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Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre

Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences. PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION). Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre. GROUND RULES. Decisions are individual (But consultation with team is encouraged)

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Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre

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  1. Paying for Predictions A game on information, decisions and consequences PARTICIPATORY! (EXPECT CONFUSION) Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre

  2. GROUND RULES Decisions are individual (But consultation with team is encouraged) Beans cannot be shared (You can loose beans - start with 10) No questioning of game rules during the game (Afterwards: challenge away) Note: the game is a simplified version of reality

  3. WINNERS&LOSERS Winner Most beans Winning team Fewest “humanitarian crises” If a tie, team with most total beans Need more beans than you have? you have a humanitarian crisis! Losers: Anyone with a humanitarian crisis

  4. Local Regional 7 2 3 8 12 4 9 10 11 6 5 Local Climate in Regional Context Flood if 10+ (~16% chance)

  5. YOU (DEVELOPMENT WORKER) Stand up for Flood Preparedness: Pay 1 bean before rains Early Action Stay sitting (doing non-disaster tasks): Pay nothing Wait & See

  6. No disaster ? (<10) No problem No problem Pay 4 Flood ? (10 or more) Early Action Not enough beans to pay? Crisis! Wait & See

  7. LET’S PLAY! PLAY! Two practice rounds

  8. BID FOR A REGIONAL FORECAST Half of the teams will have info about likely rains The bid: 1. Put as many beans in the bowl as you want to invest 2. By end of countdown, bring bowl to front Highest bidders: Team can see regional die before decision, throughout game (receives transparent cup). Facilitator keeps beans Other teams: Recover your beans

  9. No disaster ? (<10) No problem No problem Pay 4 Flood ? (10 or more) Early Action Not enough beans to pay? Crisis! Wait & See

  10. WINNERS&LOSERS Winner Most beans Winning team Fewest “humanitarian crises” If a tie, team with most total beans Need more beans than you have? you have a humanitarian crisis! Losers: Anyone with a humanitarian crisis

  11. Debrief time!

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