70 likes | 224 Views
Implications of the forthcoming elections on economic policy Hlib Vyshlinsky International Centre for Policy Studies EBA General Membership Meeting 21 March 2002. Міжнародний центр перспективних досліджень International Centre for Policy Studies. Tel. +380 44 462-4937/38
E N D
Implications of the forthcoming elections on economic policyHlib VyshlinskyInternational Centre for Policy StudiesEBA General Membership Meeting 21 March 2002 Міжнародний центр перспективних досліджень International Centre for Policy Studies Tel. +38044 462-4937/38 Web: www.icps.kiev.ua
Government policies will directly affect businesses Sound policies will increase prosperity and bring social and economic stability to Ukraine ICPS is a think tank that works extensively on policy Why we are talking about policy, not politics Міжнародний центр перспективних досліджень International Centre for Policy Studies Tel. +38044 462-4937/38 Web: www.icps.kiev.ua
Ukrainian parties have a low capacity for developing comprehensive and consistent policy programs Citizens have no mechanisms to control parties between elections; whether they are really following the policies they promoted in their programs Parties could easily change their policy choice after they win seats in the Verkhovna Rada How party policies in Ukraine could be interpreted Міжнародний центр перспективних досліджень International Centre for Policy Studies Tel. +38044 462-4937/38 Web: www.icps.kiev.ua
You could make an appraisal as follows: Communist vs. liberal Public interests vs. vested interests This appraisal is hard to justify, as it is only partly based on party programs In fact, the track record of party leaders is as important as the party programs How party policies in Ukraine could be interpreted (cont’d) Міжнародний центр перспективних досліджень International Centre for Policy Studies Tel. +38044 462-4937/38 Web: www.icps.kiev.ua
How party policies in Ukraine could be interpreted (an example) interests communism — a given political party, size of the circle is its rating Міжнародний центр перспективних досліджень International Centre for Policy Studies Tel. +38044 462-4937/38 Web: www.icps.kiev.ua
Government role in the economy Support for private initiative Public expenditures Communist vs. liberal: some criteria Private vs. vested interests: criteria • Level of government discretion supported • Support for non-transparent decision making • Support for barter deals Міжнародний центр перспективних досліджень International Centre for Policy Studies Tel. +38044 462-4937/38 Web: www.icps.kiev.ua
We expect the new parliament to be more responsible: Party programs have got more media attention during this campaign; programs are competing as well as party leaders Civil society (including think tanks) is demanding that clear policy policy commitments are made to citizens We expect the VR to be less communist-influenced and more focused on public interests We expect better policies Ukrainian economy will grow 5.5% in 2003, compared to 4.5% in 2002 (details at www.icps.kiev.ua) ICPS forecast Міжнародний центр перспективних досліджень International Centre for Policy Studies Tel. +38044 462-4937/38 Web: www.icps.kiev.ua