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ASX SPOTLIGHT – ASIA H ong Kong , 27 th May 2014 Singapore, 29 th May 2014 Anthony (Tony) Gilby, CEO. Disclaimer. Disclaimer
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ASX SPOTLIGHT – ASIAHong Kong, 27th May 2014Singapore, 29th May 2014Anthony (Tony) Gilby, CEO
Disclaimer Disclaimer This presentation (Presentation) has been prepared by Tlou Energy Limited (Tlou). The Presentation and information contained in it is being provided to shareholders and investors for information purposes only. The information contained in this disclaimer does not constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation to subscribe for or purchase any security and neither the Presentation, disclaimer nor anything contained therein forms the basis of any contract or commitment. This Presentation does not take into account your individual investment objective, financial situation or particular needs. You must not act on the basis of any matter contained in this Presentation. This Presentation may contain forecasts and forward looking information. Such forecasts, projections and information are not a guarantee of future performance and may involve unknown risks and uncertainties. Shareholders and investors should undertake their own evaluation of this information and otherwise contact their professional advisers in the event they wish to buy or sell shares. To the extent the information contains any projections, Tlou has provided these projections based upon the information that has been provided to Tlou. None of Tlou or its directors, officers or employees make any representations (express or implied) as to the accuracy or otherwise of any information or opinions in the Presentation and (to the maximum extent permitted by law) no liability or responsibility is accepted by such persons. Summary information This Presentation is a visual aid which will be used by representatives of Tlou to assist in investor and analyst presentations. It is not intended to be read as a stand alone document. This Presentation contains selected and abbreviated summary information about Tlou and its subsidiaries and their activities current as at the date of this Presentation. The information in this Presentation is of general background and does not purport to be complete. It is intended to be read by a sophisticated investor audience familiar with Tlou and the sector in which it operates and to be accompanied by a verbal presentation delivered by a representative of Tlou. It should be read in conjunction with Tlou’s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements lodged with the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX), which are available at www.asx.com.au. ASX Releases Investors are advised that by their nature as visual aids, presentations provide information in a summary form. The key information on detailed resource statements can be found in Tlou’s ASX releases. Resource statements are provided to comply with ASX guidelines but investors are urged to read supporting information in full on the website. Past performance Past performance information given in this Presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future performance. 2
Disclaimer (continued) Future performance This Presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements”. Forward looking words such as, “expect”, “should”, “could”, “may”, “plan”, “will”, “forecast”, “estimate”, “target” and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements within the meaning of securities laws of applicable jurisdictions. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance are also forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates provided in this Presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on interpretations of current market conditions. Such forward-looking statements, opinions and estimates are not guarantees of future performance. Forward-looking statements including projections, guidance on future earnings and estimates are provided as a general guide only and should not be relied upon as an indication or guarantee of future performance. This Presentation contains such statements that are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond Tlou’s control, and may involve significant elements of subjective judgement and assumptions as to future events which may or may not be correct. It is believed that the expectations reflected in these statements are reasonable, but they may be affected by a range of variables which could cause actual results or trends to differ materially, including but not limited to: price fluctuations, actual demand, currency fluctuations, drilling and production results, reserve estimates, loss of market, industry competition, environmental risks, physical risks, legislative, fiscal and regulatory developments, economic and financial market conditions in various countries and regions, political risks, project delay or advancement, approvals and cost estimates. Such forward-looking statements are relevant at the date of this Presentation and Tlou assumes no obligation to update