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Professor C. S. Kiang, Chairman Sustainable Development Technology Foundation

Economic Security. Urbanization and Employment. Professor C. S. Kiang, Chairman Sustainable Development Technology Foundation. Professor C. S. Kiang, Chairman Sustainable Development Technology Foundation. THE ECONOMY AND THE ENVIRONMENT. WHICH IS WHICH?. POPULATION GROWTH

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Professor C. S. Kiang, Chairman Sustainable Development Technology Foundation

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  1. Economic Security Urbanization and Employment Professor C. S. Kiang, Chairman Sustainable Development Technology Foundation Professor C. S. Kiang, Chairman Sustainable Development Technology Foundation

  2. THE ECONOMY AND THE ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS WHICH?

  3. POPULATION GROWTH 1950-2006 population > Last 4 million years population ECONOMIC GROWTH GDP of the year 2000 > GDP of the entire 19th century

  4. 人类纪时代ANTHROPOCENE ——人类正在改变地球(Paul Crutzen) : the current period that human activities have a significant impact on the environment

  5. THE ECONOMY AND THE ENVIRONMENT WHICH IS WHICH?

  6. 1st INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION I = P x A x T1 I = Environmental Impact P = Population A = Affluence T1= Current Technology = Extractive Linear Fossil Fuel Driven Abusive Wasteful Focused on Labor Productivity

  7. 21st CENTURY P x A T2 T2= Future Technology = Reusable, Cyclic, Solar Energy, Hydrogen Economy, Biomimetic Technology, Efficient Technology, etc I =

  8. Triple Crisis Global Economic Depression credit & debt supply & demand GDP resource depletion Climate Change global warming severe weather natural disasters impact on agriculture productivity Social Equity population standards of living wide gap of social wealth social instability

  9. Cultural Diversity Imperative: Collaboration (new mold) > Competition (old mold) Necessary for Future Cultural Advancement: coexist in harmony Respect, Collaboration, and Preservation of Uniqueness China + India (½ of World’s GDP): 200 years ago = by 2050 Collaborate: create economic security, stability, and equity Cultural Complexity: African tribes = Chinese tribes (~55) Respect: must understand the people are not the same Local Characteristics  Global Impact Knowledge and information from individual communities or regions of diversity can be applied in other comparable locations as solutions in a globalized effort.

  10. COLLABORATION

  11. Transparency • Competition - challenge • Collaboration - opportunity CHINA (22% of world population but limited natural resources): Ratio of World: 1/3 of cultivated land, 1/4 of water, 1/5 of forest service, 1/10 of oil, 1/22 of natural gas Of World Consumption: 1/8 of oil supply, 44% of cement, 31% of coal, 31% of crude steel, 25% of aluminum China alone accounts for 6.6% of the global GDP (2006)

  12. Population Distribution Need to create living spaces • Now: 50% of population (urban) ~650 million • By 2035: 75% of population (urban) More than 1 billion

  13. New Urbanism China’s Stimulus Plan: develop domestic need City Planning: Generates small/medium businesses Creates more jobs Causes more money flow Leads to economic security

  14. OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES • Sino-US – Global Impact: • China: • Early stage – knowledge-based economic development. • Great potential – develop new energy technologies & low-carbon economy. • The US: • Experienced – knowledge-based economic development. • Established industry chain – enhances new technology innovations. • China & the U.S.: • Largest GHG emitting countries • Severe climate change consequences • Similar low-carbon economy development experiences • Each announced new economic recovery plans

  15. OPPORTUNITIES & CHALLENGES • Sino-US Collaboration – Global Impact: • Sino-US collaboration  new opportunities and new era of alternative energy technology & energy efficient development. • Sino-US collaboration success  deliver strong message & set precedent for future global partnerships

  16. Green Building & Sustainable Community Recognize and Respect Cultural Diversity Collaborate as a Global Society Exponential Population Increase: need for living space solutions Resource Depletion Solutions: Renewable Energy Sources & Recyclable Materials Innovation + Traditional Technologies Focus: food, shelter, and mobility

  17. Energy infrastructure Conventional energy Renewable energy Green buildings Clean water Clean industry Transportation GREEN TECHNOLOGY AND RENEWABLE ENERGY Biomass Clean coal Grid energy storage Buildings and materials Conser-vation Advanced packaging Energy storage (autos) Biofuels Green gas Grid manage-ment Consumer devices Desali-nation Clean design Fuel cells Geo-thermal Expert Teams Data Bank Oil Smart grids Displays Fresh water treatment Energy-efficient engines Hybrid systems Hydro-electric Nuclear Trans-mission Demand side manage-ment- Waste water treatment Materials (bio, chemical, nano) Logistics Solar Lighting Water reuse Monitoring and compliance Structures Wave Wind Production Vehicles We will combine input from Partners and an initial broad market scan to prioritize 7 key sectors and a target group of sub-sectors for which to provide deeper exploration of opportunities

  18. COLLABORATION

  19. Standard Create a Standard for Urban Development: Measurable Criteria Low-Carbon Emission Economies New Renewable Energy Recycle/Reuse: convert waste to fuel continue water, paper, glass, plastic, and other recyclables processes Collaboration: #1 country (USA - power/influence/economy) #2 country (China - population/economy)

