200 likes | 292 Views
Energy Sector. Equipment & Services, Oil & Gas. Jackson Hockley Senior Investment Analyst. Energy Performance Review. The Energy Sector, S&P 500, and Commodity Prices. Source: Factset. Energy Performance Review. The Energy Sub-Sectors. Source: Factset. Oil Prices.
E N D
Energy Sector Equipment & Services, Oil & Gas Jackson Hockley Senior Investment Analyst
EnergyPerformance Review The Energy Sector, S&P 500, and Commodity Prices Source: Factset
EnergyPerformance Review The Energy Sub-Sectors Source: Factset
Oil Prices Oil Prices, What Will They Do Next? It’s been a wild ride!! Source: Factset
Where Will Oil Prices Go Next? Opinions Are All Over The Board… “Oil should fall to between $4 and $10 a barrel, which, needless to say, supports our deflationary outlook.” –Robert Prechter August 13, 2009 Source: Bloomberg, Dinakar Sethuraman, “Oil May Fall Below $10 in Next Decade, Prechter Says”
Where Will Oil Prices Go Next? Opinions Are All Over The Board… Then:“Oil will sink to $20/barrel.” –Philip Verleger(Professor at The University of Calgary) July 2009 Now: “I’m fairly certain we’ll see prices in the $30’s this year.” –Philip Verleger(Professor at The University of Calgary) September 21, 2009
Where Will Oil Prices Go Next? Opinions Are All Over The Board… Oil will average $90/barrel in 2010 –Goldman Sachs September 24, 2009
Global Oil Supply & Demand Source: Schlumberger
9% 21% 20% 49% Power Generation
U.S. Shale Gas Plays Source: EIA
Shale Production Metrics Have Improved Over Time For example, look at Southwestern Energy’s Fayetteville metrics since 1Q 2007
Buy-rated Stocks • Majors • Chevron (CVX) • Exxon Mobil (XOM) • E&P • Apache (APA) • Suncor (SU) • Talisman (TLM) • Noble Energy • Equipment & Services • Baker Hughes (BHI) • Halliburton (HAL) • National Oilwell Varco (NOV) • Noble (NE) • Schlumberger (SLB) • Transocean (RIG)
Thank you. Jackson Hockley Senior Investment Analyst