such information. Investment risk An investment in Tlou shares is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of Tlou. Tlou does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of Tlou. Persons should have regard to the risks outlined in this Presentation. Competent Person Statement The gas resource estimates for the Lesedi CBM Project provided in this statement (refer slide 14) were originally released to the Market in Tlou’s Replacement Prospectus 2 April 2013 (Announcement). Tlou confirms that it is not aware of any new information or data that materially affects the information included in the Announcement and that all of the material assumptions and technical parameters underpinning the estimates in the Announcement continue to apply and have not materially changed. The gas resource estimates are based on and fairly represents, information and supporting documentation and were determined by Mr. John G. Hattnerof Netherland, Sewell and Associates, Inc (‘NSAI’), Dallas, Texas, USA, in accordance with Petroleum Resource Management System guidelines. Mr. Hattner is a full-time employee of NSAI, and is considered to be a qualified person as defined under the ASX Listing Rule 5.42 and has given his consent to the use of the resource figures in the form and context in which they appear in this Presentation. 3
Tlou Energy Limited • Tlou Energy - Overview • Locations & Team • Operations • Lesedi CBM Project • Resource Statement • Commercialisation • Forward Plan • Summary
Tlou Energy – Overview Africa’s Most Advanced CBM Company Lesedi CBM Project The most advanced unconventional gas project in Botswana – 100% owned Independently Certified Contingent Resources (NSAI) 152 BCF (2C) 2,322 BCF (3C) Significant market opportunity Strong demand Gas to replace diesel generation (~US$30/GJ) Low cost location Favourable operating and regulatory environment Very supportive government ASX listed TOU Share Price: (20/05/14)A$0.33 Shares on Issue: 148m Fully Diluted: 164m Mkt Cap: A$49m Cash:A$11.3m Debt: Nil
Locations Experienced Team with Established In-Country Presence Australia: Brisbane Office • Corporate Head Office • Experienced Board and management team Africa: Johannesburg & Gaborone Offices • Johannesburg - Administrative office • Gaborone - In-country office • Manages key relationships with stakeholders and government • Local knowledge & customs • Facilitates identification and retention of skilled local staff
Team Proven Track Record of Success Board Nathan Mitchell Chairman Anthony (Tony) Gilby Chief Executive Officer • 17 years in resource exploration • Executive Chairman of Mitchell Services Limited (ASX:MSV) • International operational experience • Pioneer of CBM drilling techniques • Geologist with 28 years industry experience • Co-founder and previous CEO of Sunshine Gas • Proved up +1,000PJ of reserves and sold to BG/QGC in 2008 for ~$1.1B • Qualified geologist with previous technical roles for ESSO, Exxon Chris Pieters Non-Executive Director Martin McIver Non-Executive Director • 7 years unconventional gas experience • Previously CCO of Sunshine Gas • Qualified geologist • Non-executive director of Comet Ridge • 9 years managerial experience in mining service companies • Formerly with PwC Key In-Country Management Glen Smith Chief Operating Officer South Africa Gabaake Gabaake African Regional Manager Botswana David Mompati Project Development Officer Botswana • 25 years operational experience with oil and gas majors, including Exxon • Drilling and geological experience across Australia, PNG, Brazil and Africa • Professional geologist with strong local government and industry relationships • Previously Permanent Secretary Ministry of Minerals, Energy and Water Resources • Served on various private company boards including De Beers, Debswana and DTC • Outstanding commercial and project management credentials • Over 7 years experience with Botswana based entities • Key liaison with local stakeholders
Operations Botswana Activities Tenement Position Exploration to Date Current Operational Focus • 70+ wells drilled which has provided a large database of the area • $50m+ spent on exploration to date • Lesedi CBM Project • Successfully completed 2013 Horizontal Pilot Pod program and 2014 Coring program • Production testing ongoing • ~7,000km2 of granted CBM permits in the Karoo Kalahari Basin • Applications pending for a further ~4,400km2 in the adjacent ‘Mamba’ area Lesedi 1P Operations (2013)
Botswana Field Camp Main Operations Camp • Purpose built • 20-30 personnel onsite • Permanent & temporary accommodation • Full time security and medical support • Fully equipped with critical machinery and spares • Significant operational equipment & vehicles • ~30 minutes to Lesedi operations • Temporary fly camp facility Ariel view of Tlou Energy Limited’s Botswana Field Camp (2013)
Lesedi CBM Project Most Advanced CBM Project in Botswana • Two Horizontal Pilot Pods drilled in 2013: • Lesedi • Selemo • Pilot well design similar to successful methods used in Australian basins • Three-well infill coring program successfully completed in April 2014 • Provides further data around pilot pods • Core holes completed to allow utilisation as future production wells
