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BIODIVERSITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE

BIODIVERSITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE. MARTÍN CADENA Comisión Nacional de Áreas Naturales Protegidas /Programa de las Naciones Unidas para el Desarrollo MÉXICO. Session of the Joint Public Advisory Committee (JPAC) Mérida September 8, 2016. What can biodiversity expects from climate change ?.

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BIODIVERSITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE

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  1. BIODIVERSITY AND CLIMATE CHANGE MARTÍN CADENA Comisión Nacional de Áreas Naturales Protegidas/Programa de las Naciones Unidas para el Desarrollo MÉXICO Session of the Joint Public Advisory Committee (JPAC) Mérida September 8, 2016.

  2. What can biodiversityexpectsfromclimatechange? • General shift patterns polewards and upwards • Changes in abundance • Individual behaviour or physiology Terrestrial and marine climate change vulnerable species Pacifi, M. et al, Nature Climate Change, 5, 215-225 (2015) Stephens, et. Al, Science 352, 84-87 (2016)

  3. In a plainlanguage… • Changes in composition • Uncertainty in interactions • Highlands and crops Rockström, J. et al, Nature, 461, 472-475, (2009).

  4. Whatbiodiversity has experiencedfromclimatechange? • General consistency between expected and observed effects • Mixed effects: general trend upward and poleward • Yosemite: a raise in ~3°C and a 500m shift upward on a small mammals Credits: National Parks Service/ Damon Joyce American Psychological Association.

  5. What are theconsequencesforus? • Invasive alien species • Emerging zoonoses • Health problems Early, R et al. Nature Communications, 12485 (2016).

  6. What are theconsequencesforus? • Invasive alien species • Emerging zoonoses • Health problems • Subsistence- oriented communities • Designation of Origin Source: International Livestock Research Institute

  7. Impact in currentconservationstrategies? • Protected species “out” of Reserves • Species- specific efforts vs. ecosystemic functional efforts • Resist vs. adapt vs. embracing change • Short term strategies vs. long term changes • Uncertainty Credit: SEMARNAT

  8. How to react? • No one formula to rule them all • Diversity and redundance: • Governance • Restoration • Increase protected áreas • Multi scale and multi discliplinary approaches Isaac Cordal. Follow the leaders, Berllin, Germany, 2011

  9. How to react? • A diversified strategy • Resist • Adapt • Embrace change • Adaptive management • Long- term thinking • Bottom up- Top down complimentary approaches

  10. Legal framework • Conventions (CBD, UNFCCC, Desertification) • Climate change Laws (Mexico and some Provinces in Canada) • Protected Areas • Implementing conventions • Landscape approaches • Standardized monitoring

  11. Remarks • Cross • Sectorial • Governmental • Innovation • Trust • Manageuncertainty • Rigidstructures vs. dynamicenvironment Credits: PNUD/CONANP Adriana Rodriguez

  12. GRACIAS @resilienciaproy

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