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Seeing I to Eye. Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA Co-Founder. Our progress to date!. We are such linear thinkers… We don’t cope well with multiple dimensions We confuse data and information We store the useless and misplace the useful We need knowledge but create a fog of confusion
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Seeing I to Eye Peter Cochrane ConceptLabs CA Co-Founder
Our progress to date! We are such linear thinkers… We don’t cope well with multiple dimensions We confuse data and information We store the useless and misplace the useful We need knowledge but create a fog of confusion Visualization & networking might just save us!
We seek clarity & truth... …mostly they are orthogonal... 100% Clarity 0 Truth 100%
If only it was all this simple... Sources of return Variables Markets
Industry Dimensions Political Regulation Globalisation Competition Organisation Segmentation Convergence Strategy Social Technology Customers Economic
The power of the visual…& interactive WORTH in Words • A picture 1k • An animated picture 1M • An interactive multi-media session 1G • An immersive VR session 1T • Direct brain -machine connection Priceless!
Why doesn’t it sell??? No bandwidth High level coding No emotional connection No added value Display demands are beyond TV! Human size High resolution/definition Daylight bright - low persistence REALISTIC - not artificial
We ought not to neglect sound… Axiom 1: Good sound invokes memories, visions and emotion Axiom 2: Good sound (perceptibly) improves most displays
I am genuinely impressed by young people …their spatial, strategic and tactical reasoning seems far better than mine!
I do much better with the holodeck approach…. I am far more at home the closer it all gets to my real world experience!
A human head full Human head limit Productivity Coping Exhaustion Confusion Errors Efficient Breakdown Information - sensory input
No one knows anything anymore... Highly specialised All knowledge through technology? Becoming specialised The fount of all knowledge Increasingly myopic 1800 1900 TODAY 2000 +
A world of displays - screens everywhere on everything CRT, LCD, LED +++ Large, medium, small +++ Indoors, outdoors, fixed, portable, static, carried, worn, integrated +++
Displays we carry & wear…. Wireless communication
Head mounted displays have come a long way…
If I could.... • ...hear what you hear... • ... see what you see... • ... feel what you feel..
Exponentiation ex = EXP(x) …looks so innocent!
The ‘S’ Curve Technology Capability time
The ‘S’ Curve Continuum Technology Capability DVD CD Cassette Tape time
IBM 704 A future of man, woman & machine... FLOPS 100,000 Teraflop desktop 10 17 15 10 Teraflop 10 Human Brain 13 CM-5 10 12 SUPERCOMPUTERS Delta CM-2 11 Cray C-90 10 Cray Y-MP 10 10 Massively parallel Cray X-MP 10 Cray-1 9 CDC 7600 8 10 Cray -2 Multiprocessors Stretch ILLIAC IV 10 7 CDC 6600 LARC 10 6 CDC 1604 Vector 10 5 4 10 Scalar 10 ENIAC UNIVAC 3 10 2 Relays Vacuum tubes Transistors Micro-processors 10 Integrated circuits 1000x 1 0.1 2000 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 1940 2010
3D ICs Molecular Quantum Genetic Biological Optical Computing New Sensors Networks Software Lifeforms Intelligences Moore’s Wall ICn Log Scale IC5 IC4 IC3 IC2 IC1 Transistor Thermionic Tube 1915 46 59 2010 2025
Extrapolation from 1950s Clock 1T 1G 1M 1K 1 HD RAM Backbone Last/First Mile 1947 1957 1967 1977 1987 1997 2007
Carrier’s the bottleneck 35% pa The key constraint? 350% pa 150% pa Wireless WWW Content / Apps Devices Infrastructure
Unfortunately we do not adapt and change as fast as our technology and paper does not fit on a screen!
If we can imagine IT - we can do IT... • More things on-line • than people • AI & AL Logistics • TeleCare • TeleMedicine • TeleEduction • Video on Demand • Music on Demand • Undersea & Space Cams • Remote Sensing • +++++++
Faster & Faster Wealth Generation US$Bn 100 Internet PC Mobile 90 80 New Company Value 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Year
Consumer Recycle Raw Materials Manufacture Distribution RETAIL Ecosystem Consumer Trash Trash
Consumer Recycle Mobile B-B B-B B-B Raw Materials Manufacture Distribution RETAIL Ecosystem C-B C-C B-C Consumer Trash Trash
Business busting technology Two kids, a camcorder and a PC!
A world of opportunity & risk…. Thank you, cochrane.org.uk conceptlabs.net