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2011 Southern California Visitor Industry Outlook Conference. CIC Research, Inc. 8361 Vickers St. San Diego, CA 92111 858-637-4000 www.cicresearch.com The Disneyland Hotel Anaheim, CA November 10, 2011. Ten Years After 911. The World Trade Center Memorial Fountain. 2.
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2011 Southern CaliforniaVisitor Industry Outlook Conference CIC Research, Inc.8361 Vickers St.San Diego, CA 92111858-637-4000 www.cicresearch.com The Disneyland Hotel Anaheim, CA November 10, 2011
Ten Years After 911 The World Trade Center Memorial Fountain 2
Wildfires, Hurricanes, Tsunami, Earthquakes, Disease, & Volcanos Swine Flu 5
Financial and Economic Meltdown Bankruptcies Foreclosures
Southern California Perspective • Southern California (SoCal) • - 22.7 million population • - 8.9 million employees • California: - 37.2 million CA population (SoCal=61%) - 16.0 million CA employees (SoCal=56%) • United States: - 313 million US population (SoCal=7%) - 140 million US employees (SoCal=6%)
2011 SoCal Hotel Room Inventory • 303,000 Rooms • 110.5 Mil. Room Nights Avail. • 68.3% Occ. Rate • 75.5 Mil. Room Nights Sold Room Inventory Sources: CIC Research, LACVB, AOCVCB, SDCVB, & STR. 10
SoCal Hotel Rooms Sold No change 2005 - 2007 Millions of Room Nights 11 Sources: CIC Research, LACVB, AOCVCB, SDCVB, PKF & STR.
SoCal Hotel Rooms Revenue Peak $ Billions 12 Sources: CIC Research, LACVB, AOCVCB, SDCVB, PKF & STR.
International Visitors to the U.S. Millions Source: U.S. Dept. of Commerce, OTTI/CIC Research, October 2011 forecast.
SoCal Ports of Entry- All OverseasVisitor Arrivals Arrivals in Millions 14 Source: CIC Research & Dept. of Homeland Security.
Residents of Japan Visiting the U.S. Millions Source: CIC Research & Dept. of Homeland Security.
SoCal Ports of Entry - Japan Millions Source: CIC Research & U.S. Dept. of Homeland Security
Residents of the U.K. to the U.S. Millions Source: CIC Research & Dept. of Homeland Security.
SoCal Port of Entry - U.K. Residents Millions Source: CIC Research & U.S. Dept. of Homeland Security
Residents of Australia to the U.S. Total U.S. Arrivals 19 Source: CIC Research & Dept. of Homeland Security.
SoCal Arrivals from Australia 20 Source: CIC Research & Dept. of Homeland Security.
Residents of China Visiting the U.S. Total U.S. Arrivals 21 Source: CIC Research & Dept. of Homeland Security.
SoCal Arrivals from China 22 Source: CIC Research & Dept. of Homeland Security.
Initiated Air Trips to SoCal* Air Trips in Millions *Bought air ticket somewhere outside of SoCal with SoCal as the destination. Source: USDOT, Origin & Destination Survey (OD1a). 23
Domestic Overnight Visitors to SoCal Millions Source: CIC Research, Inc.
SoCal Overnight International Visitors Millions Source: CIC Research, Inc.
Total Overnight Visitors to SoCal Source: CIC Research, Inc.
Total SoCal Overnight Visitor Spending Source: CIC Research, Inc.
SoCal Overnight Visitor Forecast (2011 & 2012) • Visitors47.2 M (2011 Preliminary) Up (3.5%)47.6 - 48.0 M (2012 Forecast) Up (1% to 2%) • International Visitors6.4 M (2011 Preliminary) up (5%)6.5 - 6.7 M (2012 Forecast) Up (2% to 4%) • Domestic Visitors40.8 M (2011 Preliminary) Up (3%)41.1 – 41.3 M (2012 Forecast) Up (1% to 1.5%) • Spending$27.4 B (2011 Preliminary) Up (5.5%)$28.5 B - $29.0 B (2012 Forecast) Up (4% to 6%)