Full Day Seminar: Friday, April 25, 2008, 8:00am – 5:00pm

1. How to Validate Your Models & Simulations Full Day Seminar:Friday, April 25, 2008, 8:00am – 5:00pm at Lockheed Martin - Lake Underhill Blvd This one-day seminar presents a comprehensive discussion of practical techniques for building valid and credible simulation models. All techniques will be illustrated by one or more examples based on actual simulation projects. By seminar’s end, each attendee will be familiar with the twelve fundamental validation techniques and know how to apply them to their models and simulations. This seminar has benefitted from contracts with Defense Modeling and Simulation Office, Navy Modeling and Simulation Office, and the Office of Naval Research. Versions have been presented to Boeing, Raytheon, the U.S. Army, the U.S. Navy, the Military Operations Research Society (MORS), & the International Test and Evaluation Association (ITEA). What You Will Learn: 1. Formulating the Problem Precisely 2. Talking to a Wide Variety of Subject-Matter Experts (SMEs) 3. Interacting with the Decision-Maker on a Regular Basis -Helps ensure that the correct problem is being addressed -Enhances the credibility of the simulation model 4. Using Quantitative Techniques to Validate Components of the Model 5. Developing a Written Assumptions Document (Conceptual Model) -Purpose, components, and format -Detailed example -Construction for a legacy simulation model with limited documentation 6. Performing a Structured Walk-through of the Assumptions Document -Format and benefits -Required attendees 7. Using Sensitivity Analysis to Determine Important Model Factors -The critical danger of varying one factor at a time -Introduction to the proper design of experiments 8. Results Validation -Comparison of model output data with the comparable output data from a similar existing system using numerical statistics and graphical plots -Use of a Turing test - Evaluation of model output data by SMEs -Comparison of model output data with the comparable output data from another model that is thought to be "valid" -Use of confidence intervals and hypothesis tests to make comparisons 9. Using Animation to Show that a Model is not Valid and to Enhance Credibility 10. Guidelines for Obtaining Good Model Data -Two basic principles -Common difficulties 11. Six Critical Pitfalls in Model Development and Validation and How to Avoid Them. Registration by COB April 11, 2008: Registration = $225 per person INCOSE Members = $175 Students = $100 All INCOSE Members who register & do not attend, will be invoiced additional an $50 for holding a seat. Course materials, parking, refreshments and lunch are included with your registration. Registration limited. • Register using the following method: • Complete registration on INCOSE Orlando website • http://www.incose.org/orlando/paypal_tutorial.php • or mail your check (payable to INCOSE) Questions? Contact Tutorial Chair: Ed Smith EddieBoydSmith@gmail.com Lockheed Martin Simulation, Training & Support, Orlando (Main Auditorium)12506 Lake Underhill Road, Orlando, FL 32825 directions at: www.incose.org/orlando

2. How to Validate Your Models & Simulations About theInstructor:Dr. AVERILL M. LAW, the President of Averill M. Law & Associates, is one of the world's foremost experts on simulation modeling. He has been a simulation consultant to numerous organizations including Accenture, Arco, Boeing, Defense Modeling and Simulation Office, Hewlett-Packard, Kimberly-Clark, M&M/Mars, Navy Modeling and Simulation Office, SAIC, Sandia National Labs, 3M, Tropicana, Xerox, U.S. Air Force, U.S. Army, and U.S. Post Office. Dr. Law has presented more than 440 simulation short courses in 18 countries. He has written or coauthored numerous papers and books on simulation, operations research, statistics, manufacturing, and communications, including the definitive book Simulation Modeling and Analysis that is used by more than 110,000 people and considered the "bible" of the simulation industry. He developed the ExpertFit distribution-fitting software and also several videotapes on simulation modeling. Dr. Law has been the keynote speaker at simulation conferences worldwide. He wrote a regular column on simulation for Industrial Engineering magazine. Dr. Law has been a tenured faculty member at the University of Wisconsin-Madison and the University of Arizona. He has a Ph.D. in industrial engineering and operations research from the University of California at Berkeley. NOTE: Lockheed/Martin is a secure facility. Hence, event requires personal information. All attendees (exception: personnel with Lockheed Martin badges) should contact Judith Feliciano for further instructions at 407-306-3215, or by email at jfelic01@aol.com.This is required for security purposes. Registration Form – Payment by check should be mailed to Jack Baumgardner, INCOSE Orlando Chapter Treasurer, 2618 Fawnlake Trail, Orlando, FL 32828-7842, make check out to INCOSE Orlando Chapter. Jack's email address: jack.baumgardner@gmail.com Payment may also be made by credit card (we can accept American Express, Master Card and Visa), will need expiration date, you should receive an email receipt. Please include your email address, this is the only way we can email the receipt to you. http://www.incose.org/orlando/paypal_tutorial.php INCOSE Members can e-mail registration form to jack.baumgardner@gmail.com Cancellation Policy: Substitutions are permitted until the day before the course. Full refunds will be made prior to COB, April 21, 2008. No refunds will be made after that, although substitutions will be allowed. INCOSE-Orlando reserves the right to cancel the course with full refunds. Registration limited to first 50. Full Day Workshop “How to Validate Your Models & Simulations ” (Workshop materials, parking, refreshments and lunch are included in your registration fee.) Name:____________________________________ Title:_________________________ Company:_______________________________________________________________ Email (required for e-confirmation):_________________________________________ Mailing Address:_________________________________________________________ Work/Cell Phone:_________________________________ Circle One: Registration Fee = $225/person INCOSE Members = $175 (covers cost of materials/lunch/refreshments) (Note to All INCOSE members: “No Shows” will be charged full price) For questions or additional information, contact Jack Baumgardner, jbaumgardner07@comcast.net or 407-380-4836.