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CBRFC Updates

CBRFC Updates. CRFS November 14, 2012 Michelle Stokes Hydrologist in Charge, CBRFC. New Direction (NOAA/NWS). NWS RFCs are no longer coordinating forecast numbers with NRCS (informal coordination is important and will continue). NWS RFCs are moving toward: Daily updating ESP forecasts

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CBRFC Updates

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  1. CBRFC Updates CRFS November 14, 2012 Michelle Stokes Hydrologist in Charge, CBRFC

  2. New Direction (NOAA/NWS) • NWS RFCs are no longer coordinating forecast numbers with NRCS (informal coordination is important and will continue). • NWS RFCs are moving toward: • Daily updating ESP forecasts • Routine integration of weather and climate forecasts • Full season and residual forecasts • Short to long lead ensemble forecasts • Verification and reforecasts to quantitatively assess forecast skill • Backward compatibility for key forecast products (e.g. emailed products)

  3. What to expect this year • Daily (or almost) ESP • Monthly official forecasts from NWS as in past years • Goal to have forecasts available end of day 2 • ESP will include observed and residual forecast where possible • More information

  4. Basin Assignments • Upper Colorado – Brenda Alcorn • Green River Basin – Ashley Nielson • San Juan and Gunnison – Greg Smith • Great Basin – Brent Bernard • Sevier and Virgin – Stacie Bender • Lower Colorado – Tracy Cox

  5. Changes to the CBRFC staff • John Lhotak – Development and Operational Hydrologist • Paul Miller – New Senior Hydrologist • Vacant Senior Hydrologist • Kevin Werner on detail for most of the next 6 months

  6. Michelle Stokes CBRFC Hydrologist In Charge Phone: 801.524.5130 Email: michelle.stokes@noaa.gov Feedback, Questions, Concerns always welcome….

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