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Baby Boomers: The Next 20 Years

Baby Boomers: The Next 20 Years. Richard Adler Institute for Senior Living April 12, 2012. Two visions of the future of aging. Thinking about the future. Foresight. In sight. Action. Methodologies:. Expert workshops Ethnographic research Scenarios Artifacts from the future

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Baby Boomers: The Next 20 Years

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  1. Baby Boomers: The Next 20 Years Richard Adler Institute for Senior Living April 12, 2012

  2. Two visions of the future of aging

  3. Thinking about the future

  4. Foresight Insight Action

  5. Methodologies: • Expert workshops • Ethnographic research • Scenarios • Artifacts from the future • Collaborative forecasting • Games • Signal tracking • Mapping

  6. .

  7. Premise: The systems, structures and institutions created over the past half century to support older Americans will not scale up to accommodate the needs of the next generation of seniors.

  8. Projected growth in health care spending, 2007-2082 % of GDP Source: Long-Term Outlook for Health Care Spending, CBO, 2007

  9. Model of change • Cohort • Age • Period

  10. Women Men Cohort Effect: Life Expectancy, 1840-2000 Source: Broken Limits to Life Expectancy, Oeppenand Vaupell Science, May 10., 2002

  11. Cohort Effect: Prevalence of Disability in the 65+ population, 1982-2005 Source: NIA, 2006

  12. Age Effect: Prevalence of Disability by Age, 2009 Source: Administration on Aging,. A Profile of Older Americans: 2009.

  13. Period Effect: Household Net Worth

  14. Boomers: The Next 20 Years

  15. People in Daily Life:Extended Capacity

  16. Signal: Older Athletes

  17. Signal: Older Workers

  18. Signal: Biomechatronics

  19. People in Daily Life:Re-Sequencing of Life Stages

  20. Signal: Emergence of a New Lifestage

  21. Signal: Emergence of a New Lifestage

  22. Networks in Action: Self-Help 2.0

  23. Signal: PatientsLikeMe

  24. Signal: ITN America

  25. Signal: Virtual Villages

  26. Successful Aging: Avenidas Village-PAMF Partnership

  27. Economies in Flux: Wealth Generation

  28. Signal: Your Encore

  29. Signal: Time Banks

  30. Economies in Flux:Re-Institutioning

  31. Signal: Reinventing the Senior Center

  32. Signal: Reinventing Lifelong Learning

  33. Signal: Reinventing Retirement

  34. Signal: Reinventing Senior Housing

  35. Signal: Old’Up

  36. Signal: Institute for the Ages .

  37. .

  38. Foresight Insight Action

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