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China, US Power and the Future of the Contemporary World Order. Professor Nicola Phillips University of Manchester. China and US Power. Can the emergence of China be said to represent a challenge to the global dominance of the United States?
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China, US Power and the Future of the Contemporary World Order Professor Nicola Phillips University of Manchester
China and US Power • Can the emergence of China be said to represent a challenge to the global dominance of the United States? • Is the emergence of China to be understood instead as integral to the world order structured by US power? • How does the emergence of China fit into the bigger picture of US power? Does it represent an indication of the limits or decline of US power, or is it a reflection of the expansion of US power?
Founding arguments: 1 • Limits of US power: importance of not overstating the extent of US primacy • ‘Structural-agential disjuncture’ in US power • Vulnerabilities of US dominance – NB: energy, finance/debt, ideological power, soft power • How feasible is a project of ‘global hegemony’? • China and the ‘new declinism’ in the US
Founding arguments: 2 • Importance of disaggregating US power by sphere and issue area • Implications of disaggregation for understandings of Chinese power • Theoretical extrapolation from US global hegemonic project in assessments of emerging Chinese power, especially in internal debates in the US
Founding arguments: 3 • Understanding of the transnational nature of the Chinese economy and Chinese industrialisation: China as site of accumulation strategies of transnational capital • China in global production chains • Manner in which US capital and consumers are deeply imbricated in China’s expansion – driven by investment from and consumer demand in ‘core’ economies
Oil, energy, resources • Growing competition between China and the US, and increasing integration into this competition of energy exporters in developing regions – NB: Africa, Latin America, Central Asia • ‘Resources wars’ for the 21st century? • Challenge to US in global energy politics? • US security interests and China’s relations with countries such as Iran, Venezuela, etc.
Global governance • Significance of the putative expansion of the G7/G8 process • Longer term implications of China’s accession to the WTO • Implications of Chinese aid policy for multilateral donors; China’s relations with international financial institutions • Global environmental politics • Global governance of labour standards and human rights
Global development • Has the Chinese growth model challenged everything we thought we knew about development? • To what extent has the emergence of China reconfigured dominant development thinking and development options? • Displacement of established forms of US dominance in developing regions, or disruption of structures built around US power?