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Possible Causes of Future Wars

Possible Causes of Future Wars. LTC (Retired) Oakland McCulloch. Possible Causes of Future Wars. Agenda. The Scarcity of Resources Religion Immigration & Border Disputes The Rise of Nationalism & Civil Wars Terrorism and Weapons of Mass Destruction Questions.

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Possible Causes of Future Wars

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  1. Possible Causes of Future Wars LTC (Retired) Oakland McCulloch

  2. Possible Causes of Future Wars Agenda • The Scarcity of Resources • Religion • Immigration & Border Disputes • The Rise of Nationalism & Civil Wars • Terrorism and Weapons of Mass Destruction • Questions

  3. Possible Causes of Future Wars Scarcity of Resources • Oil • The world will run out of oil! • Majority of world population has not even started using oil • Water • Draught affects much of the world • Water Pollution, waste, over use, Dams • Food • Bio-Fuels = less food! • Growing population – shrinking arable land • Environment Issues • The Rain Forest • The North Pole • Oceans • Climate Change

  4. Possible Causes of Future Wars Religion • More wars have been fought in the name of “God” than • any other cause • Nine Crusades • Look at Europe between 1560 – 1715 • Europeans finally put Religion a side with the Treaty of • Westphalia in 1648 • Islam vs. the Western Religions • the battle to come may make the Crusades look tame • no end in sight until Islamic countries stop having • Religion dominate every aspect of everyday life & politics • Islam vs. the Jewish State of Israel • no viable solution to this problem

  5. Possible Causes of Future Wars Immigration & Border Disputes • Immigration is changing the demographics of Europe & US at • a very quick pace • Changes in politics, culture and social norms • Usually alright until something goes wrong! • Border Disputes – “The Lies of the Map Makers” • Many borders of the world are currently disputed • (Africa, the Stans, Asia, India/Pakistan/China, Middle East) • Many of these borders make no sense • US / Mexico border issues in the future due to immigration • Countries where borders do not matter

  6. Possible Causes of Future Wars The Rise of Nationalism & Civil Wars • A sharp rise in Nationalism usually equals increase in wars • and ethnic violence • Iran, Venezuela, China, North Korea, Japan & India • Civil wars will increase with the rise of Nationalism and the • increased pressures talked about earlier • Civil wars between traditional parties and religious parties • Non-traditional Civil Wars • (China-Taiwan & North-South Korea) • Rogue Nations are the wildcard • especially those with WMD programs

  7. Possible Causes of Future Wars Terrorism and WMDs • States that sponsor terrorism (Iran, Syria, North Korea, • Saudi Arabia, Venezuela?, Pakistan?) • Non-functioning states where terrorist hide (Afghanistan, • Yemen, Somalia, many in Africa) • Non-State actors – al Qaeda, Palestinians, other terrorist • groups • Use of WMD by a terrorist organization linked to a specific • nation • What will happen when the West looses a city to a • terrorist attack by a WMD?

  8. Possible Causes of Future Wars Questions ?

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