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B usiness Optimism Index Qatar Q4 2008 28 th Sept, 2008. Presented by Dun & Bradstreet Qatar Financial Centre (QFC) Authority Al Khalij Commercial Bank (al khaliji). Business Optimism Index. Recognized world over as a measure of the pulse of the business community
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Business Optimism Index Qatar Q4 200828th Sept, 2008 Presented by Dun & BradstreetQatar Financial Centre (QFC) Authority Al Khalij Commercial Bank (al khaliji)
Business Optimism Index • Recognized world over as a measure of the pulse of the business community • Expectation survey of 500 business owners and senior executives between Aug. 16th and Sep. 5th for the quarter starting Oct. 2008 • Respondents questioned on their expectations for relevant business parameters • Other parameters include current business conditions vis-à-vis investment plans, sources of finance, primary concerns etc. • Analysis of major trends, outlook and issues concerning the business community • Provides insights into the short-term outlook of the business community on investment, sales, profit growth etc
Overall Business Sentiments High Business Optimism Index • Buoyancy in Sales volume and profits continues • Outlook on New orders and additional Employees subdued • Selling prices expected to plateau
Net Profits % Positive outlook continues Volume of Sales % • Q4 sales expected to rise further • Finance sector continues on high growth path • Manufacturing units’ profits hit by high input costs
Number of Employees New orders … With a blip • Subdued outlook for new orders; 12 point drop in index • Units expecting an increase drop from 81% to 69% • Manufacturing units see a 32 point fall in the index • Hiring plans tempered; 6 point drop in the index • 36% expect no change; 2% expect a decrease • Finance and Construction sectors continue to be employment generators
Dampened Selling Price outlook • Early signs of easing inflationary pressure; 6 point drop in the index • 40% do not foresee any rise over the last quarter • At least a couple of quarters before we see any impact on inflation levels
Oil and Gas sector Business Optimism Index • Sentiments subdued; significant drop in all the indices • Drop in global oil prices drags selling price index • Profits outlook still high
Non Hydrocarbon Oil & gas Investment Plans • Services sector on expansion mode • Investment in new technology moves up while work force expansion moves down the priority list • More investment in machinery and infrastructure in the Oil and Gas sector
Non Hydrocarbon Oil & gas Business Concerns • Rising input costs continue to be primary concern for businesses • Import intensive sectors worst hit • Finance sector worried about skilled labour availability
Outlook: a quarter of demand consolidation • Easing inflationary pressure • Sales and profits levels to increase further • Finance and construction sector on high growth path • More capital investment on its way • Profitability of industry to go down