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Overview & International Perspective EOS Capabilities, Needs, Gaps & Resolutions: 14 th October 2014 Presented by Stephen Ward. Introduction and Overview. Topics Supply : current and future outlook Supply features International interfaces Data policies D omestic coordination.
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Overview & International Perspective EOS Capabilities, Needs, Gaps & Resolutions: 14th October 2014 Presented by Stephen Ward
Introduction and Overview • Topics • Supply: current and future outlook • Supply features • International interfaces • Data policies • Domestic coordination
Supply: current and future outlook • CEOS Database 2014 Update • Annual update cycle • Responses received from 27 CEOS agencies • 23 new mission records added, 117 existing records updated • 44 new instrument records added, 156 existing records updated • Currently features operating or planned for launch in the next 15 years: • 267 Earth observing satellite missions • 784 instruments
Supply: current and future outlook Instrument Types Source: CEOS EOHandbook http://eohandbook.com/
Historical perspective Source: A.S. Belward, J.O. Skøien - ISPRS
Historical perspective Source: A.S. Belward, J.O. Skøien - ISPRS
Geographical perspective Source: A.S. Belward, J.O. Skøien - ISPRS
Geographical perspective Source: A.S. Belward, J.O. Skøien - ISPRS
Coordination Frameworks • Committee on Earth Observation Satellites (CEOS) • Australia Chair (Alex Held) in 2016 • CEO also in 2016-17 • Group on Earth Observations (GEO and GEOSS) • Global Earth Observation System of Systems – satellite and in situ • Many initiatives, including forests, agriculture, and water • Coordination Group for Meteorological Satellites (CGMS) • Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) • “Essential Climate Variables” • International Charter on Space and Major Disasters
Growth context • “The number of satellites launched by civil government and commercial entities is expected to more than double over the next decade” • $35.8B USD in manufacturing revenues • “The market for commercial EO data was valued at $1.5 billion in 2012.” • Growth slowing to 7%, and consolidation of operators • Manufacturing revenues rising, but the average cost of a non-Meteorological EO satellite falling Euroconsult, 2013
Growth context • Austerity and budget pressures in North America and Europe squeezing expenditures • Major programs like Copernicus and NOAA’s meteorological missions face some uncertainty • Increasingly stable • EO remains a priority for R&D mandated space agencies like NASA, ESA, JAXA • Climate change and environmental monitoring driving Euroconsult, 2013
Growth context • “Overall civil government investment in EO totaled $7.7 billion in 2012” • “$5.5 billion (71%) of total investment in 2012 was attributed to North America and Europe” • Russia, India and China all ramping up spending more quickly • Support to national policy interests, autonomy in space applications, national industry • Lagging, but increasing quality in terms of ground/spectral/radiometric resolutions, accuracy, and lifespan Euroconsult, 2013
Measurement Categories Atmosphere, Land, Oceans + Snow/Ice and Earth Science
Atmospheric Measurements Clouds, temperature, pressure, gas composition
Land Measurements Land cover, vegetation, reflectance, topography
Ocean Measurements Colour, topography, winds, temperature, sea level
Data policies • Australia at the mercy of data policy trends • Mixed bag internationally • USA – free and open, new Civil EO Plan • Japan – commercial (at higher resn) • Europe – free and open, but questions on the data system and politics; Sentinel-2 could change the world
Australian needs and supply • CEODA process a welcome, formalised documentation of requirements
Australian needs and supply • 2014 CEODA update underway by GA • Socio-economic benefits (ACIL Allen) and supply risks (Symbios) studies also underway to provide business case arguments for investing in selected EO data streams
Australian coordination • Federal coordination budget/staff/interest reduced (SPU/SCO) • Satellite utilisation policy – terminated trajectory? • No publication of National EO Infrastructure Plan • GA/CSIRO/BOM diligent on CEODA update and political arguments • AEOCCG an active voice and advocate • Substantial processes and mechanisms exist – including through agencies with operational responsibility and mandate
Thanks! • Contact: • Stephen Ward • mail@stephenward.net