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Clinical Scenario. Step 1: Ask an answerable clinical question--P. I. C. O. Patient / Problem : Intervention / Exposure: Comparison: Outcome:. PICO. Question: Patient / Problem : Intervention / Exposure: Comparison: Outcome:.
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Step 1: Ask an answerable clinical question--P. I. C. O. Patient / Problem : Intervention / Exposure: Comparison: Outcome:
PICO Question: • Patient / Problem : • Intervention / Exposure: • Comparison: • Outcome:
Step 3: Critically appraise that evidence for its validity and importance
A.文獻的結果能令人信服嗎? Are the results of this prognosis study valid?
本文獻: □Yes □No □Unclear 評論Comment: 1. Was a defined, representative sample of patients assembled at a common (usually early) point in the course of their disease?
本文獻: □Yes □No □Unclear 評論Comment: 2. Was patient follow-up sufficiently long and complete?
本文獻: □Yes □No □Unclear 評論Comment: 3. Were objective outcome criteria applied in a “blind” fashion?
本文獻: □Yes □No □Unclear 評論Comment: 4. If subgroups with different prognoses are identified, was there adjustment for important prognostic factors?
本文獻: □Yes □No □Unclear 評論Comment: 5. Was there validation in an independent group (“test set”) of patients?
B.文獻的結果夠重要嗎?Are the valid results of this prognosis study important?
6. How likely are the outcomes over time? • Typically, results from prognosis studies are reported in one of three ways: • as a percentage of survival at a particular • point in time (such as 1-year or 5-year survival rates); • 2)as median survival (the length of follow-up • by which 50% of study patients have died); or • 3)as survival curves that depict, at each point • in time, the proportion (expressed as a • percentage) of the original study sample who • have NOT yet had a specified outcome. • In prognosis studies we often find results presented as Kaplan–Meier curves, which are a type of survival curve. Prognosis shown as survival curves (dashed line indicates median survival). A: Good prognosis (or too short a study!). B: Poor prognosis early, then slower increase in mortality, with median survival of 3 months. C: Good prognosis early, then worsening, with median survival of 9 months. D: Steady prognosis.
C.文獻的結果能應用到我們的病人嗎? Can we apply this valid, important evidence about prognosis in caring for our patient?
9.Will this evidence make a clinically important impact on our conclusions about what to offer or tell our patient?