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Peter Cochrane

Networks that live… & the chaos of everything on demand. Peter Cochrane. Designing networks for the future!. We need a vision of our future: -Needs -Technologies -Applications -Services -Modes of operation. So are we any good at predicting/guessing?.

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Peter Cochrane

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  1. Networks that live…& the chaos of everything on demand... Peter Cochrane

  2. Designing networks for the future! We need a vision of our future: -Needs -Technologies -Applications -Services -Modes of operation So are we any good at predicting/guessing?

  3. A future vision …40 years ago...

  4. A future vision …12 years ago... My words...

  5. We waited for technology… ~200 years Technology now waits for us… Everybody grows/makes something No one grows/ makes anything

  6. So innocent looking… y= ex …it is compound interest on steroids!

  7. The ‘S’ curve continuum Technology $ DVD CD Cassette Tape Tape Time

  8. Faster & faster wealth generation US$Bn 100 Internet PC Mobile New Company Value 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Year

  9. Sometimes technology brings un expected results...

  10. 1 2 3 4 n Network Laws - Broadcast Connectivity =< n/2 One way only Not all are always on

  11. 1 2 1 2 5 3 4 3 4 n Network Laws - Telephone Broadcast < n(n-1)/2 ~n2 Bothways - Customer Control Availability >99% < n/2

  12. 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 5 4 3 5 3 4 4 N n 1 2 …n Network Laws-Internet Broadcast Telephone Nn Always - customer control Availability >95% < n/2 < n(n-1)/2 ~n2

  13. How many friends do you have… ...how many people do you know? Separation People You Know 0 => 30 => 300 1 => 900 => 90,000 2 => 27,000 => 27,000,000 3 => 810,000 => 8,100,000,000 4 => 24,300,000 5 => 729,000,000 6 => 21,870,000,000

  14. A multimedia world..in transition.. Copper to glass Radio + Satellite + IR Fixed to mobile Talking to typing to talking to txt Carry to wear Dumb to smart People to machines Control to chaos

  15. 1980s The future is chaos! 2000s Hierarchical Structured Self- Organised & Chaotic Intranets Telephone Internet Telegraph

  16. Coffee.... ...the strange attractor...

  17. Everything will be in cyberspacecovered by a hierarchy of computers! Cell Body Continent Home Region Car Building Campus World Fractal Cyberspace: a network of … networks of … platforms Original by Gordon Bell 1998

  18. 200 150 100 50 0 00.00 06.00 12.00 18.00 24.00 A connected world is chaotic…. Net visitors come in packs…. Active Site Visitors Hour of the Day

  19. Look who’s talking! % Network Traffic 100 75 Mankind Machines 50 Machines 25 0 1980 2000 1990 2010 1985 1995 2005 2015

  20. Network, application, service evolution! Voice TXT VOIP MP3 Games.. The Net Gateway Gateway PSTN PSTN

  21. We can only guess/imagine whatour networks will be expected to support in the next decade/s…and it is the customers who decide and not the companies

  22. The way I see the world…?

  23.  Œ Ž   Digitalnoise reduction & enhancement Œ Bystander Hears This  SyberSay Acoustic Noise Suppression Ž After Vector Noise Cancellation  VNC plus SyberSay Algorithm 1  VNC plus SyberSay Algorithm 2

  24. Wind noise reduction WIND SPEED PLANTRONICS M145 Boom Microphone w/ Noise Cancellation SYBERSAY EARLITE™ 600 Uni-directional Mic w/ Noise Cancellation & DNR™ No Wind 5 mph 10 mph

  25. On-Line MonitoringAnywhereAnytimeAny Activity Sporting Working Zzzzzzz...

  26. Life threatening or what?

  27. What form wearables…?

  28. Could you use one of these…?

  29. Upload or download… …symmetric or asymmetric?

  30. We build top down to create complex things to complete simple tasks… Social insects do it Mother Nature builds bottom up to create simple things in order to complete complex tasks!

  31. Reliability & Security Reliable systems from unreliable components… …no problem! Secure systems from insecure components… …an entirely different story!

  32. Parasitic networksZero infrastructure! Texaco Wal-Mart School Store Home ISP

  33. Parasitic networksZero infrastructure!

  34. Parasitic networksZero infrastructure!

  35. Parasitic networksWith mobile base stations!

  36. As today Device to Device Device Repeater Device Broadcast Parasitic networksNew modes!

  37. Does a freeway become a dynamic WLAN?

  38. BarCode RFID

  39. The EPOS hot spot for everything… 2G + 3G + WiFi + Blue Tooth + IR + VOIP +++ … …a solution to the clustering problem?

  40. Social consequences - I think he needs a computer!

  41. Productivity 100 80 70 Quantity/Unit Time BW 60 Chip 40 20 SW 0

  42. New forms of software search, sort & route solutions……more efficient than anything we have ever seen before!

  43. New forms of software search, sort & route.......

  44. Sex as an evolutionary mechanism... • flora and fauna dominate - single sex • mammals are the smartest - two sex • insects and fungi are most resilient - > two sex

  45. Silicon Sex - a new evolutionary mechanism... • Engineered systems have sex - now! • Software evolution is possible - today! • The optimum number of sexes = 2 - 4 • My guess at the optimum = e = 2.718

  46. Because we are gods in silicon worlds… …we decide the rules, make the laws, define ethics and standards…and so in our tool kit we choose to employ: Matricide - Infanticide - Incest -MultiSex …in the interests of faster and more directed genetic progress and evolution!

  47. And how about an immune system to kill virus/worm attacks…track down and disable rogue machines & people? It would have to evolve!

  48. In the future... Networks will have to live to: • compete • adapt • serve ...to survive

  49. What we do & getting it right is important…ultimately our future/s depend on it! My words...

  50. We have tomake it allveryconvenientfor thecustomer...

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