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Doing Businness in… Mexico. March 2014. Dr. Jesús Zaldúa. Key Data. México Population.
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DoingBusinness in… Mexico March 2014 Dr. Jesús Zaldúa
Key Data • México Population The current population (2013) of the United Mexican States is estimated to be about 117.41 million people, which is an increase of 4.6% from the last record of the population. The population of the country has been historically greater then the population of Canada, and second rank in Latin-America after Brazil. YearPopulationPercent (millions) Increase 2015 119.874 2.10% 2020 125.663 4.80% 2025 130.712 4.00% 2030 134.983 3.30% 2035 138.275 2.40% 2040 140.554 1.60% 2045 141.861 0.93% 2050 142.253 0.27%
Key Data Inflation and growth in Mexico (%) Fuente: Banxico, INEGI • Mexico has had a sustainedgrowth of 3.5% forthreeyears in a row, and untillately a relativelycontrolledinflation. • Foryear 2013 itisexpectedthatMexicowillhaveaninertialgrowth and inflation of 3.5%.
Key Data Electric Energy Production Total Renovables Renovable sin Hidro Fuente: EIA, http://www.eia.gov/
Key Data Goal 35% in 2024 Renewables Difficulty to reachgoal Renewables withoutHydroelectric Fuente: EIA, http://www.eia.gov/
Key Data InstalledCapacityfor PS - 2012 12,213 MW • Bytheend of 2012, theinstalledcapacityforpublicservice (SP) was 51,510 MW, of which 39,307 MW belonged to CFE and 12,213 to Independent Energy Producers (PIE). • Also, therewereanadditional 7,500 MW of self-sufficiencythroughoutthedifferentmodalitiesallowedbythelaw. CFE PIE 39,307 MW
Key Data Wind Power1,218 63% BIOGAS45 2% HYDRO142 7% BIOMASA536 28% FV 1.0 0% MWen operación Total: 1,942.0MW
Key Data In 2012 therewere 1.370,45 MW installed Itisestimated a potencial of 15.000 MW (10.000 of them of classI and II)
Key Data • Secretaría de Energía (SENER) designstheenergypolicy. • CFEPublicenterpriseverticallyintegrated, itowns 65% of thegeneration, and alsothetransmission and distributionlines. Acts as a uniquemarket, stablishingtheuniquetariffsforalldifferenttypes of consumers, exceptthose in personal consumption. • Comisión Reguladora de Energía, CRE, isthemarketregulator. • Private Generatorsthatembrace one of thecontemplated figures bylaw (explained in thefollowingslides). Theymake 30% of installedcapacity, and are concentrated in the gas sector (combinedcycles and conventional, gas turbines); in lowermeasure, in renewableenergies. Almostall new investments are by private agents and itisexpectedthattheirimprtancewillgrow.
New Energy ReformHighlights Private Investment and National Content Encouragement Allows private investmentgeneration and comercialization of energy, alsotransmission and distributionwith a contractbytheElectricalComission (CFE) The Federal Electricity Commission (CFE) will become a State Productive Entity Energy sector priority Forsees to givepriority to theexploration and extraction of hydrocarbons, also to thepublicservice of transmission and distribution of electricenergyoveranyotheractivitythatmayoccuronthatland.
New Energy ReformHighlights Creation of theNational Energy Control Center (CENACE) This Center will be in charge of theoperative control of thenationalelectricsystem. Creation of theNational Agency for Industrial Safety and EnviromentalProtection Will supervise and regulate theprotection of theenvironment, instalations and activity of the sector.
New Energy ReformHighlights Promotion of thesustainablegrowth Focalizedsubsidyforenergycreation Lowercorruption in theenergy sector
MovingBeyond Oaxaca Great wind factor in differentstates New market and social relationships Extended landsreadyforwindfarms
MovingBeyond Oaxaca • Sitios más interesantes (por Estado) • Baja California Norte: Zona de Sierra de California, alguna zona costera occidental y zona norte del Golfo de California. [2500-3000 HEN] • Baja California Sur: Alguna zona costera occidental. [2300-2800 HEN] • Sonora: Zona norte del Golfo de California y Sierra Madre Occidental (límite con Chihuahua). [2300-2800 HEN] • Chihuahua: Zona de la Sierra Madre Occidental. [2500-3000 HEN] • Coahuila: Zonas de la Sierra Madre Oriental. [2300-2800 HEN] • Zacatecas: Frontera con San Luis Potosí en zona sureste. [2300-2800 HEN] • San Luis Potosí: Zona oeste, límite con Zacatecas. [2300-2800 HEN] • Querétaro: Zona noroeste (límite con Zacatecas). [2300-2800 HEN] • Aguascalientes: zona noreste (límite con Zacatecas). [2300-2800 HEN] • Tamaulipas: Zona noreste. [2500-3000 HEN] • Puebla: Zona de Tehuacan. [2700-3200 HEN] • Oaxaca: Zona del Istmo, sierras al noroeste y suroeste del Istmo. [3000-4000 HEN] • Chiapas: Sierra de Chiapas. [3000-3500 HEN] • Hidalgo: Zonas de la Sierra Madre Oriental [2300-2800 HEN] • Theresourcewasmeasured at 80m • Possibleprotectedzoneswerenotaccountedfor • Mountainouszonesmayhaveproblemswithaccess and altitude
EnvironmentalIssues WorkingwiththeEnvironmental and Natural ResourcesSecretariat (SEMARNAT) to elaborate the new regulationforwindfarmsconstruction, operation and abandonment. Workingsidebysidewith SEMARNAT to developthe new regulationsforbird and chiropteranstudiesneeded in everywindfarmproject.
LandTenure Most of thewindfarms in Mexico are built in communalland. Communalisthepossession of primarylands in our country thatallowsthe individual propertyjointlywithcommunalpropertyrights. Theholder of a share in communallands can renttheirlands, but can not alienate ormortgagewithoutpreviousconsent of theHoldersAssembly. These are themostcommoncontractsforcommunallands: UsufructContract: guaranteestheusage and usufruct of thelandforthedevelopment, installation, construction and operation of wind turbines, transmissionlines, substations and allotherinfrastructureneeded to carrythroughsuchactivities. RightContract: guaranteestheright of meansforconstruction of roads and utilization of existingones, making of high and mediumvoltagetransmissionlines, bothaerial and subterranean.
LandTenure To registerthesecontractsyouneedthe complete file beforeyoupreentbeforetheNationalAgriculturalRegistry of thatstate, the file must at leastcontain: Notarial contracts Payment of rights LandSubdivision Certificate of theholder Themainproblemusuallyisthelack of documentationthatconfirmstheproperty in thecommunalland, thisisbecausetheholdersnormally transfer thislandswithoutanycontracts to certifythetransition. Theexecution of a contractallowsthelandholder to presentcreditapplications in anybank, withwhichthey can guaranteethepaymentcommitment of theobtainedobligations. .
Grid Access Conditions Howitworkedbefore: Lack of gridaccess lead to Temporada Abierta (TA) Oaxaca I Developersneeded to invest in the TA I grid and transportcost to be able to use thetransmissionlines .
Grid Access Conditions Workingtogetherwith CFE and the Energy RegulatorComission (CRE) to updatetheElectricalInfrastructure (EI) conditions: Develop a new businness plan with new financingplans, assesment and sellinglands to developers Thestatebuildstheelectricalinfrastructure Financingthe EI with new fees to allusers .