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Outlooks for increase of oil and gas industry potential. Authors: Kuandykov B.M. , Yeskozha B.A. - Association of Petroleum Geologists of Kazakhstan. Almaty , October 04, 2012. KIOGE 2012 Conference. Oil Production- Ranking by Countries ( top 26 countries, as of the end of 2010 ).
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Outlooks for increase of oil and gas industry potential Authors: Kuandykov B.M. , Yeskozha B.A. - Association of Petroleum Geologists of Kazakhstan Almaty, October 04, 2012 KIOGE 2012 Conference
Oil Production- Ranking by Countries(top 26 countries, as of the end of 2010) Million Tons 2020 productionplannedranking: 8 place Kazakhstan ranks 9th by proved reserves of oil, with a 2.9% share of total world reserves and 18th by proved reserves of gas with a 1.0% share of total world reserves.(All figures are at end 2010. Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, June 2011.) Kazakhstan Kazakhstan: 2011 - 80.6 mln tons (1.6 mln bbls/day). Forecast for 2020 - 132 mln tons (2,6 mln bbls/day) 1
Kazakhstan: Oil & Gas Production (1965-2020) 132 FORECAST 92 80.6 Gas, bln m3 Oil, mln tons 59 41 FORECAST 23 19651970 1975 1980 1985 19901995 2000 2005 2011 2020 2
Kazakhstan: Hydrocarbon Reserves Growth 2010 Kazakhstan is currently implementing the first-rate world oil and gas industrial projects:Tengiz, Kashagan, Karachaganak 2000 5.3 Bln. t (more than 38 blnbarr.)*** 3.4 Bln. t (25 blnbarr.)** The total forecast recoverable hydrocarbon resources - 17 bln tons, of which 8 bln tons fall on the the Caspian Sea shelf* (2009) Ranks 9th in the world by its proved oil reserves ** (as of the end of 2010) Ranks 18th in the world by its proved gas reserves ** (as of the end of 2010) Recoverable Oil Reserves 2010 2000 3.3 trln. cub. м*** 1.8 trln. cub. м** Excluding new fields discovered in the Caspian Sea shelf.* Including new fields discovered in the Caspian Sea shelf.* Recoverable Gas Reserves Sources *Governmental Program on development of oil and gas sector in the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2010-2014; ** BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2011 www.bp.com; *** Interview of the Kazakh Minister of oil and gas to the magazine“Oil and Gas of Kazakhstan”, Dec, 2011. 3
Lower Permian salt and shale top seal Devonian-Carboniferous carbonate bioherm reservoirs Devonian-Carboniferous SR charge Some Major fields of Kazakhstan: Kashagan 7
Karachaganak Estimated S T OLI P 1,1 Billion. tonns Oil 1,4 T rln. m Gas 3 Some Major fields of Kazakhstan: Karachaganak 8
The Example of Deeply Buried Reef Bodies in the Precaspian Basin: 9
Model of Traps –Reservoirs and Types of Hydrocarbon Accumulations in Post-salt Sequence Precaspian Basin 10
Map of offshore blocks in the Kazakhstan part of Caspian Sea CaspianSea 12
Chu – Sarysu Basin Geological Geophysical Cross-Section 13
CONCLUSION • Main activities for further geological exploration in the Republic of Kazakhstan: • Exploration for deep-seated intra-basinal carbonate platforms (up to 7 km and more) in the Precaspian basin, subthrust structures in the edge zones and suture areas of heterochronous platforms, areas of Devonian large arched uplifts; • Investigation of areas adjacent to major and unique fields Tengiz, Kashagan and Karachaganak with the aim to discover their so -called “satellites”; • Prospecting for new oil-bearing fields in the post-salt sequence, particularly in the interdome zones and distant peripheries of salt domes, active study of the intermediate Permian- Triassic sequence and Paleozoic rocks in Ustyurt and Mangyshlak; • Stirring up of geological prospecting in the Paleozoic sequence in the South Torgai basin and Shu-Sarysu depression; • In view of the start of construction of the intra-Kazakhstan gas pipeline Bozoi-Shymkent, prospecting for gas reservoirs will be intensified in the areas of the East Aral, Syr-Darya, Shu-Sarysu basins adjacent to the gas pipeline route; • Planned and detailed studies of nonconventional for us sources of hydrocarbon accumulation such as kirs, bituminous sands will start as well prospecting for hydrocarbons in shale rocks. 15