almost certain to attract widespread national attention later this year, Republican Rep. Roy Blunt continues to lead Democrat Robin Carnahan in the Missouri Senate contest, according to the latest Rasmussen poll.” (“U.S. Senate Election 2010: Roy Blunt Leading Robin Carnahan by 6 Points,” Riverfront Times,  4/9/10)

  17. New Hampshire Gregg Seat (Open) Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: September 14, 2010 Cook TOSS-UP Rothenberg LEAN R

  18. Voinovich Seat (Open) Ohio Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: CLOSED Cook & Rothenberg TOSS-UP “And today Portman announced that he raised $2.65 million in the second quarter and has $8.8 million in the bank for the final four months of the race.” (“The Downside of Primaries: Buckeye Edition” Politico,7/8/10)

  19. Republican Clear Advantage

  20. Arkansas Lincoln Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: CLOSED Cook TOSS-UP Rothenberg LEAN R Lincoln / Boozman Hypothetical Ballot “Republican John Boozman now holds a near two-to-one lead over Democratic incumbent Blanche Lincoln in Arkansas’ U.S. Senate race, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports survey of Likely Voters in the state.” (“Election 2010: Arkansas Senate,” Rasmussen Reports, 06/17/10) 5/26/2010

  21. Delaware Kaufman (Special) Filing Deadline: July 29, 2010; Primary Date: Sept. 14, 2010 Cook LIKELY R RothenbergLEAN R “Republicans thus far couldn't have scripted any better their campaign to secure the seat that was long held by Vice President Joseph Biden and now held on an interim basis by Kaufman. The widespread popularity of Rep. Mike Castle (R), the party's strongest possible candidate, has enabled him to maintain a large lead in public polls since January.” (Greg Giroux, “Mid-Atlantic: Big Pennsylvania, New York Wins Could Push GOP to Majority,” Roll Call, 05/17/10)

  22. Indiana Bayh Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: CLOSED Cook LEAN R RothenbergTILT R

  23. North Dakota Dorgan (Open) Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: CLOSED • Cook • SOLID R • Rothenberg • SAFE R “It’s the same old story in the race for U.S. Senate in North Dakota, with current Governor John Hoeven still earning support from nearly three-out-of-four voters in the state.  A new Rasmussen Reports statewide survey of Likely Voters shows Hoeven earning 73% of the vote to his Democratic challenger Tracy Potter’s 19%. Also, eighty-eight percent (88%) of voters in the state approve of the job Hoeven is doing as governor.” (“Election 2010: North Dakota Senate,” Rasmussen Reports, 06/22/10)

  24. Toss Up Races

  25. Colorado Bennet Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: August 10, 2010 Cook & Rothenberg TOSS-UP “The Norton campaign reported on Wednesday that she raised more than $900,000 in the three-month period ending June 30. “This is our best fundraising quarter yet,” she said. “The momentum is on her side. Our support is growing.” (Nate Miller, “Dollars pour into Norton, Buck campaigns for Senate.” Greeley Tribune. 7/09/10)

  26. Illinois Burris Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: CLOSED ? ? Cook TOSS-UP Rothenberg TILT R

  27. Nevada Reid Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: CLOSED ? Cook TOSS-UP RothenbergTILT R “None” Voter Avg 2008 = .65% (Obama at .65%) 2006 = 4.1% (Controller at 5.6%) 2004 = 1.0% (Sen Reid at 1.6%) 2002 = 4.9% (Treasurer at 6%) 2000 = 1.2% (Sen Ensign at 1.9%)

  28. Pennsylvania Specter Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: CLOSED Cook & Rothenberg TOSS-UP “Former Rep. Pat Toomey won the Republican nomination and will run against Sestak in the fall in what is likely to be one of the marquee races in the battle for control of the Senate.”(“Primary Results Will Have National Significance,” Dave Espo, AP, 5/18/2010)

  29. Democrat Clear Advantage

  30. California Boxer Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: CLOSED Cook LEAN D RothenbergLEAN D “With much of the energy and enthusiasm of that campaign now dispersed by a staggering economy, a bitter national smack down on health care reform, and concerns about a skyrocketing national deficit, Boxer knows she's no longer the shoe-in she appeared to be a few months ago.”(“Sen. Boxer Acknowledges Tough Re-Election Battle,” CBS 2/KCAL 9, 4/1/10)

  31. Connecticut Dodd (Open) Filing Deadline: CLOSED; Primary Date: August 10, 2010 Cook LEAN D RothenbergDEM FAVORED

  32. Washington Murray Filling Deadline: CLOSED Primary Date: August 17, 2010 Cook TOSS-UP Rothenberg LEAN D “Republicans scored a late but important recruiting success yesterday when businessman and former state Sen. Dino Rossi announced that he would challenge Democratic incumbent Sen. Patty Murray. Rossi’s announcement puts another Democratic-held seat in play.” (“Washington Senate: Murray Gets a First Tier Challenger,” Cook Political Report,5/27/10)

  33. Wisconsin Feingold Filing Deadline: July 13, 2010; Primary Date: September 14, 2010 Feingold /Westlake Hypothetical Ballot Cook SOLID D RothenbergDEM FAVORED ? ?

  34. Republican Incumbent Seats

  35. Cook SOLID R RothenbergSAFE Cook LIKELY R RothenbergGOP FAV Cook LIKELY R RothenbergGOP FAV

  36. 2010 GOP Seats: Latest Polling Florida RR 7/6/10 36 Rubio (R) 34 Crist (I) 15 Meek (D) 14 Undecided New Hampshire RR 5/11/10 50 Ayotte 38 Hodes 9 Undecided Iowa RR 6/14/10 54 Grassley 37 Conlin 8 Undecided Kentucky RR 6/28/10 49 Paul 42 Conway 6 Undecided Ohio RR 6/29/10 43 Portman 39 Fisher 13 Undecided Louisiana RR 6/24/10 53 Vitter 35 Melancon 9 Undecided North Carolina RR 7/6/10 52 Burr 37 Marshall 7 Undecided Missouri RR 6/28/10 48 Blunt 43 Carnahan 6 Undecided GOP Leading: 8-0 Last Updated 7/12/10

  37. 2010 Dem Seats: Latest Polling Arkansas RR 6/15/10 61 Boozman 32 Lincoln 3 Undecided North Dakota RR 6/16/10 73 Hoeven 19 Potter 6 Undecided Nevada RR 7/12/10 46 Angle 43 Reid 5 Undecided Connecticut Q Poll 6/8/10 55 Blumenthal 35 McMahon 8 Undecided California SUSA 7/11/10 45 Boxer 47 Fiorina 9 Undecided Pennsylvania RR 6/29/10 45 Toomey 39 Sestak 11 Undecided Delaware RR 4/29/10 55 Castle 32 Coons 7 Undecided Washington RR 6/22/10 47 Rossi 47 Murray 3 Undecided Colorado RR 7/8/10 47 Norton 40 Bennet 7 Undecided Illinois RR 7/7/10 40 Giannoulias 39 Kirk 12 Undecided Wisconsin PPP 6/27/10 45 Feingold 43 Johnson 12 Undecided Indiana RR 7/8/10 51 Coats 30 Ellsworth 6 Undecided Last Updated 7/12/10

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