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ECONOMICS OF EDUCATIONAL ADAPTABILITY. Henry M. Levin Columbia University Fundación Ramón Areces Fundación Europea Sociedad y Educación Madrid 25 March 2014. Educational Preparation of Workforce--2050. Workplace and Employment are Changing. New Educational Needs.
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ECONOMICS OF EDUCATIONAL ADAPTABILITY Henry M. Levin Columbia University Fundación Ramón Areces FundaciónEuropeaSociedad y Educación Madrid 25 March 2014
Educational Preparation of Workforce--2050 • Workplace and Employment are Changing. • New Educational Needs. • How Should We Prepare Educationally to Meet Economic Changes in Workplace? • Alternative Strategies.
Traditional Strategy of Preparation • Project changes in output • Project changes in work organization. • Project occupational needs. • Establish educational levels and requirements. • Transform educational capacity and content to accommodate new requirements.
Failure of Educational Planning • Even forecasts for a decade of occupational employment are poor. • Predicting changes in work requirements based upon changing technology and organization over 50 year period requires knowledge of a future that is entirely unknown. • Mediterranean project of manpower planning of OECD in sixties led to massive forecasting errors in a much more stable period than we are presently facing.
Education and Labor Productivity • Educated workers can make better resource allocation decisions. • Better understanding of work process. • Better allocation of own time. • Allocation of other resources of the firm such as avoiding bottlenecks by using skills developed in cross-training. • Better allocation of scarce inputs.
Achievement Scores and Educational Attainment • Test scores are one measure of skill. • Research shows test scores are related to worker productivity and earnings. • But relationship is surprisingly modest. About 10 percent of variance in earnings is explained by test scores. • Number of years of educational attainment explains about four times as much of the variance in earnings as do test scores.
Why is educational attainment so powerful in explaining productivity? • Students learn many cognitive skills not covered by the limited way in which we measure student achievement. • Limited test domains. • Limited methods of measurement. • Educational attainment imparts non-cognitive skills important for worker productivity such as conscientiousness, effort, and interpersonal relations.
21st Century Skills and Workplace • Phelps and Nelson (1966) “Education is especially important to those functions requiring adaptation to change.” • Change is what we will face continually in 21st Century. • Rather than educating for narrow occupations and roles, educating for adaptability.
Adaptability at Present • Considerable substitution in occupational placement among educational levels as relative costs of educational labor and job requirements change. • For example, in U.S.with a 1 % increase in the relative cost of workers at one level of education there is a 1.5 % increase in employment of those with next lower level of education (elasticity of substitution).
Traditional Qualifications • Assumes each job has specific and narrowly defined qualifications that are reasonably stable. • Education laws require that training embody these qualifications for official recognition of title. • By law public employment is based upon official titles more than actual capabilities of different workers. • Private employers also use this system.
Transition • Focus on a more balanced system in which education for qualification is balanced by education for adaptability. • Adaptability becomes a key part of qualifications system for all workers. • What are requirements for adaptability?
Education Goals for Adaptability • Initiative. • Cooperation. • Group work. • Peer training. • Evaluation. • Reasoning. • Problem solving.
Worker Goals (cont.) • Decision making. • Information retrieval and use. • Planning. • Learning skills. • Multicultural skills.
Infusion of Adaptability • All educational levels. • Emphasis on practical applications in conjunction with subject focus. • Focus on innovation and knowledge production. • Leadership and peer skills in studies.
Conclusion • Promote continued expansion of education, but focus on quality too. • Movement towards worker adaptability. • Concern with education of immigrants and those from low-income backgrounds. • Faster growth of these populations. • Need to raise their productive participation. • Serious challenge foreseeable future.