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The DEATH of the STRATEGIST!. 1: Some Lesson from ‘Foresight’ …. Cyprus: Policy for CAP Reform, Accession … Ireland: Aligning National RTD Policy with the needs of the economy … Scotland: Development, fish farming & NIMBYISM in highland areas … Japan: Emergence of social factors ….
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The DEATH of the STRATEGIST! patrick@clubofamsterdam.com
1: Some Lesson from ‘Foresight’ … Cyprus: Policy for CAP Reform, Accession … Ireland: Aligning National RTD Policy with the needs of the economy … Scotland: Development, fish farming & NIMBYISM in highland areas … Japan: Emergence of social factors … The ‘European Foresight Monitoring Network’ at www.efmn.info … 611 cases identified around the world .…at the level of the EU, international, national, regional, cross-border, municipal, sectoral … • MAIN TRENDS • DECENTRALISATION of decision making… • Attention to PROCESS • Completion of VISIONING with VISIONING+BARGAINING … • Embedding in systems of DELIBERATIVE DEMOCRACY … patrick@clubofamsterdam.com
2: A Look at STRATEGY … Based on M. Butter et al TNO VISION STRATEGY L1 TACTICS STRATEGY L2 BUY-IN OPERATIONS TACTICS STRATEGY L3 ORGANISATION OPERATIONS TACTICS OPERATIONS CAPABILITY EXECUTION Multi-Level GOVERNANCE Structures • MAIN TRENDS • New thinking about the ‘TASK of MANAGEMENT’ • DECENTRALISATION of decision making • Organizational PLASTICITY • In different ways and to varying degrees everyone is concerned with STRATEGY patrick@clubofamsterdam.com
3: CONCLUSIONS about Futurist Tools … • CURRENT TOOLS • Stakeholder Analysis • Expectations Management • Background Papers • Horizon scanning • Weak signal analysis • Bibliographical analysis • Expert Panels • Commissioned Reports • MIC-MAC • STEEPV • SWOT • Morphological Analysis • … ETC ETC • FUTURE TOOLS • STAKEHOLDER SELECTION • (Stakeholder Intelligence …) • DIALOGUE … • (Development and Management …) • SECONDARY RESEARCH … • (… +Visual, Exploratory and Interactive) • DECISION SUPPORT • (Qualitative, Subjective and Uncertain …) • COMMUNICATION • (… to stakeholders and non-stakeholders alike) patrick@clubofamsterdam.com