1 / 17

China Rise, Xi Jinping, Dynamics of Great Powers Competition

China Rise, Xi Jinping, Dynamics of Great Powers Competition. IIRE – November 26, 2018. Introduction. China Rise: central factor in reshaping world geopolitics An uncertain future Toward a radical change in the world order? Today: « Chinese factor » has already implications in all fields.

mattox
Download Presentation

China Rise, Xi Jinping, Dynamics of Great Powers Competition

An Image/Link below is provided (as is) to download presentation Download Policy: Content on the Website is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use and may not be sold / licensed / shared on other websites without getting consent from its author. Content is provided to you AS IS for your information and personal use only. Download presentation by click this link. While downloading, if for some reason you are not able to download a presentation, the publisher may have deleted the file from their server. During download, if you can't get a presentation, the file might be deleted by the publisher.

E N D

Presentation Transcript

  1. China Rise, Xi Jinping, Dynamics of Great Powers Competition IIRE – November 26, 2018

  2. Introduction • China Rise: central factor in reshaping world geopolitics • An uncertain future • Toward a radical change in the world order? • Today: « Chinese factor » has already implications in all fields

  3. Xi Jinping’s China • From Mao to Xi: bureaucratisation as a process, bureaucratic counterrevolution as a precondition to the bourgeois counterrevolution • A very specific form of bureuacratic and state (lead) capitalism and social formation • Xi Jinping’s rule: a new political regime in capitalist China • Xi’s ambition: China’s century, a global alternative model to the West • The Achilles Heal: the limits of absolutism • Lead economy in a neoliberal world market and the social elite

  4. The military expansion • Imperialism cannot be only economic • A new military doctrine: centrality of the blue-water navy • Arm race: advanced weapons and cyber capacities • 317 warships and submarines in active service, outnumbering the 283 of the U.S. navy • Chinese army’s weaknesses and the alliance with Russia • Pentagon worries • The renamed US Indo-Pacific Command: 60% of the US Navy

  5. The war fleet

  6. Dépenses militaires

  7. Budgets militaires Russie / Chine / US

  8. Modernized blue-water navy .

  9. Asia

  10. North-East Asia

  11. OBOR strategic « corridors »

  12. Economic expansion • First phase of OBOR: a multifunctional program. Pilar: infrastructure • Control of communication lanes, of resources, industrial investments… • In and out financial institutions (IMF, AIIB) • The politics of loans (worldwide) (Latin America) • Old forms of colonialism: debt and concessions (i. e. Sri Lanka, Hambantota Port) (Nicaragua) • Problems: economic rentability, political backlash (Malaysia) • Ongoing reevaluations: future of OBOR? But economic expansion continues

  13. US counteroffensive – Economic war • A very serious conflict on all fronts • Customs duties and foreign investment in China • Currency war • Technology war • Chinese attraction • Chinese debts?

  14. Where are we going ? • US: the price of Obama paralysis and of Trump unilateralism • Whatever, China’s impact: Interpol, biodiversity, WHO… • The China-US conflict, the last nail on the climate coffin (te cost of « advanced » technologies) • The latest shift: beyond competing influences – Chose your camp! (APEC crisis) • Can it mean the end of globalisation?

  15. Resistance and faction fights • The social struggles in China: widespread, on many fields • Organizing? The two impossibilities • Factional struggles and the CCP (Jasic) • The hope in a better economic future (one child choice) • When the crisis will come?

  16. Solidarity and internationalism • A new internationalism for a new world • Against « campism » • Existing international solidarity with Chinese workers' rights • Solidarity with Hong Kong progressists

  17. Le pont HK-Chine continentale

More Related