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Rachel J. Roginsky, ISHC Pinnacle Advisory Group 76 Canal Street Boston, MA 02114 Telephone: 617-722-9916 Fax: 617-722-9917 rroginsky@pinnacle-advisory.com. Cape and Islands Outlook. Pinnacle Realty Investments. Pinnacle Advisory Group.
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Rachel J. Roginsky, ISHC Pinnacle Advisory Group 76 Canal Street Boston, MA 02114 Telephone: 617-722-9916 Fax: 617-722-9917 rroginsky@pinnacle-advisory.com Cape and Islands Outlook Pinnacle Realty Investments Pinnacle Advisory Group
Total United StatesRoom Supply/Demand Percent ChangeTwelve Month Moving Average To Dec 2002 Source: Smith Travel Research
Total United StatesRoom Demand Percent ChangeJan 2000 – Dec 2002 Source: Smith Travel Research
Total United StatesOccupancy and ADRTwelve Month Moving Average To Dec 2002 Source: Smith Travel Research
Massachusetts Occupancy1998 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Massachusetts Average Rate1998 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Massachusetts RevPAR1998 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Cape and Islands Occupancy1998 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Cape and Islands Average Rate 1998-2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Cape and Islands RevPAR 1998 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Cape and Islands RevPAR 12 Month Rolling Average January 1999 – March 2003 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Cape and Islands Change In RevPAR 1998 - 2002 Source: Pinnacle Advisory Group
Recent Trends • Shortened Booking Window • Limited International Demand • Shorter Stays • Value Conscious Travelers • Increasing Use of the Internet
Regional Competitive Overview • New England Mountains • Good Winter Season • Western Massachusetts • Strong 2002 for Leisure • Southeast Connecticut • A major new destination • Rhode Island • 2003 Optimistic
Resort Industry Overview • Northeast • Holding Up Well • Southeast • Lack of International Demand • Caribbean and Central America • New Supply and Lack of Demand
Factors Affecting Demand • Terrorism • Fear of Flying • War in Iraq • Uncertainty • Economy • Lack of Corporate Demand • Consumer Confidence • Price Sensitivity
Regional Factors Affecting Demand • Weather • Boston Convention Demand • Corporate Demand • Boston Events • Transportation
Survey Says… • Travel Industry Association of America (TIA) • Summer Driving Vacations +3% • Summer Flying Vacations –4% • 47% of respondents will stay closer to home • Vacation Budgets –9% • 38% of respondents preferred Internet for booking
Pinnacle Projections • 2003 • Occupancy up 1 – 3 points • Average Rate Flat to down 2 percent • RevPAR up slightly (1 – 2 percent) • 2004 • Occupancy up 1 – 3 points • Average Rate up 1 – 3 percent • RevPAR up 2 – 4 percent
Pinnacle Realty Investments Cape and Islands Outlook Rachel J. Roginsky, ISHC Pinnacle Advisory Group 76 Canal Street Boston, MA 02114 Telephone: 617-722-9916 Fax: 617-722-9917 rroginsky@pinnacle-advisory.com Pinnacle Advisory Group