  20. Industrial Chain • Upstream • Downstream • Development of Small/Medium Businesses

  21. Transparency Knowledge-Based Economic Development – Lay the foundation with 4 major endeavors: • Innovation • Intellectual Property • Transparency • Rule by Law

  22. Transparency Principles: • Proactive vs. Reactive • System Science, System Engineering & System Management • Human Resource Development/Team • Building - Cooperative/competitive • Leadership Development

  23. Transparency: Challenges Economy Environment Equity Education Extension Service Stations

  24. Transparency: Challenges Inter-discipline Integration Internationalization Innovation

  25. Collaboration W西 E东 Quantifiable Unquantifiable

  26. EAST & WEST IN UNISON 东西合一

  27. COLLABORATION

  28. The Broad Group • Chinese Prefabrication Construction Company • Value: • Green • Cost and time efficient • Decreases resource waste • Safer building process and structure • Proven effectiveness against severe weather and natural disasters • Heat-Pump Ventilation Technology • Future: • World's tallest building, in China • Collaboration: New Urbanism (low-carbon emission cities)

  29. Oberlin Project goals . . . • 13 acre development—Green Arts District • USGBC Platinumnd & economic revitalization • Climate neutral—City and College • Clinton Climate Initiative • 20,000 acre greenbelt: local foods 70% • education—1000 students/10 years • College, LCCC, LCVS, & public schools • replicate: National Sustainable Communities Coalition

  30. Powerspan CCS Collaboration with China Partners Entered Joint Venture with Huaneng Clean Energy Research Institute for CO2 Capture Project Mongstad (CCM) Technology Qualification Program (TQP) – Contract awarded Oct 2011 Huaneng (largest power generator in China) has a capacity of over 125 GW and annual revenue of $41.5 billion (2011) The CCM project captures >1 MM TPY CO2 from a gas-fired CHP plant which provides 280 MW electric and 350 MW heat (~3% CO2 in flue gas) Entered Cooperation Agreement with Sinopec (Shengli Engineering and Consulting Company – SLECC) for ECO2 feasibility study for a 1 million TPY CO2 capture facility (~150 MW) on a new coal-fired plant Project to provide CO2 for EOR at adjacent Shengli oil field – scheduled feasibility completion Dec 2012 Sinopec (largest oil company in China), ranked #5 on the Fortune Global 500 list, with $375 billion in revenue

  31. Commercial Relationship Summary

  32. World impact: a new model of sustainable economic development is imperative Construction over the next 30 years • China's resource use and economic growth mainly in resource-based and labor-intensive industries In the next 3 decades Will "develop a knowledge-based economy" transformation, innovation, respect for intellectual property rights, the law, to seek a breakthrough to increase transparency, build ecological demonstration city with Macau and Zhuhai will be the twenty-first century ecological demonstration city's development.

  33. 转变需要过程、示范尤为关键 • 当前，中国正处在产业发展转型的关键时期，下三十年的发展不能再继续走过去三十年发展的老路，要转为以知识为主的经济开发，在创新、尊重知识产权、守法、增加透明度等方面寻求突破。 • 前三十年是以香港和深圳为代表的建设和开发，后三十年则是澳门和珠海的时代。 • 示范项目在经济方面显示的竞争优势最具说服力，而对成功的、有经济价值的示范项目的推广，势必将发挥其示范效应和积极影响，推进和谐社会的形成和发展。

  34. 知识为主的经济开发 • 创新 • 透明度 • 保护知识产权 • 遵纪守法 • 系统整合

  35. 案例一：生命光源项目 （食） • 现代都市农业： • 实现城市土地的高效利用 • 确保农业安全生产

  36. 案例二：太阳能城市项目（住） 这样较为成熟的项目，能促进中国城市转型，并实现民生、产业升级、节能、减排四大目标。 如果城市能够提供政策方面的支持，那么该项目的市场潜力非常大。 优点： 技术已经相当成熟； 发电成本也很有竞争性； 被证明其在经济上是可行的； 各方资金支持力度很大。

  37. 案例三：风-电-车项目 （行） 风力发电的优点是技术较为成熟、成本相对低、风力资源丰富，但弱点是稳定性差、不容易储存、对电网冲击大。而电动汽车的电池恰好可以解决风力发电的储能问题，同时又可以真正实现汽车的零排放。对交通和新能源的发展都具有突破意义。 但风电稳定性差、电池蓄电、智能电网等瓶颈仍客观存在。

  38. 案例四：废物变能源项目 清洁能源公园：集合各类能源相关、低碳相关技术与项目，将研发、示范、应用和一站式服务融为一体，打造综合能源产业公园项目。

  39. 十条建议 • 建立生态智慧城市开发基金 • 建立生态智慧城市数据管理中心 • 建立城市区域规划决策中心 • 建立中小企业孵化中心 • 建立综合能源服务园区 • 建立自然资源交易中心 • 建立区域性和全球性物流中心 • 建设宜居和谐示范社区 • 建设世界环境大学 • 建设生态旅游中心

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