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1. Dr. Jonathan ScurlockNational Farmers’ Union of England and WalesBiofuels: Opportunity or Threat? EERU / Design and Innovation Seminar
Open University, Milton Keynes: 12 March 2008
2. Energy security, food and climate change Climate change – non-stop media coverage? Not just 2006 or 2007; we face decades of climate change!
Oil prices and energy security: $109/bbl – higher than 1980
Rising food prices (at last!) due to worldwide structural change, globalisation and new markets (biofuels)
Climate change, energy and food security are all driving policy at international, national and regional level
3. Why this is important for agriculture
4. Biofuels – one part of the solution With 75% of UK area, agriculture can provide abundant land-based renewable resources
replacement of farm energy inputs
export of electricity to the rest of the economy
provision of renewable heat and wood fuels
agricultural commodities for electricity or fuel production off-site
For the first time in 50 years, farming today offers a solution, no longer a financial burden
Back to the future? – horse fodder used to occupy large areas of land (biofuels are modern equivalent)
Biofuels strategically important – no other pathways ready to substitute for road, rail, even aviation fuels
5. Biofuel production – large scale Most commercial opportunities to UK growers are at large scale – through conventional grain trading, maybe on different terms
6. EU and UK targets for biofuels EU Biofuels Directive – 2% by 2005, 5.75% by 2010 – indicative targets only (UK only 0.3% by 2005)
UK RTFO sets 2.5% (2008/09), 3.75% (2009/10), 5% (2010/11) by volume (Roy Soc called for 2025 target)
EU 2020 target (March 07, Jan 08 RE Directive) – 10% is binding on MS – much-needed long-term signal
large biofuels plants now operational or planned
Biofuels Seal Sands, Greenergy Immingham, D1 Oils, Argent/ESL
Ensus Teesside, BP/ABF/DuPont South Humberside, Abengoa?
5% UK petrol = 3 million tonnes wheat to ethanol
5% UK diesel = 2.7 million tonnes OSR to biodiesel
7. Myths and Misconceptions Continuing media/public backlash – only to be expected?
NFU wants a mature, science-based debate – sustainability criteria could be extended to all biomass or even all agricultural commodties in future
(1) Food Prices
(2) World markets and rural incomes
(3) Not enough land?
(4) Harming, not helping the environment?
(5) We should wait for cellulosic technologies
(6) Energy subsidies? Feed prices?
8. Getting the message across Public sector procurement
Captive vehicle fleets
High-blend biofuels (E85, B30)
9. Small-scale biofuel production HM Revenue and Customs – simplification of regulations from Summer 2007, allow 2500 litres/year without registration or payment of fuel excise duty
10. Is this Easy?
11. Farm-based business examples
12. Perennial energy crops – a new sub-sector SRC willow (harvested every three years) and miscanthus (harvested annually)
Solid biomass fuel for power stations, local heat, future transport fuels – new NFU discussion group formed
Explicit ES needs to be rewarded (biodiversity, permeability, low inputs, low run-off, flood control)
However – poor market devt., loss of flexibility in marketing, cannot be diverted back to food/feed uses like grain-based feedstocks
13. Economic evaluations and biogas Reports and calculators for small-scale biofuels
Booth et al. (SAC) for NNFCC (Report 07-012) – www.nnfcc.co.uk
Andrew Martin (report for SEEDA) farming@rmfarms.co.uk
Marches Energy Agency www.mea.org.uk - spreadsheet still available?
14. Conclusions Agriculture – a major natural resource - significant contribution to energy supply and climate change mitigation
Biofuels (small and large scale) are just one of many options
NFU supports sustainable development and the transition to a low-carbon economy
Dr Jonathan Scurlock
Chief Policy Adviser, Renewable Energy and Climate Change
National Farmers’ Union
Stoneleigh Park
Warwicks CV8 2TZ
jonathan.scurlock@nfu.org.uk