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Projections of scenarios impacts to water quantity. Water quantity Modelling. Translating between quality and quantity. WB s cenarios : 1 The good society Techno garden in Balkans 3 Run to the hills Downward spiral. Land use parameters 1 The good society
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Projections of scenarios impacts to water quantity Water quantity Modelling Translating between quality and quantity • WB scenarios: • 1 The good society • Techno garden in Balkans • 3 Run to the hills • Downward spiral • Land use parameters • 1 The good society • Techno garden in Balkans • 3 Run to the hills • Downward spiral 8 Regional Climate Models 24 results (4 scenarios x 8 models) Range of changes of water quantity in the future in WB (per year, per season) EXAMPLE of interpretation of LU parameters in qualitative scenarios Example of outcome We will have in 2030 15%% less water. If we want more HP in our vision this means risk. In 2060/2100 we will have 30% less water • Agriculture in WB scenarios • (qualit. description) • 1 The good society • Techno garden in Balkans • 3Run to the hills • Downward spiral • Land use parameters: • agriculture use • (qualit. description +quant. indication) • 1 The good society + 5% • Techno garden in Balkans – 3% • 3Run to the hills + 20% • Downward spiral + 30% For LU quantitative indication use Prelude where possible