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Where Are Disasters Bad For Marine Life, and Where Are They Worse?. Annie Cervin Research and Discover, 2010 Faculty Advisor: Dr. Jamie Pringle. NASA, International Space Station Science, 5/4/10. Background.
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Where Are Disasters Bad For Marine Life, and Where Are They Worse? Annie Cervin Research and Discover, 2010 Faculty Advisor: Dr. Jamie Pringle NASA, International Space Station Science, 5/4/10
Background • The Mississippi River Delta is either an upstream or downstream edge for many species • Using modeling, one can know how disasters impact marine life with different dispersal abilities and growth rates Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer on NASA’s Terra Satellite, 4/30/10
Parameters • Organisms with planktonic dispersal stages • Growth rate (births-deaths) • Mean distance larvae recruits downstream of the mother • Depends on the current strength and larvae development time • Standard deviation of dispersal distance SD Distance Downstream Parent’s Location
Different Generations Downstream
Simulating the disaster Downstream
Measuring the impact of the disaster Downstream
Impact of different mean dispersal distances Downstream
Impact of different standard deviations Downstream
Impact of different growth rates Downstream
Future Generations Immediately impacted Not immediately impacted
Recovery for different standard deviations Downstream
Recovery for different growth rates Downstream
Where should MPAs be placed? Downstream
Conclusions • Population is most sensitive to disaster at upstream edge, where it is recruitment limited • Marine life is most sensitive when • mean dispersal distance is high • standard deviation is low • growth rate is low • Need further knowledge of species’ dispersal abilities as well as currents to more accurately model the impact of disasters and help with placement of MPAs
Thank you Dr. Jamie Pringle Dr. George Hurtt NASA /UNH Research and Discover Program