Horizontal Well Design Horizontal Pilot Pods • Horizontal wells (~750m in-seam) with vertical intercept pumping well • Lesedi completed with dual laterals • Selemo completed as a single lateral • Target Reservoir: Basal Morupule coal seam (~6m) • Testing results will underpin reserve certification Selemo 1P Wellhead 11
Production Update May 2014 • Lesedi Pilot Pod – Dual Lateral wells • Dewatering continuing • Pump capacity increased in May ‘14 • Current water rate ~250+ barrels per day • Larger reservoir area accessed by dual laterals (cf. Selemo) • Selemo Pilot Pod – Single Lateral well • Critical Gas Desorption pressure reached • Casing pressure continues to build • Current water rate ~50+ barrels per day • First gas flow anticipated 2Q14
Geological Prospectivity Coal Seams Display Attractive Features Reservoir Distribution • Wells intersect coals at depths of ~300-700m • Cumulative net coal thickness averaging ~25m • Coal seams laterally continuous Reservoir Properties • Gas contents ~4m3/t • Drill stem tests (DST) indicate an unstimulated reservoir permeability of 2-5mD • Excellent gas compositions with most samples ranging between 75-100% methane Laboratory – Francistown, Botswana Source: Tlou 13
Independently Certified Contingent Resources (NSAI) First CBM Operator in Botswana to achieve a NSAI Contingent Resource Resource Statement • 152 BCF (2C) & 2,322 BCF (3C) contingent resources • Significant resource expansion potential • Current 2C resource certification covers <3% of the permit area (Mopani wells only) Initial Reserve Certification objective 2014 Note: 1. 1C volumes not identified at this time. 2. OGIP = Original gas in place. Source: Netherland, Sewell & Associates, Inc. (NSAI)See Competent Person Statement – Slide 3 • Based on testing results from Lesedi project Horizontal Pilot Pods and additional data from the April 2014 coring program
Commercialisation Numerous Local and Regional Opportunities Local Botswana Opportunities • Existing 10 PJ pa off-take opportunity in Botswana • Gas replacement for diesel power • Initial field production – CNG: • To Kodibeleng (~80km), nearest sub-station • Pipeline to Orapa (~149km) to fuel 90MW power plant • Pipeline to fuel potential 300MW power plant at: • Gaborone (~242km); or • Mahalapye (~135km) • Greater gas demand regionally
Score VeryClean 9.0–10.0 8.0–8.9 7.0–7.9 6.0–6.9 5.0–5.9 4.0–4.9 3.0–3.9 2.0–2.9 1.0–1.9 HighlyCorrupt 0.0–0.9 Botswana No Data Botswana Favourable Environment for Resource Investment • Growing economy • Stable, democratic government • Low cost environment • Local stakeholders supportive of Tlou’s activities given desire to: • Reduce foreign electricity dependence • Diversify national income away from diamonds • Natural Gas – an attractive solution to the growing energy crisis • Lowest corruption rate in Africa, globally ranked 30 of 177 countries Corruption Perceptions Index Source: Transparency International 2011
Morupule A Eskom Imports Non-Firm Imports (SAPP) Years Emergency Diesel Generation (70MW) Morupule B Phase 1 (600MW) Demand Dual Fuel Generation (Orapa 90MW) Demand +15% Reserve Margin Botswana Electricity Supply / Demand Estimate (MW) • Demand far outweighs supply • Peak demand ~600MW (2013 est.) • Current local supply < 400MW (2013 est.) • Daily power outages • SA (Eskom) imports 100MW • Non-firm, expire 2015 • Morupule B commissioning issues • Diesel generation (~US$30/GJ) Supply commissioning issues MW Source: Norconsult Market Report
Botswana CBM Landscape Competitive Landscape • Tlou (and predecessors) have had continuous Botswana operations since 2007 • Being in-country with advanced data allows Tlou to rapidly move towards commercialisation • Other oil & gas companies that have had activities in the region include: • Origin/Sasol (Kubu JV) • Anglo Coal • Exxaro Energy Source: Tlou, 2013
Forward Plan 2014/15: Focus on Reserves and Field Development Demonstrate commercial gas flows at Lesedi & Selemo Pilot Pods Conduct expanded program Assess data from infill coring program Secure MOU for gas supply • Complete dewatering to achieve critical gas desorption at Lesedi (achieved at Selemo in May 2014) • Flow gas at commercial rates • Three-well infill coring program successfully completed in April 2014 • Work commenced on gas marketing agreements with potential off-takers in anticipation of commercial gas flows • Additional pods • To be finalised based on current production testing results Initial 2P Reserves Booking (targeting 2014) Reserves Upgrade, Optimisation of Field Development Plan
Summary Aiming to become a key player in the solution to southern Africa’s energy crisis CBM developer focussed on Botswana ASX: TOU Market Cap: ~A$49m Cash Balance: ~A$11.3m (March 2014) Independently Certified Contingent Resources (NSAI) Fully funded to complete CY 2014 work program to result in initial 2P reserve certification Experienced team, 30+ staff Brisbane, Johannesburg, Gaborone
Tlou Energy Limited210 Alice StreetBrisbaneQLD 4000Australiawww.tlouenergy.cominfo@tlouenergy.com