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What We Know and What We Need To Know

What We Know and What We Need To Know. Harry S. Baumes, Ph. D. Associate Director Office of Energy Policy and New Uses Presented at Transition to a Bioeconomy: Environmental and Rural Impacts Hyatt Regency – Union Station St. Louis, Missouri October 16, 2008. OVERVIEW. What We Know?

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What We Know and What We Need To Know

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  1. What We Know and What We Need To Know Harry S. Baumes, Ph. D. Associate Director Office of Energy Policy and New Uses Presented at Transition to a Bioeconomy: Environmental and Rural Impacts Hyatt Regency – Union Station St. Louis, Missouri October 16, 2008

  2. OVERVIEW • What We Know? • What We Need To Know?

  3. Source: Energy Information Administration, Annual 2008 Energy Outlook, reference case

  4. EISA – EPACT Renewable Fuels Standard Other Biofuels Biobased Diesel Cellulosic Biofuels Conventional Corn Starch RFS1

  5. What We Know • Bioeconomy is broader than “renewable energy” and “transportation fuels” • Water Not Included in “Models”

  6. What We Know • Issues and Concerns • Climate Change • Sustainability • Environment • Land Use • Policy Objectives & Policies • Energy security • EISA • FCE

  7. What We Need To Know • Overcoming Infrastructure Constraints • Blend Wall • Vehicles • E-85 availability • Transport of “ethanol” • Production, harvest, transport, & storage biomass • Improve energy density of biomass

  8. What We Need To Know • Overcoming Infrastructure Constraints • Getting Connected to the Grid • Wind farms and solar technology • Biomass

  9. What We Need To Know • Biomass Production • Alternative Feedstocks • Switchgrass, miscanthus, algae, … • Supply, Use & Price • Feed Stocks for energy (not exclusively transportation fuels) • Land Use • Direct & Indirect effects

  10. What We Need To Know • Will a sustained increase in commodity prices – provide incentives for investment in agriculture? • Domestic & Foreign Investment • Increase adoption of new and existing technology in developing (and developed) countries/regions

  11. What We Need To Know • Technology Development • Crop productivity – across potential feedstocks • Implications for other input use (fertilizer, water, chemicals,…) • Conversion

  12. THANK YOU! Contact Information: Harry S. Baumes hbaumes@oce.usda.gov 202-401-0497

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