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This study focuses on predicting wind-driven surface currents along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf, exploring the impacts of wind and buoyancy on the flow patterns. The research showcases the use of models and highlights the importance of nesting for skill improvement. The findings suggest that despite unpredictable small-scale eddies, the large-scale plume structure can be reproduced without data assimilation.
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Wind and density driven flow along the Texas-Louisiana continental shelf • Rob Hetland • Zhaoru Zhang • Martino Marta-Almeida • Xiaoqian Zhang
The Gulf of Mexico has a number of environmental problems: Oil spills And the list goes on.... Harmful algal blooms NASA MODIS May 24, 2010 Bottom hypoxia Karenia brevis Photo credit: Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission LUMCON - July 24-27, 2012
Series of Models: Louisiana shelf wind/buoyancy driven flow NEXT TALK Wind-driven surface current predictions for entire gulf – focused on TX shelf TX/LA shelf wind/buoyancy driven flow
Animation courtesy Chris Barker (NOAA R&R)Surface currents provided by Rob Hetland and Steve Baum, TAMUFunding by the Texas General Land Office TABS program
B D F J K N R V W
~3 hr lag ~12 hr lag
Wind Currents
Wind Obs. Model 2006 2009 10 year mean
Seasonal surface currents from LATEX moorings Non-summer mean Summer mean Cho et al. (JGR, 1998)
JFM mean density cross-section Thermal wind balance currents u|z=h=0 JFM mean along-shore currents Along-shore currents are nearly in thermal-wind balance
Meade et al. (1995) USGS Circular 1133
Every third grid point shown HYCOM IASNFS (subset) NGOM
Model salinity skill Dataset Parent models CLM Nested models Red = good (within 10% of max skill)
Perturbed simulations (±5% wind and rivers)
Noise at a point on the shelf Domain average noise
Conclusions: Nesting improves model skill, but it does not appear to matter which model is used*. Although there is significant unpredictable, small-scale eddies at the submesoscale, the large scale plume structure is reproducible in a model without data assimilation. *For salinity, anyways...