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Commissioners. Mary Peters Secretary of Transportation — Chairperson Jack Schenendorf Of Counsel, Covington & Burling LLP—Vice Chair Frank Busalacchi Wisconsin Secretary of Transportation Maria Cino Deputy Secretary of Transportation
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Commissioners Mary Peters Secretary of Transportation — Chairperson Jack Schenendorf Of Counsel, Covington & Burling LLP—Vice Chair Frank Busalacchi Wisconsin Secretary of Transportation Maria Cino Deputy Secretary of Transportation Rick Geddes Director of Undergraduate Studies, Cornell University Steve Heminger Executive Director, Metropolitan Transportation Commission Frank McArdle General Contractors Association of New York Steve OdlandChairman and CEO, Office Depot Patrick QuinnChairman, American Trucking Association Matt RoseCEO, Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railroad Tom SkanckeCEO, The Skancke Company Paul WeyrichChairman and CEO, Free Congress Foundation 2
Statutory Mandate Study current condition and future needs Policy Financing 15-, 30-, and 50-year time horizons Report to Congress by January 1,2008 3
Field Hearings September 20-21, 2006 Dallas, TX October 27, 2006 Portland, OR November 15–16, 2006 New York, NY Memphis, TN February 21–22, 2007 Los Angeles, CA Atlanta, GA March 19, 2007 Washington, DC April 18–19, 2007 Chicago, IL Minneapolis, MN 4
America Has Been Very Fortunate Thomas Jefferson—Roads and Canals Abraham Lincoln—Intercontinental Railroad Teddy Roosevelt—Panama Canal Franklin Roosevelt—Interstate Highways 5
“Our unity as a nation is sustained by free communication of thought and by easy transportation of people and goods... Together the unifying forces of our communication and transportation systems are dynamic elements in the very name we bear — United States. Without them, we would be a mere alliance of many separate parts.” — Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1955 6 6
The Crisis….. • Investment Crisis • Decaying Infrastructure In Need of Repair/Replacement • Inadequate Capacity To Meet Future Growth • Policy Crisis • Financing Crisis
2005 Report Card for America’s Infrastructure 14 Sources: American Society of Civil Engineers, 2005
Freight Transportation at the crossroads… 2020 Growth Projections January Analyst Draft 5 17 Source: Global Insights, AASHTO, FHWA
Central region +71% Northeast region +58% West region +65% South region +71% More trade means more domesticfreight movements Source: U.S. DOT 18
Transportation growth and capacity: The past 25 years (1980-2005) Route Miles Growth Rail -39% 65%GTM Highway +7% 96% VMTs Ports N/A 400% TEUs 19
What is the cost to the supply chain? U.S. Logistics Costs as a Percent of GDP Transportation costs increased 9.4% over 2005 Rail = 6.7% of U.S. Transportation Spend Inventory and administrative costs increased 13% over 2005 Total Logistics Costs Transportation Costs Inventory /Admin. Costs 20 Source: Annual State of Logistics Report, Council of Supply Chain Management Professionals
In Congestion for At Least 40 Hours Annually Source: Texas Transportation Institute 23
Metro Areas Greater Than 1 Million Source: U.S. Census 25
Metros Capture Huge Market Share Sources: U.S. Census, Texas Transportation Institute, U.S. Conference of Mayors, EPA 26
U.S. Population Change, 2000–2050 Source: Woods & Poole 2002; University of Pennsylvania School of Design 27 27
Massive Underinvestment Cost to Maintain(2055) Cost to Improvewith Pricing(2055) Cost to Improvewithout Pricing(2055) Current Spending(2006) Source: Section 1909 Commission 30
Policy Crisis • Loss of Federal Vision/Mission • 108 programs • Donor/Donee • Earmarks • Loss of Credibility • Bridge to Nowhere; Coconut Road Interchange • Safety • Lack of Accountability • Project Delivery 31
Financing Crisis • Loss of Purchasing Power • Highway Trust Fund • Short Term • Medium Term • Long Term • Enormous Needs • Restrictive Policies
Projected Highway and Transit Account Balances Through 2012 Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury projections 33
Annual Petroleum Production, Imports and Consumption In the U.S., 1949–2006 Source: Energy Information Administration 35
International Fuel Economy Comparison Comparison of fleet average fuel economy and GHG emission standards for new-sale light-duty vehicles Source: UC Berkeley 36 36
U.S. Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Energy Use: 1985-2006 Source: Bureau of Transportation Statistics, 2007 37
Is the Public Ready for Change? Source: The New York Times / CBS News Poll, April 2007 38
Safety 39
U.S. and G.B. Traffic Fatalities Per 100 Million VMT Source: Leonard Evans, Traffic Safety, 2004 42
U.S. Traffic Deaths Far Exceed Casualties of War 43 Source: Leonard Evans, Traffic Safety, 2004
Business As Usual….. • Threatens National Security • Greater Fatalities/Injuries • Greater Cost to Consumers • Damage to Vehicles • Congestion • Loss of Competitiveness • Weaker Economy • Fewer Jobs • Reduced Quality of Life
Major Recommendations 47 47
No Easy Answers 48 48
1. A New Beginning • The federal surface transportation program should not be reauthorized in its current form. • Instead, we must make a new beginning. • And it must be Bold and Transformational. 49 49
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