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Peacebuilding Design, Monitoring & Evaluation Training. Theory of Change Approach (TOC) 30 November 2011. Monitoring & Evaluating TOC. Yesterday Hierarchy of Results TOC. Today Planning for M&E Data Collection Analysis. Tips for successfully creating strong TOCs.
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Peacebuilding Design, Monitoring & Evaluation Training Theory of Change Approach (TOC) 30November 2011
Monitoring & Evaluating TOC Yesterday • Hierarchy of Results • TOC Today • Planning for M&E • Data Collection • Analysis
Tips for successfully creating strong TOCs • Be clear in your language • Be specific. Do not use words like: Capacity Building, strengthening, links, training, engage • State specifically what the “capacity building action is” • Remember - TOC should state why you choose a particular group, for a particular action. • Someone else should be able to read it and know what you intend as a result of your action.
Theory of Change statement • OECD DAC definition: “We believe that by doing X (action) successfully, we will produce Y (movement towards peace)” • If we do______ then ____ will result because ________.
Task - 5 • Refine your TOC • Offer Feedback on the TOC of others • Select the TOC to reflect on
The Planning App • This tool is used for planning your M&E • Use it as a way of asking the questions about the TOC • What is the Change that you want to see? • What do you want to Learn? • What do you need to know?
Task – 6 What would you like to know? • Complete the app using the TOC you have selected
Discussion What concerns did you have using the Monitoring and Evaluation Planning App? • Combine with the group next to you, reflect together • Capture on a flipchart • Report back
Discussion What concerns did you have using the Monitoring and Evaluation Planning App? • Feedback the flip chart
Analysis Questions • Are the results showing the changes you expected to see? • Were there any Unexpected Outcomes? • Did the ‘If’ happen? • How did the 'If' lead to the 'Then'? • Did the 'Then' happen? • If the ‘If’ or the ‘Then’ did not happen, look at the ‘Because’ • Follow up question: What happens when all the 'Then' come true, but the Ifs' didn’t happen? • What else could have contributed to the change?
Additional for External Evaluation Internal validity, which includes; • Clarity of the description • Centrality or connections to the problem • Plausibility External validity has to do with: • Relevance to the context, • Consistent with known theory, • Ethical bias For more information on evaluating program theories of change see Funnel, Sue and Patricia J. Rogers, Purposeful Program Theory, Jossey-Bass, San Francisco, 2011.
Reflection • WYPSP Experience • Considering Known Theory • Importance of Eliminating Alternatives
Discussions • How can we take a TOC approach forward in CI? • How could it complement P-Approach? • What would be the role of CCP in supporting this?